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Baseball Preview: 2017 Edition Feb 10th - Prospects & SEC Prediction
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am
February. Is. Here.
-Everything in this preview is "my" opinion and analysis, I always welcome everyone’s opinions, thoughts, and criticism, as this is a message board and it's what makes this place great...but please keep it baseball related. I’ve done this preview annually for those friends, family, and alumni who follow the sport however may not be able to see the team early in spring and want to get a better feel for who’s – who.
-The lineup I predict is not only based on what I have seen thus far but how I see the respective positions shaping up throughout the entire regular season.
-MLB uses a 20-80 grading scale to evaluate each draft eligible player based on their skillset of 1) Power 2) Hitting 3) Speed 4) Fielding 5) Arm. Now because 60-70% of all MLB draft eligible prospects fall into the below-average to average skill set it’s not much to look at when previewing a standard collegiate team. To give viewers a better representation of how they stack up on the collegiate level what I’ve done the past few years is grade each player based on their current tools as they compare to other college players. What this does is expand the bell curve a bit and give a better representation of their respective strengths and weaknesses now rather than a projection for a MLB position.
-At the end of each position is a final grade based on the entire unit as a whole including any intangibles as well as depth.
Feb 1st-C Mike Papierski (Jr.)
Feb 2nd-1B Jake Slaughter (Fr.)
Feb 3rd-2B Cole Freeman (Sr.)
Feb 4th-SS Kramer Robertson (Sr.)
Feb 5th-3B Josh Smith (Fr.)
Feb 6th-OF Beau Jordan (Jr.) Antoine Duplantis (So.) Greg Deichmann (Jr.)
Feb 7th-DH Bryce Jordan (Jr.)**Out for season**
Feb 8th-SP Alex Lange (Jr.) Jared Poche (Sr.) Eric Walker (Fr.) Zach Hess (Fr.)
Feb 9th-RP Hunter Newman (Sr.)
Feb 10th- Pro Prospects & SEC predictions
Grade Breakdown
80 Top of the Scale (Think Kris Bryant, USD – 2013 “power”)
70 Well Above Average
60 Above Average
50 Average
40 Below Average
30 Well Below Average
20 Bottom of the Scale (Think Matt Gaudet, LSU - 2010 “speed”)
-Everything in this preview is "my" opinion and analysis, I always welcome everyone’s opinions, thoughts, and criticism, as this is a message board and it's what makes this place great...but please keep it baseball related. I’ve done this preview annually for those friends, family, and alumni who follow the sport however may not be able to see the team early in spring and want to get a better feel for who’s – who.
-The lineup I predict is not only based on what I have seen thus far but how I see the respective positions shaping up throughout the entire regular season.
-MLB uses a 20-80 grading scale to evaluate each draft eligible player based on their skillset of 1) Power 2) Hitting 3) Speed 4) Fielding 5) Arm. Now because 60-70% of all MLB draft eligible prospects fall into the below-average to average skill set it’s not much to look at when previewing a standard collegiate team. To give viewers a better representation of how they stack up on the collegiate level what I’ve done the past few years is grade each player based on their current tools as they compare to other college players. What this does is expand the bell curve a bit and give a better representation of their respective strengths and weaknesses now rather than a projection for a MLB position.
-At the end of each position is a final grade based on the entire unit as a whole including any intangibles as well as depth.
Feb 1st-C Mike Papierski (Jr.)
Feb 2nd-1B Jake Slaughter (Fr.)
Feb 3rd-2B Cole Freeman (Sr.)
Feb 4th-SS Kramer Robertson (Sr.)
Feb 5th-3B Josh Smith (Fr.)
Feb 6th-OF Beau Jordan (Jr.) Antoine Duplantis (So.) Greg Deichmann (Jr.)
Feb 7th-DH Bryce Jordan (Jr.)**Out for season**
Feb 8th-SP Alex Lange (Jr.) Jared Poche (Sr.) Eric Walker (Fr.) Zach Hess (Fr.)
Feb 9th-RP Hunter Newman (Sr.)
Feb 10th- Pro Prospects & SEC predictions
Grade Breakdown
80 Top of the Scale (Think Kris Bryant, USD – 2013 “power”)
70 Well Above Average
60 Above Average
50 Average
40 Below Average
30 Well Below Average
20 Bottom of the Scale (Think Matt Gaudet, LSU - 2010 “speed”)
This post was edited on 2/10/17 at 8:16 am
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am to Adam4848
CATCHER
1) Mike Papierski Jr. 6’3 225lbs (2)*
2) Nick Coomes Jr. 5’11 196lbs (13)
3) Jordan Romero Sr. 6’2 213lbs (28)
4) Rankin Woley Fr. 6’0 215lbs (22)
The catching position while not as deep as in recent years will show veteran depth behind what looks to be Michael Papierski, Nick Coomes, Jordan Romero, and Rankin Woley in that order.
Michael Papierski, the highest drafted catcher of his high school class to attend college, has already shown consistency behind the plate at the collegiate level along with a superb arm in which he’s continued to refine throughout the first two years on campus. One of the physical attributes MLB organizations love about Michael is his giant frame in which he’s been able to add 25lbs over the past two seasons and yet still looks like he’ll be able to add more without hindering his game. Diving straight into it, the downfall Papierski has faced has been hitting with consistency against SEC pitching. Now while Papierski’s bat was a bit raw coming out of high school I admit inaccurately projected a big spike in his offensive game a season ago, it just didn’t come to fruition. What Papierski is excellent at is reading pitches which is not shocking given his position, a season ago he drew a walk approximately every 7.2 at bats only behind Chris Reid at 6.2 at bats respectively. Between tweaking his left and right handed approaches and focusing solely on hitting from the right side during May of last year it became evident he wasn’t comfortable and tried simplifying his approach mid-season. While this approach gives him more control over the bat and thus a more level swing through the zone he still says he hits for more power from the left side of the plate. At the same time I’m hearing he has not completely given up hitting from the left side, I do have full confidence Gibbs a switch hitter himself will be able to make any adjustments necessary and this won't be a week on week off thing. Make no mistake, Michael is the best catcher on this team and besides (Michael Rivera-Florida & Jason Delay-Vanderbilt) has the best defensive tools in the southeastern conference. It’s not a surprise and it shouldn’t be to those that have watched the games closely, you’ll notice the pitchers tend to be far more comfortable when Papierski is behind the plate. Well above average defensive catchers are worth their weight in gold for what they strictly do on defense, the way they manage the infield, and the way they hold athletic base stealing teams in check for the most part. As Papierski enters his third season at LSU expect him to get more comfortable hitting as all players do, he does have great upper body strength. LSU doesn’t need Papierski to be an ALL-SEC performer at the plate but if he can figure it out he’ll make the lineup that much stronger at the back end of the lineup. If I had to guess he’ll sit around 6-8 in the order. Speed is slightly below average and Papierski is not an aggressive baserunner.
Nick Coomes the top JUCO transfer of the incoming class has been taking reps at catcher this spring in what looks to be the grooming for Nick to slide in behind Papierski given Jordan Romero’s nagging shoulder injury which is not ready for live ball. While Nick played primarily 3B at LSU-Eunice in 2016 he can realistically find himself at either C, DH, 3B, or 1B given the situation and where he’s needed. What I like about Coomes is his patient approach at the plate, doesn’t get fooled often and like fellow high school teammate Jordan Romero has great lower body strength with plus power and the ability to pull balls into the gaps and out of the park on mistake pitches. Coomes will bring a power bat with gap to gap power, he actually runs well for his stature and isn't a liability on the base paths. He’ll help relieve Papierski on consecutive days but don’t be surprised at all if he makes his way into the lineup at DH.
Jordan Romero who I have backing up Papierski and Coomes honestly will be more of a valuable asset at DH given his shoulder injury. Due to the nature of shoulder injuries you can’t rush or expedite recovery and in my opinion it’s going to be a week to week prognosis…all this being said I think he’ll continue to be listed on the catching depth chart due to the nature of the position and he’s still able to catch bullpen. Even with the setback Jordan Romero is one of LSU’s best power threats behind Greg Deichmann and has always been one of the best fastball hitters on the team. Look for Romero to see time at C of DH this season with an extremely dark horse pick of playing 1B if he is absolutely needed.
Rankin Woley is an extremely well built and strong freshman out of Georgia who will need a season behind the veteran’s before breaking out of his shell. This is a kid who’s played all over the diamond and actually can move for his frame. Mainieri will be able to plug and play him when need be, I see him at a corner infield spot or catcher down the road.
My take: The catching position isn’t what the team will be built around but does retain two veterans who bring two entirely different approaches both behind the plate and in the box. With Papierski you’re getting a phenomenal defensive catcher who will limit other teams on the base paths while Coomes and Romero when hot fit in as the ideal power threat to protect Greg Deichmann in the 5 hole when the Tigers enter SEC pitching.
Michael Papierski
Power------55
Hitting------55
Speed------45
Fielding----65
Arm---------70
FINAL GRADE: 60
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 8:00 am
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:23 am to Adam4848
I love this thread every year
Good thing we have more familiar faces this time around.
Good thing we have more familiar faces this time around.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:31 am to Adam4848
My favorite thread of the year!
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:51 am to Adam4848
Finally! Best thread on the rant year after year! Thanks for all the work you put in on these, Adam! It is much appreciated.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 10:01 am to Adam4848
quote:
Adam4848
GOAT TR poster
Posted on 2/1/17 at 11:33 am to Adam4848
quote:As always, thank you for your posts!
Adam4848
Posted on 2/6/17 at 10:11 am to Adam4848
Good stuff, Adam! How many scrimmages this spring have you been to? Is papierski hitting strictly right handed?
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:10 pm to Adam4848
You guys think Romero and Adams will have a role this year? Romero kind of fizzled out last year. Would like to see bigger bodies at the plate.
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:31 am to Adam4848
Just bought 65" smart TV
WatchESPN app is downloaded
I am ret' to go!
GEAUX TIGERS
WatchESPN app is downloaded
I am ret' to go!
GEAUX TIGERS
Posted on 2/10/17 at 9:34 am to Adam4848
Thank you so much for your preview. I look forward to this each year.
Note: Very sorry to learn of Bryce Jordan's injury and am concerned about how this will effect the batting order.
Note: Very sorry to learn of Bryce Jordan's injury and am concerned about how this will effect the batting order.
Posted on 2/13/17 at 5:45 pm to Adam4848
Best thread of the year, as usual!!
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