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Baseball Preview: 2017 Edition Feb 10th - Prospects & SEC Prediction

Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
19064 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am
February. Is. Here.

-Everything in this preview is "my" opinion and analysis, I always welcome everyone’s opinions, thoughts, and criticism, as this is a message board and it's what makes this place great...but please keep it baseball related. I’ve done this preview annually for those friends, family, and alumni who follow the sport however may not be able to see the team early in spring and want to get a better feel for who’s – who.

-The lineup I predict is not only based on what I have seen thus far but how I see the respective positions shaping up throughout the entire regular season.

-MLB uses a 20-80 grading scale to evaluate each draft eligible player based on their skillset of 1) Power 2) Hitting 3) Speed 4) Fielding 5) Arm. Now because 60-70% of all MLB draft eligible prospects fall into the below-average to average skill set it’s not much to look at when previewing a standard collegiate team. To give viewers a better representation of how they stack up on the collegiate level what I’ve done the past few years is grade each player based on their current tools as they compare to other college players. What this does is expand the bell curve a bit and give a better representation of their respective strengths and weaknesses now rather than a projection for a MLB position.

-At the end of each position is a final grade based on the entire unit as a whole including any intangibles as well as depth.

Feb 1st-C Mike Papierski (Jr.)
Feb 2nd-1B Jake Slaughter (Fr.)
Feb 3rd-2B Cole Freeman (Sr.)
Feb 4th-SS Kramer Robertson (Sr.)
Feb 5th-3B Josh Smith (Fr.)
Feb 6th-OF Beau Jordan (Jr.) Antoine Duplantis (So.) Greg Deichmann (Jr.)
Feb 7th-DH Bryce Jordan (Jr.)**Out for season**
Feb 8th-SP Alex Lange (Jr.) Jared Poche (Sr.) Eric Walker (Fr.) Zach Hess (Fr.)
Feb 9th-RP Hunter Newman (Sr.)
Feb 10th- Pro Prospects & SEC predictions

Grade Breakdown
80 Top of the Scale (Think Kris Bryant, USD – 2013 “power”)
70 Well Above Average
60 Above Average
50 Average
40 Below Average
30 Well Below Average
20 Bottom of the Scale (Think Matt Gaudet, LSU - 2010 “speed”)
This post was edited on 2/10/17 at 8:16 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
19064 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:41 am to


CATCHER

1) Mike Papierski Jr. 6’3 225lbs (2)*
2) Nick Coomes Jr. 5’11 196lbs (13)
3) Jordan Romero Sr. 6’2 213lbs (28)
4) Rankin Woley Fr. 6’0 215lbs (22)

The catching position while not as deep as in recent years will show veteran depth behind what looks to be Michael Papierski, Nick Coomes, Jordan Romero, and Rankin Woley in that order.

Michael Papierski, the highest drafted catcher of his high school class to attend college, has already shown consistency behind the plate at the collegiate level along with a superb arm in which he’s continued to refine throughout the first two years on campus. One of the physical attributes MLB organizations love about Michael is his giant frame in which he’s been able to add 25lbs over the past two seasons and yet still looks like he’ll be able to add more without hindering his game. Diving straight into it, the downfall Papierski has faced has been hitting with consistency against SEC pitching. Now while Papierski’s bat was a bit raw coming out of high school I admit inaccurately projected a big spike in his offensive game a season ago, it just didn’t come to fruition. What Papierski is excellent at is reading pitches which is not shocking given his position, a season ago he drew a walk approximately every 7.2 at bats only behind Chris Reid at 6.2 at bats respectively. Between tweaking his left and right handed approaches and focusing solely on hitting from the right side during May of last year it became evident he wasn’t comfortable and tried simplifying his approach mid-season. While this approach gives him more control over the bat and thus a more level swing through the zone he still says he hits for more power from the left side of the plate. At the same time I’m hearing he has not completely given up hitting from the left side, I do have full confidence Gibbs a switch hitter himself will be able to make any adjustments necessary and this won't be a week on week off thing. Make no mistake, Michael is the best catcher on this team and besides (Michael Rivera-Florida & Jason Delay-Vanderbilt) has the best defensive tools in the southeastern conference. It’s not a surprise and it shouldn’t be to those that have watched the games closely, you’ll notice the pitchers tend to be far more comfortable when Papierski is behind the plate. Well above average defensive catchers are worth their weight in gold for what they strictly do on defense, the way they manage the infield, and the way they hold athletic base stealing teams in check for the most part. As Papierski enters his third season at LSU expect him to get more comfortable hitting as all players do, he does have great upper body strength. LSU doesn’t need Papierski to be an ALL-SEC performer at the plate but if he can figure it out he’ll make the lineup that much stronger at the back end of the lineup. If I had to guess he’ll sit around 6-8 in the order. Speed is slightly below average and Papierski is not an aggressive baserunner.

Nick Coomes the top JUCO transfer of the incoming class has been taking reps at catcher this spring in what looks to be the grooming for Nick to slide in behind Papierski given Jordan Romero’s nagging shoulder injury which is not ready for live ball. While Nick played primarily 3B at LSU-Eunice in 2016 he can realistically find himself at either C, DH, 3B, or 1B given the situation and where he’s needed. What I like about Coomes is his patient approach at the plate, doesn’t get fooled often and like fellow high school teammate Jordan Romero has great lower body strength with plus power and the ability to pull balls into the gaps and out of the park on mistake pitches. Coomes will bring a power bat with gap to gap power, he actually runs well for his stature and isn't a liability on the base paths. He’ll help relieve Papierski on consecutive days but don’t be surprised at all if he makes his way into the lineup at DH.

Jordan Romero who I have backing up Papierski and Coomes honestly will be more of a valuable asset at DH given his shoulder injury. Due to the nature of shoulder injuries you can’t rush or expedite recovery and in my opinion it’s going to be a week to week prognosis…all this being said I think he’ll continue to be listed on the catching depth chart due to the nature of the position and he’s still able to catch bullpen. Even with the setback Jordan Romero is one of LSU’s best power threats behind Greg Deichmann and has always been one of the best fastball hitters on the team. Look for Romero to see time at C of DH this season with an extremely dark horse pick of playing 1B if he is absolutely needed.

Rankin Woley is an extremely well built and strong freshman out of Georgia who will need a season behind the veteran’s before breaking out of his shell. This is a kid who’s played all over the diamond and actually can move for his frame. Mainieri will be able to plug and play him when need be, I see him at a corner infield spot or catcher down the road.

My take: The catching position isn’t what the team will be built around but does retain two veterans who bring two entirely different approaches both behind the plate and in the box. With Papierski you’re getting a phenomenal defensive catcher who will limit other teams on the base paths while Coomes and Romero when hot fit in as the ideal power threat to protect Greg Deichmann in the 5 hole when the Tigers enter SEC pitching.

Michael Papierski

Power------55
Hitting------55
Speed------45
Fielding----65
Arm---------70

FINAL GRADE: 60
This post was edited on 2/1/17 at 8:00 am
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
66619 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Feb 1st-C


Posted by raisinbran
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
410 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:20 am to
Friggin IN
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
74218 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:23 am to
I love this thread every year

Good thing we have more familiar faces this time around.
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
14504 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:24 am to
I like LSU baseball.
Posted by Tigercoop40
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2006
7541 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:31 am to
My favorite thread of the year!
Posted by tjc9487
New Orleans, LA
Member since Feb 2010
493 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 8:51 am to
Finally! Best thread on the rant year after year! Thanks for all the work you put in on these, Adam! It is much appreciated.
Posted by Brbengal
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2004
1372 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 9:02 am to
Thanks Adam
Posted by upgrade
Member since Jul 2011
13255 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 9:05 am to
Posted by LilWezyAna
BR
Member since Feb 2016
3145 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Adam4848

GOAT TR poster
Posted by bobbyleewilliams
Tigertown
Member since Feb 2010
8272 posts
Posted on 2/1/17 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Adam4848
As always, thank you for your posts!
Posted by tigerfan in bamaland
Back Home now
Member since Sep 2006
61199 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 4:39 am to
Posted by GreenGrassnHiTigers
Vermilion
Member since Oct 2016
216 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 10:34 am to
Posted by Dro
Barrett's Barleycorn
Member since Feb 2010
12619 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 1:45 pm to
Posted by Tigahs1977
Member since Feb 2016
1073 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 10:11 am to
Good stuff, Adam! How many scrimmages this spring have you been to? Is papierski hitting strictly right handed?
Posted by poncho villa
DALLAS
Member since Jul 2010
17793 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:10 pm to
You guys think Romero and Adams will have a role this year? Romero kind of fizzled out last year. Would like to see bigger bodies at the plate.
Posted by Supermoto Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2010
9962 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:31 am to
Just bought 65" smart TV
WatchESPN app is downloaded

I am ret' to go!
GEAUX TIGERS
Posted by West Central Tiger
Tiger Country
Member since Feb 2006
1154 posts
Posted on 2/10/17 at 9:34 am to
Thank you so much for your preview. I look forward to this each year.

Note: Very sorry to learn of Bryce Jordan's injury and am concerned about how this will effect the batting order.
Posted by Tigerball85
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2017
7 posts
Posted on 2/13/17 at 5:45 pm to
Best thread of the year, as usual!!
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