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Week 9 CFB bet thread

Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:23 pm
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:23 pm
Early lines that I like are Michigan St +21.5 at home vs Michigan and Florida St. +5 at home vs Clemson.

Will keep an eye on the market/movement and look for other games as the week goes on.

Thoughts?

Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69383 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:34 pm to
Dantonio is not going to lose by 3 touchdowns to Michigan
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:37 pm to
he will probably lose by much more, some models say michigan should win by 34+
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74320 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

will probably lose by much more, some models say michigan should win by 34+



Whos model says this? Seems crazy
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65506 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:52 pm to
Baylor -3 @ texas

Also grabbed Houston -9
This post was edited on 10/24/16 at 3:00 pm
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7222 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:53 pm to
I will stay far away from Michigan game. Michigan St has been awful.

I'm expecting my biggest play to be ole miss +3 vs auburn.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69383 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:53 pm to
In rivalry games nothing that happens in the season so far means jack shite

Michigan will win by 6
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12313 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Whos model says this? Seems crazy

S&P says Michigan by 35.5 LINK
Sagarin says Michigan by 27 LINK
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25290 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 12:56 pm to
I like Sparty too but I think the line will climb. Early money is on Harbaugh.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:00 pm to
yep
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74320 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

S&P says Michigan by 35.5 LINK
Sagarin says Michigan by 27 LINK


How accurate have these models been this year?
Mich hasnt covered the last 8 trips to east lansing i think
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:32 pm to
Wisconsin has RLM'd up to 9. Do we think that keeps going up, or comes back the other way?

I'm gonna take Wisconsin, I just want to get it at the best number I can.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25290 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:35 pm to
I saw their MLB is out for the year- not super relevant to the line but it's an underrated position to lose since the MLB makes all the calls on D.
Posted by hoopsgalore
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2013
8654 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin has RLM'd up to 9. Do we think that keeps going up, or comes back the other way?

I'm gonna take Wisconsin, I just want to get it at the best number I can.


I have no idea, but Wisconsin has been battered by injuries all year and just lost Jack Cichy for the rest of the season. Cichy is an absolute terror at MLB, but Wisconsin still has the best unit in the conference even replacing Cichy with Ryan Connelly.

Keep an eye on Derrick Tindal's injury. Nebraska is deep at WR and Wisconsin could find life difficult on Saturday night if Tindal isn't able to go, especially with Natrell Jamerson already sidelined.
Posted by hoopsgalore
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2013
8654 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

I saw their MLB is out for the year- not super relevant to the line but it's an underrated position to lose since the MLB makes all the calls on D.


Wisconsin runs a 3-4, so Jack Cichy (Torn Pectoral) is joined by T.J. Edwards at MLB and Ryan Connelly is a more-than-formidable backup, as LSU fans know.

Dude was playing against Iowa on one arm.
Posted by Broken Ear Glen
Baton Roog
Member since Mar 2010
1320 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin has RLM'd up to 9


Ain't nobody getting "RLM" on a Monday son. Wait till like Wednesday at least before we start throwing out the RLM/steam terms and shite.
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 4:36 pm to
Kinda like Georgia +7.5 vs Florida and Ole Miss +4 at home vs Auburn.

Anyone else?

Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12065 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 4:55 pm to
Auburn can run the ball as well as we can and that's not the strength of the Ole Miss D as we just saw. I'll probably just play the over.
Posted by 3morereps
The Gym
Member since Jun 2015
6735 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 5:30 pm to
As a Georgia fan and alum, I like the gators to cover. I also like Notre Dame +2 at home against Miami
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12313 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 6:08 pm to
quote:

How accurate have these models been this year?

Not sure about Sagarin
S&P has been 174-179-4 ATS.
This post was edited on 10/24/16 at 6:10 pm
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