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How unreasonable is 8.0 ypc for LF7?
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:17 am
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:17 am
Looking back at Reggie Bush's unbelievable years, he averaged 8.7 ypc his junior year, granted much less carries and very different style back, but comparing sophmore years, leonard had 6.5 LINK compared to Reggie's 6.3 ypc LINK.
If Harris plays well, and Guice is a back that can split some heavy load, that has to open up the holes more for leonard, i don't think 8.0 is overly far fetched heading into this year.
If Harris plays well, and Guice is a back that can split some heavy load, that has to open up the holes more for leonard, i don't think 8.0 is overly far fetched heading into this year.
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:18 am to Chad504boy
If he averages 8 ypc, he might hit 3,000 yards.
Or looking at it another way, he won't average 8 ypc. Different offenses, different styles, different amount of carries.
Or looking at it another way, he won't average 8 ypc. Different offenses, different styles, different amount of carries.
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:19 am to Chad504boy
pretty unreasonable with the type of offense we run and the amount of carries he will get
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:21 am to Chad504boy
quote:
If Harris plays well
well so much for that
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:24 am to Chad504boy
Not impossible, but extremely unlikely.
No matter how improved the passing game may be, the Miles/Cameron offensive approach is predicated on the I formation running game, with LF taking the majority of his carries between the tackles. That approach is effective when the offense has balance, but predominately will include rushes of 1-5 yards with the occasional homerun. LF had a ton of homerun carries last year, and yet still averaged 6.5. To expect his explosive, 40+ yard runs to increase significantly enough to raise his average by 1.5 yrds/carry is unrealistic IMO.
No matter how improved the passing game may be, the Miles/Cameron offensive approach is predicated on the I formation running game, with LF taking the majority of his carries between the tackles. That approach is effective when the offense has balance, but predominately will include rushes of 1-5 yards with the occasional homerun. LF had a ton of homerun carries last year, and yet still averaged 6.5. To expect his explosive, 40+ yard runs to increase significantly enough to raise his average by 1.5 yrds/carry is unrealistic IMO.
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:29 am to Chad504boy
From a mathematical perspective, it is doable. If LF can break a 50 yarder every 10 carries (very doable), he only has to average 4 yds per carry on the other 9 carries (again very doable).
Posted on 7/27/16 at 9:32 am to Chad504boy
he will be used for 3rd and short, and goal line situations every single time
it'll be difficult to keep that high of a YPC
it'll be difficult to keep that high of a YPC
Posted on 7/27/16 at 10:49 am to Chad504boy
If he averages 8.0 ypc Les will never throw it.
Posted on 7/27/16 at 5:16 pm to Chad504boy
Completely unreasonable and will not happen. And I believe he's the best player in college football.
Posted on 7/27/16 at 7:23 pm to Chad504boy
Half of the defences Reggie Bush faced at USC were laughable. Bush would not have had 8 ypc in the sec.
Posted on 7/28/16 at 4:08 am to Chad504boy
Reggie Bush had the benefit of getting carries after 235 lb Lendale White pounded away at the defense over and over. They'd get acclimated to White's size, style and speed, then Bush would come in and look like he was running 100 mph.
It's kind of like a pitcher pounding away with the fastball the first time through the lineup, then showing the changeup after the batters had gotten used to seeing the FB.
It's not uncommon for change-of-pace backs to have higher YPC than the workhorse, even if they end up with the same amount of carries when all's said and done. It's harder to run the ball early against a fresh defense. Just look at how Guice had higher YPC last year than LF7. Not to take anything away from Guice, but he had the benefit of LF7 wearing them out before he got his carries most of the time.
That said, if our passing game starts to click it wouldn't shock me if LF averaged over 7 YPC.
It's kind of like a pitcher pounding away with the fastball the first time through the lineup, then showing the changeup after the batters had gotten used to seeing the FB.
It's not uncommon for change-of-pace backs to have higher YPC than the workhorse, even if they end up with the same amount of carries when all's said and done. It's harder to run the ball early against a fresh defense. Just look at how Guice had higher YPC last year than LF7. Not to take anything away from Guice, but he had the benefit of LF7 wearing them out before he got his carries most of the time.
That said, if our passing game starts to click it wouldn't shock me if LF averaged over 7 YPC.
This post was edited on 7/28/16 at 4:10 am
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