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re: Miles' general thoughts on the season...

Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:00 pm to
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

My point of this whole argument that started earlier in this thread is that just because a team has a lot of 5 stars doesn't mean they are more talented then everyone else


Yeah, and that makes you an idiot.

From the article you provided....

quote:

Based on data from the recruiting classes (2003-08) that have supplied the last five draft classes (2007-11), five-star players go in the first round at a rate of about 1 in 6.5 — that is, one of every 6.5 five-star signees goes on to become a first-rounder — almost 13 times better than the average for all players
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Different years different problems.


But always big problems.

quote:

In any case I am confident that Les Miles and his staff know way more than the average rantard.


We should certainly hope so.

But, the fact that we have major problems, and have had major problems for four years now, leads inevitably to one of the following three possibilities:

1) he doesn't think there are major problems,

2) he knows there are major problems, but he can't fix them or

3) he knows there are major problems and he knows how to fix them, but for four years he just decided not to.

Which one of those is good?
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7557 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Yeah, and that makes you an idiot. From the article you provided....



So you totally missed the part that said only 1.3% of NFL players in that draftable time period are 5 stars right? Lol fricking incredible. I'm saying the majority of the NFL is made up of 2 & 3 star players. What is not to understand about that?
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 2:07 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:15 pm to
Before you try to argue, learn to read. The article said that 1.3% of college players were 5* recruits (208/15,877) and that 17.0% of 1st Rd. NFL draftees were 5* recruits (27/159).

If you can't understand that 1.3% of the college population representing 17.0% of the NFL population is a hugely skewed stat, then go back to high school.

ETA:

quote:

I'm saying the majority of the NFL is made up of 2 & 3 star players. What is not to understand about that?


According to your article, 17 percent of 1st round picks were 5* and 43 percent were 4*. Last I checked, 60% is a majority.
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 2:18 pm
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Before Miles cane to lsu we had approximately 13 top 15 finishes in our entire history.


1-1936: #2 (AP)
2-1937: #8 (AP)
3-1945: #15 (AP)
4-1946: #8 (AP)
5-1949: #9 (AP)
6-1958: #1 (AP), #1 (UPI) *UPI rankings began in 1950
7-1959: #3 (AP), #3 (UPI)
8-1961: #4 (AP), #3 (UPI)
9-1962: #7 (AP), #8 (UPI)
10-1965: #8 (AP), #14 (UPI)
11-1969: #10 (AP), #7 (UPI)
12-1970: #7 (AP), #6 (UPI)
13-1971: #11 (AP), #10 (UPI)
14-1972: #11 (AP), #10 (UPI)
15-1973: #13 (AP), #14 (UPI)
16-1982: #11 (AP), #11 (UPI)
17-1984: #15 (AP)
18-1986: #10 (AP), #11 (UPI)
19-1987: #5 (AP), #5 (UPI)
20-1996: #12 (AP), #13 (USAToday)
21-1997: #13 (AP), #13 (USAToday)
22-2001: #7 (AP), #8 (USAToday)
23-2003: #2 (AP), #1 (USAToday)

So, 23 is "approximately 13"?
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 4:53 pm
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7557 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Before you try to argue, learn to read. The article said that 1.3% of college players were 5* recruits (208/15,877) and that 17.0% of 1st Rd. NFL draftees were 5* recruits (27/159). If you can't understand that 1.3% of the college population representing 17.0% of the NFL population is a hugely skewed stat, then go back to high school.



You're a special kind of dumb
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 2:34 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:39 pm to
This is the last time I'm going to attempt to explain it. A random 5* recruit is represented in the NFL at 10x the rate he is represented in college. A random 3* recruit is represented in the NFL at 1x the rate he is represented in college. A random 2* recruit is represented in the NFL at 0.5x the rate he is represented in college.

There are more 2* and 3* recruits in the NFL than 4* and 5* recruits because they make up approximately 90% of the entire population of college football players. However, if you have a 5* recruit on your college roster, he is FAR more likely (approximately 20 times more likely) to be productive in college and contribute in the NFL than a 2/3* player.

ETA: Nice edit
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 2:40 pm
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

My point of this whole argument that started earlier in this thread is that just because a team has a lot of 5 stars doesn't mean they are more talented then everyone else

A better way to put it to get idiots like chilge and rickdaddy off your back would be to say that "just because a team has more 5 stars doesn't mean that they have better players in college". The retards that you're arguing with are using percentage of 5*'s drafted as evidence that 5*'s are better in college while they're completely ignoring the way the NFL draft and high school scouting combines work and what they look for.

High school scouting combines rank players based almost solely on what their measurables are. They line a bunch of kids up, take their height/weight/hand size/etc., make them run the 40/shuttle/vertical/etc. and get their numbers, then run them through drills to see who's the most explosive and athletic, and the players who are the biggest physical freaks end up being the 5 stars. It has NOTHING to do with how good they are in-game. Everyone who has ever played a sport knew "that guy" who killed it in the bullpen or had an awesome 40 time or had a prototype body but sucked in games because he didn't have the "it" factor. The NFL will almost always take a chance on a wideout who's 6'5" 220 pounds and runs a 4.4 in the hopes that they'll be able to develop the next Calvin Johnson even if the player wasn't very productive in college for whatever reason. Sometimes they pan out, sometimes they don't, but NFL GM's and owners will always drop a relatively small amount of cash on a guy who has the body and measurables to turn into a star even if they sucked in college, and almost all 5*'s fit that description. Hence why so many of them get drafted.

Combines rank players based on how physically freaky they are and ignore things like instincts and how much of a baller they are (for lack of a better term) and the NFL will draft guys or, at the least, sign them as an undrafted free agent if they're a physical freak and ignore the fact that they weren't a baller in college. This is why so many 5 stars make it to the NFL and it has nothing to do with how good of a player they were in college, so you're right. You're just phrasing it in a way that lets the morons on the board with no critical thinking skills call you out and twist your words. I'd probably just hang it up and stop trying to argue with them because you're probably talking to the 2 or 3 dumbest people on the rant

ETA and Summary: Players are ranked 5*'s solely on their projectability. The NFL drafts and signs UFA's mainly on their projectability. DT's who are 6'3, 330 pounds and run a 4.6 in high school usually can still do the same their senior year in college. Just because a player is 6'3" 330 and runs a 4.6 doesn't mean that they'll be productive in college. It doesn't take a genius to put 2 and 2 together in this situation and understand why more 5*'s get drafted but LSU can still lose to Arkansas 3 years in a row and get physically dominated
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 2:52 pm
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7557 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 3:26 pm to
quote:


ETA: Nice edit




Didn't want Gray on my back
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

southeasttiger113


You are absolutely, 100% correct.

And yet, if you discredit the raw evaluation data of high school prospects and NFL draft position, you're left with no readily available metric for quantifying "talent." I don't even know what this argument is about as I didn't get involved until page 10 when the NFL draft had already been established as the accepted medium. My apologies to you if you actually read this entire thread.

Either way, the percentage of "talented" college football players who both were graded highly coming out of high school AND will get drafted and/or signed to an UDFA contract by an NFL team is much greater than where only one of these events might happen to any particular player. Tyrann Mathieu was a 2* player that was a Heisman contender and a 3rd round pick, and Chris Davenport was a 5* player that never sniffed the NFL.

ETA and Summary: A team with 85 scholarships given to 4/5* recruits is more talented than a team with 85 scholarships given to 2/3* recruits, regardless of whether a select few of those 5* recruits were overvalued or whether a select few of those 2/3* recruits were undervalued.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158835 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

Do you truly think he believes every thing is peachy?


Yes actually.

I think he truly believes his offensive strategy is sound and it would have worked had it not been for injuries to a FB and a blocking TE. That's what's depressing, he'll never change.
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 4:18 pm
Posted by Gray Tiger
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2004
36512 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 4:32 pm to
quote:


Yes actually.

I think he truly believes his offensive strategy is sound and it would have worked had it not been for injuries to a FB and a blocking TE. That's what's depressing, he'll never change.




So you have had lengthy football discussions with him where he has gone into minute detail about is philosophy and how he uses play calling, alignments, blocking schemes, practice routines and team meeting to make it work?

Tell us more. Tell us exactly what he told you in those conversations.
Posted by Wind Rivers Tiger
Wyoming
Member since Sep 2011
1033 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

This has nothing to do with game planning


An offense that is consistently predictable, unimaginative and inept against teams that are able to stop the run, and which is stridently resistant to change, has nothing to do game planning? Really?
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 4:45 pm to
That's not remotely close to what I said... Losing games because you're less talented and experienced than the teams you're facing has nothing to do with game-planning.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
69269 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

That's not remotely close to what I said... Losing games because you're less talented and experienced than the teams you're facing has nothing to do with game-planning.







It's the same bs. LSU loses, bad game plan, LSU wins, only talent. It's because they hate the coach for wearing a funny head set in September of 2005.

This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 5:36 pm
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
69269 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

think he truly believes his offensive strategy is sound and it would have worked had it not been for injuries to a FB and a blocking TE. That's what's depressing, he'll never change.


It does work. From USC on LSU started scrapping the I and using it less and less because of the injuries. They made adjustments, still didn't work though. Mainly due to poor execution. Which is still on the coaches, they recruit and sign these guys.

But the ground and pound plan did work, and funny how when LSU finally goes back to it, they pull away from tamu and win.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
204149 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

So, 23 is "approximately 13"?



But Ricky ONLY deals with FACTS.........................
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 5:56 pm to
Except your smartass eta and summary isn't the case in SEC football so it's pointless to debate. We're talking about the difference between teams filled with 50% 4 stars, 30% 3 stars, and the remaining 20% is a mix between 5, 4, and 3 stars depending on the school.

Is there a school in the SEC west filled with 2 stars being compared to a school with all 4 and 5's that I'm not aware of? Y'all are sitting here comparing high 4*'s to 5*'s and there just isn't a difference in college production between the two. The only difference is that every single 5* is a complete physical freak while some of the 4's have more average builds to go along with having 5* skill sets. That's why LSU has so many guys going to the league but isn't very far above and beyond the other teams in the SEC
Posted by Wind Rivers Tiger
Wyoming
Member since Sep 2011
1033 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

quote: He can no longer win in this conference consistently with the way he game plans. This has nothing to do with game planning. We lost damn near half of our scholarship players on defense to the NFL after the 2012 season and half of our scholarship players on offense after the 2013 season.



It's what you said. Understand that you're citing personnel issues as a problem, but respectfully disagree that our losses have nothing to do with game planning. Obviously, personnel changes from year to year, our insipid approach to offense... not so much.
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
46646 posts
Posted on 12/23/15 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

But Ricky ONLY deals with FACTS......................... 



My name isn't Ricky dumb frick.i clearly said approximately.my point still stands. Now I know the exact number. We had 23 top 15 finishes in our entire history before Miles got here. Stop acting like top 15 finishes are mediocre in our program's history.
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