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re: Pompeo and Bolton outline North Korea plans as talks approach
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:28 pm to wickowick
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:28 pm to wickowick
Seems likely to me NK will aim for a Vietnam type state, also along the China model, more capitalism but no democracy. I don't expect China to allow the US to gain too much influence, and true unification is doubtful.
4
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:40 pm to Tigertracks
I’m sure that SK is more than happy with normalized relations rather than the imminent war they’ve been staring down since the 50s.
Anything past that is gravy.
Anything past that is gravy.
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:40 pm to Tigertracks
quote:
true unification is doubtful
I’m not so sure. Even though the people of N. Korea have absorbed an inordinate amount of propaganda and are effectively brainwashed, there’s enough info and cross border culture available to maybe make them want to demand reunification. South Korea is a very vibrant, sophisticated (in urban areas), industrialized and high technology country. I can see the reunification happening in a short time frame. Or, they’ll just blow each other up.
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:44 pm to Tigertracks
quote:
Seems likely to me NK will aim for a Vietnam type state, also along the China model, more capitalism but no democracy. I don't expect China to allow the US to gain too much influence, and true unification is doubtful.
Not right away, but I can see where the Northern people would fight for re-unification down the road.
Posted on 5/13/18 at 9:47 pm to Tigertracks
quote:
Seems likely to me NK will aim for a Vietnam type state, also along the China model, more capitalism but no democracy. I don't expect China to allow the US to gain too much influence, and true unification is doubtful.
Or just a post-Deng Chinese system. Vietnam and North Korea historically have nothing in common in terms of their relationships to neighboring and global powers.
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