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Started By
Message
re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland
Posted on 5/17/18 at 8:37 am to rds dc
Posted on 5/17/18 at 8:37 am to rds dc
Saw that yesterday. Euro wasn't picking up on anything, but GFS was going nuts. Now that Euro and Canadian are on board, I guess I'll be watching every new run and wasting time at work...
Canadian:
The new FV3-GFS model is a little more worrisome for Louisiana:
Chicken, we need a Weather/Hurricane/Tropical Weather board during the season.
Canadian:
The new FV3-GFS model is a little more worrisome for Louisiana:
Chicken, we need a Weather/Hurricane/Tropical Weather board during the season.
5
Posted on 5/17/18 at 8:41 am to whodatdude
We will need a little rain in a few weeks. The one they were watching in Florida over the last few days was nothing more than a little rain
Posted on 5/17/18 at 8:47 am to whodatdude
quote:
The new FV3-GFS model is a little more worrisome for Louisiana:
that's not "a little worrisome"
a storm just sitting off the coast spinning and dumping rain for hours on end... may as well not even turn on the damn pumps b/c it won't help
Posted on 5/17/18 at 8:50 am to whodatdude
The FV3-GFS would be basically the worst case scenario for southeast Louisiana. I know you can never say never with mother nature but i don't put much stock in models at that time frame plus i don't even know if the waters could support a system like that this early.
Posted on 5/17/18 at 9:47 am to whodatdude
A strong category 4 meandering just off the coast of SELA, then slowly looping back right up the River Parishes area would mean almost total destruction from the coast through Baton Rouge from both wind and flooding. Flooding would be exceptionally worrisome with the combined effects of that much rain falling while the surge backs up the Amite and Comite Rivers at the same time.
I got slammed on here last year for suggesting the right storm coming in slowly from the perfect angle would result in actual storm surge flooding in Ascension, Livingston, and EBR parishes. This model run depicts exactly what I was talking about there. Not that this model run will happen, but imagine for a minute it comes to fruition. This is what I was describing.
Posted on 5/17/18 at 10:34 am to whodatdude
quote:
The new FV3-GFS model is a little more worrisome for Louisiana:
Ya think? A cat 3/4 storm sitting off the coast for two days and coming in - in May - would pretty much mean the end of South Louisiana. Even IF we could get insurance down here after that - very few people would want to even bother with rebuilding.
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