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re: New Q-poll head-to-head numbers in PA

Posted on 5/15/19 at 2:02 pm to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119027 posts
Posted on 5/15/19 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Last Q-poll in early November 2016 had it at Clinton 48 Trump 43. Actual result was Trump 48.2 Clinton 47.5



That is a pretty big swing and miss.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35242 posts
Posted on 5/15/19 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

That is a pretty big swing and miss.

Some of it (a little over a day’s worth of the 6 day sampling) could be attributed to occurring before Comey announcing the Hillary email investigation which led to a pretty significant decrease in the Hillary’s advantage.

As it pertains to 2020 election, the candidates that will do better with the blue collar and union votes than Hillary will have the best chance. Biden probably has the best chance since it’s his home state, and I can’t see him doing worse than Hillary with those traditional D votes she lost.
This post was edited on 5/15/19 at 2:12 pm
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