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re: Way too early Trump v's Kamala Harris Electoral Map (2020)
Posted on 7/25/17 at 11:51 am to SirWinston
Posted on 7/25/17 at 11:51 am to SirWinston
If Harris really ends up being the nominee, you can tick Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin into the R block and Colorado and New Mexico into the D block without too much thinking.
The election would then be won or lost in Florida, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.
Then again, I am convinced Trump isn't going to run in 2020 and doesn't like actually being president (and I don't think Harris will be the nominee for the D's, either).
The election would then be won or lost in Florida, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.
Then again, I am convinced Trump isn't going to run in 2020 and doesn't like actually being president (and I don't think Harris will be the nominee for the D's, either).
2
Posted on 7/25/17 at 11:54 am to AbuTheMonkey
I think that Colorado and New Mexico are more pragmatic than Nevada and could be swayed to go Trump if the economy is booming and immigration has been handled well in documentable ways, but agree that they'd be very heavy lifts. Perhaps heavier than even a Virginia.
Nevada is becoming California with the multitude of angry young Latino service workers who are incredibly easy to turn out given the geography of Nevada. Nevada will never be red again unless Kobach finds a ton of illegal voters that he can disqualify.
NH and MN are the "next" Trump states to turn, followed by Maine, Colorado and New Mexico.
Too much depends on the eventual Dem nominee to speculate on which are the first Trump states to go red. Could be PA but it could also be Florida depending on the candidate.
Nevada is becoming California with the multitude of angry young Latino service workers who are incredibly easy to turn out given the geography of Nevada. Nevada will never be red again unless Kobach finds a ton of illegal voters that he can disqualify.
NH and MN are the "next" Trump states to turn, followed by Maine, Colorado and New Mexico.
Too much depends on the eventual Dem nominee to speculate on which are the first Trump states to go red. Could be PA but it could also be Florida depending on the candidate.
This post was edited on 7/25/17 at 11:56 am
Posted on 7/25/17 at 11:56 am to AbuTheMonkey
quote:
Then again, I am convinced Trump isn't going to run in 2020 and doesn't like actually being president ...
I agree with you on this point...
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