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re: Reasons for Optimism in 2015 (Not for the Faint of Heart)

Posted on 2/16/15 at 1:16 am to
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 1:16 am to
#4b Kevin Steele
I would like to say first that surrendering 70 points in a non-OT game is a deserved black eye for any DC. With that out of the way, I would like to dissect his time as the DC at Clemson using the same statistics used above, as well as provide a glimpse into the personnel on the field at the time.

quote:

Clemson Defenses against Power 5 Opponents
Yards/Play (Rank) Points/Play (Rank) 3rd % (Rank)
2009..... 4.5 (14)......... .30 (22)........ 40.3 (68)
2010..... 4.8 (17)......... .27 (13)........ 38.3 (44)
2011..... 5.4 (66)......... .41 (73)........ 41.2 (68)


The 2009 Clemson Defense returned 8 starters from the previous year, and featured 6 current NFL players (4 DL). Likewise, the 2010 Clemson Defense returned 6 starters from the previous year, and featured 6 current NFL players (4 DL).

In what may not be regarded as a huge variance, the 2011 Clemson Defense returned only 5 starters from the previous year, and featured 5 current NFL players (3 DL).

Additionally, there does seem to be a mild gap in talent between the rosters as indicated by 247 Composite Rankings.

quote:

2009
Returning Starters – 8
.9997 - DE – DaQuan Bowers
.8875 - NG – Jarvis Jenkins
.9704 – NG – Brandon Thompson
.9853 - BE – Ricky Sapp

.9215 - SLB – Scotty Cooper
.8146 - MLB – Brandon Mayes
.7556 - WLB – Kavell Conner

.8667 - CB – Chris Chancellor
.8875 - CB – Crezdon Butler
.8000 - FS – Sadat Chambers
.9127 - SS – DeAndre McDaniel



quote:

2010
Returning Starters – 6
*.9997 - DE – DaQuan Bowers
*.9704 - NG – Brandon Thompson
*.8875 - DT – Jarvis Jenkins
.7899 - BE – Andre Branch

.8567 – SLB – Quandon Christian
.8567 – MLB – Corico Hawkins
*.8146 - WLB – Brandon Mayes

.9629 - CB – Marcus Gilchrist
.9281 - CB – Byron Maxwell
.8579 – FS - Rashard Hall
*.9127 - SS – DeAndre McDaniel



quote:

2011
Returning Starters - 5
.9673 - DE – Mallicah Goodman
*.9704 - NT – Brandon Thompson
.8537 - DT – Rennie Moore
*.7899 - BE – Andre Branch

*.8567 - SLB – Quandon Christian
*.8567 - MLB – Corico Hawkins
WLB – Jonathan Willard

.7566 - CB – Coty Sensabaugh
.9322 - CB – Xavier Brewer
*.8579 - FS – Rashard Hall
.8875 - SS – Jonathan Meeks



A side-by-side average of these composite rankings by year is as follows:
.......2009....... 2010....... 2011
DL .9607........ .9119....... .8953
LB .8305........ .8427....... .8567*
DB .8667....... .9154....... .8585
Total .8850..... .8900...... .8702

While this does not explain the DEGREE of the decline from 2010-11, it at least suggests a relationship.

Which brings me to....

#5 Talent
quote:

Offense - Returning Starters - 9
.9645 - QB – Brandon Harris
*.9135 – QB – Anthony Jennings

*.9996 - RB – Leonard Fournette
.9027 – RB – Darrel Williams

*.8885 – WR – Travin Dural
*.9915 - WR – Malachi Dupre
*.9627 – WR – Trey Quinn
.9200 – WR – Avery Peterson
.9186 – WR – John Diarse

*.8770 – TE – Dillon Gordon
.9225 - TE – Jacory Washington
.9420 – TE – DeSean Smith

*.9728 - OT – Ethan Pocic
*.8897 – OT – Jerald Hawkins

*.9311 – OG – Vadal Alexander
.9316 – OG – Josh Boutte
.9517 - OG – Garrett Brumfield


.9054 – C – Will Clapp
.8886 - C – Andy Dodd



quote:

Defense - Returning Starters – 8
.8848 - DE – Sione Teuhema
.9324 - DE – Deondre Clark
*.9004 - DT – Christian Lacouture
*.9328 - DT – Davon Godchaux
.9187 - DE – Tashawn Bower
.9589 - DE – Arden Key

*.9021 - OLB – Lamar Louis
*.9664 - MLB – Kendell Beckwith
*.8868 - OLB – Deion Jones

*.9732 - CB – Tre White
.9948 - CB – Kevin Tolliver
*.8532 - S – Jalen Mills
*.9847 - S – Jamal Adams



The Talent acquired in the last several years, specifically the first Back-to-Back Top 5 Recruiting Finishes in Miles' tenure is matched only by a chosen few. What's more, the 2016 Class may be the best yet.

quote:


.9760 - QB - Feleipe Franks (6-5/220)

.9533 - WR - Dee Anderson (6-4/177)
.9529 - WR - Stephen Sullivan (6-6/222)
.9236 - WR - Mykel Jones (6-0/180)
.9205 - TE - Jamal Pettigrew (6-6/218)

.9984 - OT - Gregory Little (6-5.5/305)
.9831 - OT - Willie Allen (6-7.5/300)
.9436 - OG - Donavaughn Campbell (6-5/340)
.8996 - OG - Darius Whitfield (6-3/265)

.9951 - DE - Shavar Manuel (6-4/290)
.9896 - DT - Rashard Lawrence (6-4/300)
.9893 - DT - Edwin Alexander (6-2/310)
.9022 - DT - Glen Logan (6-4/270)
.9000 - DT - Stephon Taylor (6-5/260)

.9756 - OLB - Keion Joyner (6-3/200)
.9664 - OLB - Michael Divinity (6-2/218)
.9547 - OLB - Eric Fowler (6-1/232)
.9469 - OLB - Jeffrey McCulloch (6-2/225)
.9308 - OLB - Devin White (6-0.5/235)
.8591 - OLB - Clifford Chattman (6-4/175)

.9909 - CB _ Savion Smith (6-1/ 1175)
.9795 - CB - Trayvon Mullen (6-2/175)
.9789 - CB - Kristian Fulton (6-0/165)
.9119 - CB - Andraez Williams (6-1/160)
.9816 - S - Eric Monroe (6-0/180)
.9767 - S - Deontay Anderson (6-1/192)
.8975 - S - Cameron Lewis (6-1/192)



*Apologies to the recruitniks, I haven't followed the developments of these players since the OP.

This post was edited on 8/1/15 at 9:43 am
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98697 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 1:31 am to
Posted by alumni95
Member since Jun 2004
7591 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 5:23 am to
I don't count 8 returning starters on D... (2 DE, 1 LB, 1 CB)

11-4=7

Just a bit optimistic on that recruiting class I would guess. I doubt 6 of those DT's will come to same school to compete. I hope I'm wrong and Coach O pulls a miracle. But I would guess 4 would be reasonable and 5 a stretch, 6 just sounds crazy.
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 5:26 am to
Its baseball season
Posted by Good Times
Hill top in Tn
Member since Nov 2007
23553 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 6:10 am to
I appreciate your efforts.
Posted by LSUballs
RayVegas LA
Member since Feb 2008
37918 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 6:46 am to
All of that will be negated by the following:

1) Les Miles
Posted by SoFresh
New Orleans
Member since May 2010
3068 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 9:19 am to
This was a nice read on a Monday morning. Well done sir. Have an upvote.

Posted by goatman1419
Prairieville,LA
Member since Jan 2007
3070 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 3:35 pm to
Facts backed up by stats and not water cooler gossip.........

The Rant is gonna kill you hahahahahahahaha.

Great post BTW
Posted by JaxTiger10
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2014
3893 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 5:32 pm to
Have an upvote. Great work. We usually see eye to eye on this board.
Posted by touchdownjeebus
Member since Sep 2010
24849 posts
Posted on 2/16/15 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

rouse


Underrated king cakes, imo...

Just busting your balls. Great write up. Thank you.
Posted by panzer
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
4050 posts
Posted on 2/18/15 at 8:38 pm to
What an awesome effort. Thanks Chilge1, this is the best post in ten years that I have been on this board.

The level of depth and research and time and effort is truly remarkable. I commend you.

Panzer
Posted by Tiger_n_ATL
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2005
32457 posts
Posted on 2/27/15 at 11:32 am to
Have a downvote.

Too much analysis and excuse making. Develop a QB, build a program where juniors DO NOT WANT to leave early, and have an offensive system and scheme that is MODERN and plays the game as it's being played today, and problem solved. Also, having a more competent HC and/or OC, whichever it is, will help tremendously.
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