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NCAA bubble watch (who to root for/against) major conference edition

Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:34 pm
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:34 pm
Ok.....so here we go. We need to root for "teams that should be in" and against "work left to do" teams. Example, Uconn is playing SMU tonight. Uconn getting knocked off helps LSU inch closer to a potential bid. This thread is not about complaining about LSU, JJ, or anything else. Its about what needs to happen to help the Tigers get into POSITION for a potential bid. Also, in the coming week there will be a ton of mid major championships. Any mid major who if eligible for an at large, you want to root for them to win their conference champioships. We cant have scrubs snatching auto bids

I think Drizz may add some SEC factors to consider. Things are going the Tigers way so far this week. Bama lost at home to Ark, UF lost, and USC just flopped at home against UGA.


AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE

Work left to do: Tulsa, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Temple

ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE

Locks: Dayton
Teams that should be in: Saint Joseph's
Work left to do: St Bonaventure, VCU, George Washington


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE

Locks: Virginia, Miami, North Carolina, Duke, Notre Dame
Teams that should be in: Pittsburgh
Work left to do: Syracuse

BIG XII

Locks: Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas
Teams that should be in: Texas Tech

BIG EAST CONFERENCE

Locks: Villanova, Xavier
Teams that should be in: Seton Hall
Work left to do: Providence, Butler

BIG TEN CONFERENCE

Locks: Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Iowa, Indiana
Teams that should be in: Wisconsin
Work left to do: Michigan, Ohio State


MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE

Work left to do: San Diego State

PAC-12 CONFERENCE

Locks: Oregon, Utah, California, Arizona
Teams that should be in: Colorado
Work left to do: Oregon State, USC

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE

Locks: Kentucky, Texas A&M
Teams that should be in: South Carolina
Work left to do: Florida, Alabama, Vanderbilt, LSU

NCAA DIVISION I

Locks: Wichita St
Work left to do: Arkansas-Little Rock, Valparaiso, Saint Mary's, Monmouth, Gonzaga
This post was edited on 3/4/16 at 9:14 am
Posted by headboard banger
Dark side of the Moon
Member since Jan 2005
2963 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:37 pm to
Well done
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
37844 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:49 pm to
Thanks for the post.

As it relates to LSU, I will add regular season SEC Champ scenarios and SECT seeding.

1. LSU needs to win @UK. Scenarios without LSU winning @UK are fruitless. It would be win SECT to dance.

2. LSU winning @UK puts LSU at 12-6 and at least 2nd in SEC final standings.

3. If TAMU beats Vandy, TAMU is SEC Champs. The standings and SECT seedings as follows:
#1 TAMU (13-5)
#2 LSU (12-6)
#3 UK (12-6)
#4 Vandy (11-7) or USCe (11-7 if they win @Ark)

4. If Vandy beats TAMU, LSU is co-SEC Champs in a 4 way tie.
#1 LSU (12-6)
#2 Vandy (12-6)
#3 TAMU (12-6)
#4 UK (12-6)

ETA: Please RA for sticky so we can keep this here. Many of the same questions are asked over and over again.

This post was edited on 3/3/16 at 10:04 pm
Posted by lwlsu96
Member since Oct 2011
5404 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:50 pm to
Cincinnati is about to lose @ Houston so that helps us out
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35497 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 11:03 pm to
Just a thought, but if you have to win at least two games in the conference tournament, and beat Kentucky once, why not rest everyone against Kentucky in the final and gear up for the tournament?

If Kentucky wins the regular season title, they will have a tournament seed locked up and wouldn't take the conference tournament as seriously. Might even get knocked off in the semi-final and LSU could avoid them altogether.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28566 posts
Posted on 3/3/16 at 11:21 pm to
You forgot Louisville...
Posted by LSU03
Tiger Mecca (aka Baton Rouge)
Member since Dec 2003
514 posts
Posted on 3/4/16 at 8:21 am to
quote:

We need to root for "teams that should be in" and [against] "work left to do" teams


I think you left out a word in here, but otherwise this is an awesome summary of what we need to be pulling for.
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 3/4/16 at 9:38 am to
Texas tech is on a 2 game skid. They play K-state tomorrow at home on senior day. If they falter here, they could be giving up their spot in the dance.

It really is mind boggling how bad the bubble is this year. If ever there were a year to get in when you dont have the typical NCAA resume, this is it.

The committee is gonna have a hard time seeding 8-12. There will be tons of head scratchers and deserving teams (relative to this year's mess) left out. Its all about making that final push/lasting impression
This post was edited on 3/4/16 at 9:52 am
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