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OT History "What If" Discussion: Germany Wins WWI in 1914
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:45 pm
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:45 pm
Been a while since we've had one of these so I figured my favorite topic from history (WWI) would be a good subject to bring up.
As we all know WWI saw the Allies (US, GB, France, & Italy + others) defeat the Central Powers (German, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Empire, & Bulgaria). The rest as they say is "history".
But it was a pretty near run thing, especially in the early weeks of the war. Germany could have won in the war quickly (as per the Schlieffen Plan) and then turned her full attention east to deal with Russia which would have not been ready for the full might of both Germany and Austria-Hungary combined. The one thing that stopped Germany in it's tracks, saving France and not allowing Germany to focus on Russia before it could complete it's mobilization, was the First Battle of the Marne ( AKA Miracle On The Marne). But even here, as so often is the case in history, the whole affair came down to one pivotal moment, one decision. In this case it was when German General Alexander Von Kluck turned his 1st Army to face the French along the River Aisne, thus opening a gap between his army and that of Von Bulow's 2nd Army. This is what allowed the French & Brits to halt the German offensive and thus seal Germany's fate which would come a little over 4 years later.
But what if Von Kluck had not made this mistake? Which this mistake was not entirely on him to be fair. What if the "Miracle on the Marne had never happened? What if the Germans had followed Count Alfred von Schlieffen's dying words of "remember to keep the right flank strong" and thus defeated the French & Brits in the summer of 1914? What would our world look like today?
As we all know WWI saw the Allies (US, GB, France, & Italy + others) defeat the Central Powers (German, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Empire, & Bulgaria). The rest as they say is "history".
But it was a pretty near run thing, especially in the early weeks of the war. Germany could have won in the war quickly (as per the Schlieffen Plan) and then turned her full attention east to deal with Russia which would have not been ready for the full might of both Germany and Austria-Hungary combined. The one thing that stopped Germany in it's tracks, saving France and not allowing Germany to focus on Russia before it could complete it's mobilization, was the First Battle of the Marne ( AKA Miracle On The Marne). But even here, as so often is the case in history, the whole affair came down to one pivotal moment, one decision. In this case it was when German General Alexander Von Kluck turned his 1st Army to face the French along the River Aisne, thus opening a gap between his army and that of Von Bulow's 2nd Army. This is what allowed the French & Brits to halt the German offensive and thus seal Germany's fate which would come a little over 4 years later.
But what if Von Kluck had not made this mistake? Which this mistake was not entirely on him to be fair. What if the "Miracle on the Marne had never happened? What if the Germans had followed Count Alfred von Schlieffen's dying words of "remember to keep the right flank strong" and thus defeated the French & Brits in the summer of 1914? What would our world look like today?
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:46 pm to Darth_Vader
Have a friend who is convinced the world would be better for it. He makes a compelling argument.
ETA: Idk myself
ETA: Idk myself
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:49 pm to Darth_Vader
From my limited knowledge of the history, I think it's fair to say that Hitler probably wouldn't have taken over Germany.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:50 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
What would our world look like today?
I wonder if the Nazis would've still risen to power in the 30's without a weak and desperate post war German populace. That would've dictated a lot of change.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:50 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
What would our world look like today?
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:51 pm to Darth_Vader
How about a better question in which more posters will be more knowledgeable:
What happens if the RAF loses the Battle of Britain?
What happens if the RAF loses the Battle of Britain?
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:54 pm to Darth_Vader
Bolshevism breaks out in defeated England and France, and spreads across much of Europe. Germany is a bulwark against Communism during the Cold War, which starts in 1920.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:56 pm to Darth_Vader
No Hilter or WWII. A lot more Jews survive. No Israel and the middle east is less inflamed. No Cold War. Nuclear weapons developed later (maybe not a good thing). US does not dominate the world after 1945. Depression drags on longer. Completely different dismantling of the British empire though it still happens (but maybe more rationally).
Different world for sure.
Different world for sure.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:56 pm to Darth_Vader
Who knows? Perhaps some pissed off French dude whould have started a national socialist party in France. Probably not.
So many shitty things were put into motion as a result of that war, not to mention the carnage of the war itself. Terrible.
So many shitty things were put into motion as a result of that war, not to mention the carnage of the war itself. Terrible.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:57 pm to Darth_Vader
Russia and Germany engage in a war for continental/world dominance 10 years later after Germany takes control of Europe and Northern Africa
Then USA allies with Germany in promise of getting everything east of Jerusalem, USA and Germany win and the world becomes a better place through German/American engineering/culture
Then USA allies with Germany in promise of getting everything east of Jerusalem, USA and Germany win and the world becomes a better place through German/American engineering/culture
Posted on 4/17/14 at 4:18 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
What would our world look like today?
The question largely hinges on what terms the war was ended and how the peace was orchestrated. Clearly the conditions for the rise of National Socialism in Germany will not exist as Marxism and leftism will be of no threat to power in Germany. Likewise, it's hard to imagine that either Germany or Britain would not work with extreme determination to establish a stable French government opposed to Marxist forces that might seek a power grab in France's destitution. I can see France, Britain, and Germany remaining traditional powers rivaling each other for influence as was the case in prior European periods. I think relative stability would ensue as the horrific nature of the war generally changed minds about the feasibility of war to achieve minor gains without balooning into catastrophe due to industrialization and the advent of more destructive armaments.
That being said, I think the really interesting areas to watch would be the Austro-Hungarian Empire and the Balkans region. Hitler himself railed against Austro-Hungarian Empire and it's untenable political situation given the tremendous variety of ethnic nationalities subjugated under the Hapsburgs. This was an observation he had prior to the outbreak of the war, leading him to make an appeal to serve with a Bavarian outfit instead of his much loathed homeland. And this area having been the powderkeg that set off WWI to begin with.
Obviously the age of empire would have continued on, perhaps much longer than it did in the real life course of history, but that period was destined to come to a head at some point. If it was had to do over again, I think essentially every major belligerent nation's leadership would say the war was a mistake (with the possible exception of Churchill) and should have been averted. There was no great moral crusade to be had nor imminent ideological threat posed by one of those nations against the other.
Obviously there are infintie variables but I certainly don't think the world would be thrown into some terrible course had Germany won WWI. Though the victors do love to fear monger and exaggerrate the importance of their cause to history.
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 4:21 pm
Posted on 4/17/14 at 6:03 pm to Darth_Vader
There's no question that the world would be a better place without all the lives lost, the art treasures destroyed, and the ethnic hatreds not engendered.
You can only argue how much better the world would have been off with a German victory. You can't argue 'if".
You can only argue how much better the world would have been off with a German victory. You can't argue 'if".
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:16 pm to Darth_Vader
This hypothetical postulates a win similar to what the Germans would achieve in 1940. But just as in 1940, the UK would still have a lot of fight left in them, arguably more. And would a win on the Marne completely knock out France. I don't think France had the bitter political divisions that created Vichy. Could the French Army with its still strong nationalism pulled back to continue fighting?
While you answer that, I'm going to put some thought into what Italy would have done based on your what if.
ETA: I think Italy jumps France and is able to take French North Africa
While you answer that, I'm going to put some thought into what Italy would have done based on your what if.
ETA: I think Italy jumps France and is able to take French North Africa
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 7:25 pm
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:38 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:IDK if Germany was fighting for conquest or for economic dominance. If Germany had won, the dying monarchies of Europe would have had a breath of new life. The end of colonialism may have been delayed or prevented. There would have been no humiliating Treaty of Versailles. The economic discontent of the pre-Hitler era might not have happened, and Hitler may have died an obscure paperhanger. No SS. No Gestapo. No Holocaust. But Communism might have had more room to operate. Brutal Stalin may have become expansionist anyway.
What would our world look like today?
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 7:40 pm
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:49 pm to Darth_Vader
There was a discussion the other week about a book written that talks about how the British basically caused world war I because they failed to understand the issues. Or at least I seem to recall that.
I thought I ordered the book, but I did not and know I cant find any reference to it. Any help is appreciated.
I thought I ordered the book, but I did not and know I cant find any reference to it. Any help is appreciated.
Posted on 4/18/14 at 10:00 am to Darth_Vader
Keep in mind, WW1 thrusted us to tWorld power. If the Germans would have one, who knows how we would've ended up.
ETA:
And because we keep them in check, Europe has been at peace for a long time. 'Merica.
ETA:
And because we keep them in check, Europe has been at peace for a long time. 'Merica.
This post was edited on 4/18/14 at 10:02 am
Posted on 4/18/14 at 10:54 am to Darth_Vader
They wouldn't have bombed Pearl Harbor ... that's for sure ![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
Posted on 4/18/14 at 11:52 am to Darth_Vader
quote:
But what if Von Kluck had not made this mistake? Which this mistake was not entirely on him to be fair. What if the "Miracle on the Marne had never happened? What if the Germans had followed Count Alfred von Schlieffen's dying words of "remember to keep the right flank strong" and thus defeated the French & Brits in the summer of 1914? What would our world look like today?
This or a negotiated peace settlement of the Great War sometime in 1915 or 1916 could very well have brought very positive results for Europe and the world. The hypothetical doesn't really require a German victory -- some kind of negotiated peace agreement would have brought something better than what actually happened.
Minor point of military history. Just before the Battle of the Marne, Kluck's 1st Army was probably too weak to make any correct decision with regard to placement of his forces. The German Right Wing had already been weakened by more than two infantry corps worth of strength.
It would have been possible for Germany to win in the West in 1914, but, IMHO, it would have taken another five fresh German infantry corps deployed on von Kluck's right to accomplish that. Five corps was an Army-level unit.
Some historians argue that even that would not have worked, because there was no way to keep such a large right wing logistically supported. The supply railheads were not close enough to Kluck's front line to provide good supply and replacements flow.
Great question to ponder. Saving Europe from the destruction of WW2 is something to dream about.
This post was edited on 4/18/14 at 11:54 am
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