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Returning Production for 2019: Offense
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:00 pm
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:00 pm
Here’s an article I wrote looking at how the offense performed statistically in 2018 and how much of that production is returning for 2019. If Emery can step in and be a difference maker, watch out. That early game against Texas is going to be awesome.
LINK
I’ll be writing up something similar for the defense and having looked at Bama, Clemson and Georgia already. None of them have any Grant Delpits in the secondary. That dude is on another level.
LINK
I’ll be writing up something similar for the defense and having looked at Bama, Clemson and Georgia already. None of them have any Grant Delpits in the secondary. That dude is on another level.
10
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:04 pm to MikeinTN
Nicely done 
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:10 pm to MikeinTN
Well done.
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:10 pm to MikeinTN
I have an issue with the points.
Take into context when half your points came from a kicker that won't be there. You are forgetting a very important part of that points scored. So yes, I think the offense can take a step, but it's losing one of the big difference makers we had.
Take into context when half your points came from a kicker that won't be there. You are forgetting a very important part of that points scored. So yes, I think the offense can take a step, but it's losing one of the big difference makers we had.
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:16 pm to dgnx6
Yes, I agree. Technically a special teams issue but as you say, a very relevant factor in the point total. I will have to think about that. Thanks for the feedback.
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:17 pm to MikeinTN
They do return almost their whole offensive line. But not the whole line. Brumfield was a senior.
Other than that pretty good read.
Other than that pretty good read.
Posted on 6/16/19 at 8:19 pm to dgnx6
Well, we will have a kicker, although unproven in college. So we won’t lose all of those points. Plus, it seemed once they realized how good Tracey was, they played for the field goal, which may accentuated his worth.
Posted on 6/16/19 at 10:04 pm to MikeinTN
That’s a very good read. Thank you! 
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:30 am to MikeinTN
I dont like looking at the points, when in one game you score 70+ points that is going to skew the results. Making it seem better than it was.
The offense struggled to move the ball for majority if the year.
The offense struggled to move the ball for majority if the year.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:46 am to IM_4_LSU
I don’t disagree that the 70+ point game could inflate the scoring impression, but I think the opponent adjusted yards/play (-0.06 vs FBS) does illustrate the way the offense struggled. Despite the context of OT being different and skewing the analysis a bit, points for/against is still the single most important stat.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:47 am to MikeinTN
Yes Emery and Davis could make a very big difference. Still at the end of the day we will join the Bama Clemson UGA class based on the line of scrimmage. Last year we had an average D line with no real,nose tackle. If Shelving and Apu step up that will make a solid difference. Chaisson who has great potential can also move our line of scrimmage and Pass Rush move up a bit. Yes we have Delpit who is extraordinary. We also have Stevens who could make a chaisson like difference.
The offensive line and in particular offensive tackle is our limiting factor on offense. Our O line got beaten and or dominated by Bama, Miss State, Florida, and Arkansas, and Miami. In coming freshman are not really going to be the difference. How much have our tackle improved
The offensive line and in particular offensive tackle is our limiting factor on offense. Our O line got beaten and or dominated by Bama, Miss State, Florida, and Arkansas, and Miami. In coming freshman are not really going to be the difference. How much have our tackle improved
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:54 am to MikeinTN
Excellent breakout of last season's stats.
But it appears that the '19 O scheme is vastly different (we all hope). Likely 4-wide quite often, and 5-wide occasionally. The passing routes will be short 80%+ of the time. (60%+ will be 5 yards and shorter) High percentage passes in space created by widely spread sets.
The run game will be based on the RPO model.
IMO, the'19 offense will make a decent baseline for future stats, but is apples and oranges in relation to last season's scheme (and stats).
Look forward to seeing your Defense projections. Seems '19 and '18 will be statistically comparable.
But it appears that the '19 O scheme is vastly different (we all hope). Likely 4-wide quite often, and 5-wide occasionally. The passing routes will be short 80%+ of the time. (60%+ will be 5 yards and shorter) High percentage passes in space created by widely spread sets.
The run game will be based on the RPO model.
IMO, the'19 offense will make a decent baseline for future stats, but is apples and oranges in relation to last season's scheme (and stats).
Look forward to seeing your Defense projections. Seems '19 and '18 will be statistically comparable.
This post was edited on 6/17/19 at 8:57 am
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:54 am to MikeinTN
1. Nice
2. Change the logo.
3. See #2 please.
2. Change the logo.
3. See #2 please.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:17 am to Buckeye Jeaux
Thanks. Regardless of scheme, I think the main takeaway is that the pieces that produced are mostly all returning for 2019. Aside from how the team collectively performed compared to the rest of the nation, it seems reasonable to assume they will be capable of improving. Maybe it would also be reasonable to assume that if they don’t improve on offense, scheme change would be the problem. That said, I expect improvement in 2019.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:21 am to MikeinTN
Enjoyed that read. Thanks for taking the time to make it. Only suggestion is to lose the toonces logo 
Posted on 6/17/19 at 11:33 am to Captain Crown
Thanks for the feedback, I changed the logo :)
Posted on 6/17/19 at 2:21 pm to Lou the Jew from LSU
“May have accentuated his worth” as you say is a very tricky thing to parse especially given this little nugget: no one attempted more FG’s per game against FBS teams than LSU- 2.3/game.
LINK
LINK
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