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NCAA bubble watch (who to root for/against) major conference edition
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:34 pm
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:34 pm
Ok.....so here we go. We need to root for "teams that should be in" and against "work left to do" teams. Example, Uconn is playing SMU tonight. Uconn getting knocked off helps LSU inch closer to a potential bid. This thread is not about complaining about LSU, JJ, or anything else. Its about what needs to happen to help the Tigers get into POSITION for a potential bid. Also, in the coming week there will be a ton of mid major championships. Any mid major who if eligible for an at large, you want to root for them to win their conference champioships. We cant have scrubs snatching auto bids
I think Drizz may add some SEC factors to consider. Things are going the Tigers way so far this week. Bama lost at home to Ark, UF lost, and USC just flopped at home against UGA.
AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE
Work left to do: Tulsa, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Temple
ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE
Locks: Dayton
Teams that should be in: Saint Joseph's
Work left to do: St Bonaventure, VCU, George Washington
ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE
Locks: Virginia, Miami, North Carolina, Duke, Notre Dame
Teams that should be in: Pittsburgh
Work left to do: Syracuse
BIG XII
Locks: Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas
Teams that should be in: Texas Tech
BIG EAST CONFERENCE
Locks: Villanova, Xavier
Teams that should be in: Seton Hall
Work left to do: Providence, Butler
BIG TEN CONFERENCE
Locks: Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Iowa, Indiana
Teams that should be in: Wisconsin
Work left to do: Michigan, Ohio State
MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE
Work left to do: San Diego State
PAC-12 CONFERENCE
Locks: Oregon, Utah, California, Arizona
Teams that should be in: Colorado
Work left to do: Oregon State, USC
SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE
Locks: Kentucky, Texas A&M
Teams that should be in: South Carolina
Work left to do: Florida, Alabama, Vanderbilt, LSU
NCAA DIVISION I
Locks: Wichita St
Work left to do: Arkansas-Little Rock, Valparaiso, Saint Mary's, Monmouth, Gonzaga
I think Drizz may add some SEC factors to consider. Things are going the Tigers way so far this week. Bama lost at home to Ark, UF lost, and USC just flopped at home against UGA.
AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE
Work left to do: Tulsa, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Temple
ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE
Locks: Dayton
Teams that should be in: Saint Joseph's
Work left to do: St Bonaventure, VCU, George Washington
ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE
Locks: Virginia, Miami, North Carolina, Duke, Notre Dame
Teams that should be in: Pittsburgh
Work left to do: Syracuse
BIG XII
Locks: Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas
Teams that should be in: Texas Tech
BIG EAST CONFERENCE
Locks: Villanova, Xavier
Teams that should be in: Seton Hall
Work left to do: Providence, Butler
BIG TEN CONFERENCE
Locks: Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Iowa, Indiana
Teams that should be in: Wisconsin
Work left to do: Michigan, Ohio State
MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE
Work left to do: San Diego State
PAC-12 CONFERENCE
Locks: Oregon, Utah, California, Arizona
Teams that should be in: Colorado
Work left to do: Oregon State, USC
SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE
Locks: Kentucky, Texas A&M
Teams that should be in: South Carolina
Work left to do: Florida, Alabama, Vanderbilt, LSU
NCAA DIVISION I
Locks: Wichita St
Work left to do: Arkansas-Little Rock, Valparaiso, Saint Mary's, Monmouth, Gonzaga
This post was edited on 3/4/16 at 9:14 am
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:49 pm to pellietigersaint
Thanks for the post.
As it relates to LSU, I will add regular season SEC Champ scenarios and SECT seeding.
1. LSU needs to win @UK. Scenarios without LSU winning @UK are fruitless. It would be win SECT to dance.
2. LSU winning @UK puts LSU at 12-6 and at least 2nd in SEC final standings.
3. If TAMU beats Vandy, TAMU is SEC Champs. The standings and SECT seedings as follows:
#1 TAMU (13-5)
#2 LSU (12-6)
#3 UK (12-6)
#4 Vandy (11-7) or USCe (11-7 if they win @Ark)
4. If Vandy beats TAMU, LSU is co-SEC Champs in a 4 way tie.
#1 LSU (12-6)
#2 Vandy (12-6)
#3 TAMU (12-6)
#4 UK (12-6)
ETA: Please RA for sticky so we can keep this here. Many of the same questions are asked over and over again.
As it relates to LSU, I will add regular season SEC Champ scenarios and SECT seeding.
1. LSU needs to win @UK. Scenarios without LSU winning @UK are fruitless. It would be win SECT to dance.
2. LSU winning @UK puts LSU at 12-6 and at least 2nd in SEC final standings.
3. If TAMU beats Vandy, TAMU is SEC Champs. The standings and SECT seedings as follows:
#1 TAMU (13-5)
#2 LSU (12-6)
#3 UK (12-6)
#4 Vandy (11-7) or USCe (11-7 if they win @Ark)
4. If Vandy beats TAMU, LSU is co-SEC Champs in a 4 way tie.
#1 LSU (12-6)
#2 Vandy (12-6)
#3 TAMU (12-6)
#4 UK (12-6)
ETA: Please RA for sticky so we can keep this here. Many of the same questions are asked over and over again.
This post was edited on 3/3/16 at 10:04 pm
Posted on 3/3/16 at 9:50 pm to pellietigersaint
Cincinnati is about to lose @ Houston so that helps us out
Posted on 3/3/16 at 11:03 pm to pellietigersaint
Just a thought, but if you have to win at least two games in the conference tournament, and beat Kentucky once, why not rest everyone against Kentucky in the final and gear up for the tournament?
If Kentucky wins the regular season title, they will have a tournament seed locked up and wouldn't take the conference tournament as seriously. Might even get knocked off in the semi-final and LSU could avoid them altogether.
If Kentucky wins the regular season title, they will have a tournament seed locked up and wouldn't take the conference tournament as seriously. Might even get knocked off in the semi-final and LSU could avoid them altogether.
Posted on 3/3/16 at 11:21 pm to pellietigersaint
You forgot Louisville...
Posted on 3/4/16 at 8:21 am to pellietigersaint
quote:
We need to root for "teams that should be in" and [against] "work left to do" teams
I think you left out a word in here, but otherwise this is an awesome summary of what we need to be pulling for.
Posted on 3/4/16 at 9:38 am to pellietigersaint
Texas tech is on a 2 game skid. They play K-state tomorrow at home on senior day. If they falter here, they could be giving up their spot in the dance.
It really is mind boggling how bad the bubble is this year. If ever there were a year to get in when you dont have the typical NCAA resume, this is it.
The committee is gonna have a hard time seeding 8-12. There will be tons of head scratchers and deserving teams (relative to this year's mess) left out. Its all about making that final push/lasting impression
It really is mind boggling how bad the bubble is this year. If ever there were a year to get in when you dont have the typical NCAA resume, this is it.
The committee is gonna have a hard time seeding 8-12. There will be tons of head scratchers and deserving teams (relative to this year's mess) left out. Its all about making that final push/lasting impression
This post was edited on 3/4/16 at 9:52 am
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