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OT History "What If" Discussion: Germany Wins WWI in 1914

Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:45 pm
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
65067 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:45 pm
Been a while since we've had one of these so I figured my favorite topic from history (WWI) would be a good subject to bring up.

As we all know WWI saw the Allies (US, GB, France, & Italy + others) defeat the Central Powers (German, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Empire, & Bulgaria). The rest as they say is "history".

But it was a pretty near run thing, especially in the early weeks of the war. Germany could have won in the war quickly (as per the Schlieffen Plan) and then turned her full attention east to deal with Russia which would have not been ready for the full might of both Germany and Austria-Hungary combined. The one thing that stopped Germany in it's tracks, saving France and not allowing Germany to focus on Russia before it could complete it's mobilization, was the First Battle of the Marne ( AKA Miracle On The Marne). But even here, as so often is the case in history, the whole affair came down to one pivotal moment, one decision. In this case it was when German General Alexander Von Kluck turned his 1st Army to face the French along the River Aisne, thus opening a gap between his army and that of Von Bulow's 2nd Army. This is what allowed the French & Brits to halt the German offensive and thus seal Germany's fate which would come a little over 4 years later.

But what if Von Kluck had not made this mistake? Which this mistake was not entirely on him to be fair. What if the "Miracle on the Marne had never happened? What if the Germans had followed Count Alfred von Schlieffen's dying words of "remember to keep the right flank strong" and thus defeated the French & Brits in the summer of 1914? What would our world look like today?
Posted by ManBearTiger
BRLA
Member since Jun 2007
21879 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:46 pm to
Have a friend who is convinced the world would be better for it. He makes a compelling argument.

ETA: Idk myself
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 3:47 pm
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:49 pm to
From my limited knowledge of the history, I think it's fair to say that Hitler probably wouldn't have taken over Germany.
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
29486 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

What would our world look like today?

I wonder if the Nazis would've still risen to power in the 30's without a weak and desperate post war German populace. That would've dictated a lot of change.

Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38874 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

What would our world look like today?


Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26653 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:51 pm to
How about a better question in which more posters will be more knowledgeable:

What happens if the RAF loses the Battle of Britain?
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98689 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:54 pm to
Bolshevism breaks out in defeated England and France, and spreads across much of Europe. Germany is a bulwark against Communism during the Cold War, which starts in 1920.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12444 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:56 pm to
No Hilter or WWII. A lot more Jews survive. No Israel and the middle east is less inflamed. No Cold War. Nuclear weapons developed later (maybe not a good thing). US does not dominate the world after 1945. Depression drags on longer. Completely different dismantling of the British empire though it still happens (but maybe more rationally).

Different world for sure.
Posted by Teufelhunden
Galvez, LA
Member since Feb 2005
5593 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:56 pm to
Who knows? Perhaps some pissed off French dude whould have started a national socialist party in France. Probably not.

So many shitty things were put into motion as a result of that war, not to mention the carnage of the war itself. Terrible.
Posted by TeamWillow
Madmartigan's
Member since Jan 2010
403 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 3:57 pm to
Russia and Germany engage in a war for continental/world dominance 10 years later after Germany takes control of Europe and Northern Africa

Then USA allies with Germany in promise of getting everything east of Jerusalem, USA and Germany win and the world becomes a better place through German/American engineering/culture
Posted by ChewyDante
Member since Jan 2007
16934 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

What would our world look like today?


The question largely hinges on what terms the war was ended and how the peace was orchestrated. Clearly the conditions for the rise of National Socialism in Germany will not exist as Marxism and leftism will be of no threat to power in Germany. Likewise, it's hard to imagine that either Germany or Britain would not work with extreme determination to establish a stable French government opposed to Marxist forces that might seek a power grab in France's destitution. I can see France, Britain, and Germany remaining traditional powers rivaling each other for influence as was the case in prior European periods. I think relative stability would ensue as the horrific nature of the war generally changed minds about the feasibility of war to achieve minor gains without balooning into catastrophe due to industrialization and the advent of more destructive armaments.

That being said, I think the really interesting areas to watch would be the Austro-Hungarian Empire and the Balkans region. Hitler himself railed against Austro-Hungarian Empire and it's untenable political situation given the tremendous variety of ethnic nationalities subjugated under the Hapsburgs. This was an observation he had prior to the outbreak of the war, leading him to make an appeal to serve with a Bavarian outfit instead of his much loathed homeland. And this area having been the powderkeg that set off WWI to begin with.

Obviously the age of empire would have continued on, perhaps much longer than it did in the real life course of history, but that period was destined to come to a head at some point. If it was had to do over again, I think essentially every major belligerent nation's leadership would say the war was a mistake (with the possible exception of Churchill) and should have been averted. There was no great moral crusade to be had nor imminent ideological threat posed by one of those nations against the other.

Obviously there are infintie variables but I certainly don't think the world would be thrown into some terrible course had Germany won WWI. Though the victors do love to fear monger and exaggerrate the importance of their cause to history.
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 4:21 pm
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 6:03 pm to
There's no question that the world would be a better place without all the lives lost, the art treasures destroyed, and the ethnic hatreds not engendered.

You can only argue how much better the world would have been off with a German victory. You can't argue 'if".
Posted by OleWar
Troy H. Middleton Library
Member since Mar 2008
5828 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:16 pm to
This hypothetical postulates a win similar to what the Germans would achieve in 1940. But just as in 1940, the UK would still have a lot of fight left in them, arguably more. And would a win on the Marne completely knock out France. I don't think France had the bitter political divisions that created Vichy. Could the French Army with its still strong nationalism pulled back to continue fighting?

While you answer that, I'm going to put some thought into what Italy would have done based on your what if.

ETA: I think Italy jumps France and is able to take French North Africa
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 7:25 pm
Posted by JawjaTigah
Bizarro World
Member since Sep 2003
22516 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

What would our world look like today?
IDK if Germany was fighting for conquest or for economic dominance. If Germany had won, the dying monarchies of Europe would have had a breath of new life. The end of colonialism may have been delayed or prevented. There would have been no humiliating Treaty of Versailles. The economic discontent of the pre-Hitler era might not have happened, and Hitler may have died an obscure paperhanger. No SS. No Gestapo. No Holocaust. But Communism might have had more room to operate. Brutal Stalin may have become expansionist anyway.
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 7:40 pm
Posted by BlackenedOut
The Big Sleazy
Member since Feb 2011
5827 posts
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:49 pm to
There was a discussion the other week about a book written that talks about how the British basically caused world war I because they failed to understand the issues. Or at least I seem to recall that.

I thought I ordered the book, but I did not and know I cant find any reference to it. Any help is appreciated.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42583 posts
Posted on 4/18/14 at 10:00 am to
Keep in mind, WW1 thrusted us to tWorld power. If the Germans would have one, who knows how we would've ended up.

ETA:

And because we keep them in check, Europe has been at peace for a long time. 'Merica.
This post was edited on 4/18/14 at 10:02 am
Posted by Diddles
LA
Member since Apr 2013
6981 posts
Posted on 4/18/14 at 10:54 am to
They wouldn't have bombed Pearl Harbor ... that's for sure
Posted by Champagne
Already Conquered USA.
Member since Oct 2007
48694 posts
Posted on 4/18/14 at 11:52 am to
quote:

But what if Von Kluck had not made this mistake? Which this mistake was not entirely on him to be fair. What if the "Miracle on the Marne had never happened? What if the Germans had followed Count Alfred von Schlieffen's dying words of "remember to keep the right flank strong" and thus defeated the French & Brits in the summer of 1914? What would our world look like today?





This or a negotiated peace settlement of the Great War sometime in 1915 or 1916 could very well have brought very positive results for Europe and the world. The hypothetical doesn't really require a German victory -- some kind of negotiated peace agreement would have brought something better than what actually happened.

Minor point of military history. Just before the Battle of the Marne, Kluck's 1st Army was probably too weak to make any correct decision with regard to placement of his forces. The German Right Wing had already been weakened by more than two infantry corps worth of strength.

It would have been possible for Germany to win in the West in 1914, but, IMHO, it would have taken another five fresh German infantry corps deployed on von Kluck's right to accomplish that. Five corps was an Army-level unit.

Some historians argue that even that would not have worked, because there was no way to keep such a large right wing logistically supported. The supply railheads were not close enough to Kluck's front line to provide good supply and replacements flow.

Great question to ponder. Saving Europe from the destruction of WW2 is something to dream about.
This post was edited on 4/18/14 at 11:54 am
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