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re: Federal intrest rate and stock market

Posted on 6/10/15 at 10:42 pm to
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
16290 posts
Posted on 6/10/15 at 10:42 pm to
Guys, this is a topic I am obsessed with right now.

I can't find a single credible source that believes anything other than "everything is all rosy" in the stock market.

That is usually an indication to sell. I know timing the market is next to impossible but thie market is at an all time high with astronomical debt levels in this country (including the government).

The amount that I currently have in the stock market is more than I ever imagined I would have. What would be so bad about taking the profits now and holding it out a few years and see what happens (as long as I do not care if I miss out on an ongoing positive run in the market)??
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35572 posts
Posted on 6/11/15 at 6:33 am to
quote:

The amount that I currently have in the stock market is more than I ever imagined I would have. What would be so bad about taking the profits now and holding it out a few years and see what happens (as long as I do not care if I miss out on an ongoing positive run in the market)??




The fact that "time in the market" is more important than "timing the market"


When stock values fall, and those companies keep paying you the same dividends, you are getting more shares than you were when the market was up. Guess what happens when the values come back up?
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33738 posts
Posted on 6/11/15 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

but thie market is at an all time high


Perhaps on a price basis, but certainly not on a valuation basis.

quote:

with astronomical debt levels in this country


What are you referring to? If anything, the debt situation is much better than it was in 2007. Companies are flush with cash. And even the crappier companies have termed out cheap financing for years, so they actually do have some ability to weather a storm.
Posted by gatorsimz
cafe risque
Member since Feb 2009
8135 posts
Posted on 6/11/15 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

I can't find a single credible source that believes anything other than "everything is all rosy" in the stock market.


Peter Schiff


To the OP: Why leave the market entirely? Why not buy into financials?

If rates rise, the economy is growing, people are spending money/using more credit and banks are earning larger spreads.
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