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Message
re: Louisiana Polling Data (PPP)
Posted on 2/18/14 at 2:02 pm to Politiceaux
Posted on 2/18/14 at 2:02 pm to Politiceaux
quote:
-David Vitter will start the 2015 race for Governor as a pretty strong early favorite. He has a 51/33 approval spread, some of the best numbers we've seen for him during his time in the Senate. Vitter leads in hypothetical match ups with Democrats Mitch Landrieu (50/37) and John Bel Edwards (51/30), and would also have the upper hand against fellow Republican Jay Dardenne (41/29) if two candidates from their party made it through to the runoff.
Do you know if the question re Vitter v. Dardenne was only posed to the Republican primary voters in the sample or did everyone get asked that question?
Wait, did they really ask the question this way?
quote:
Q10 If the candidates for Governor in 2015 were Republican Jay Dardenne and Democrat David Vitter, who would you vote for?
I get the feeling that if it ends up being Vitter and Dardenne in a runoff, Dardenne wins.
3
Posted on 2/18/14 at 2:08 pm to Decatur
quote:
I get the feeling that if it ends up being Vitter and Dardenne in a runoff, Dardenne wins
You would be correct. Many of the anti-oil & gas trial lawyer segment believe Dardenne to be the only thing standing between Vitter and the Guv's mansion. Many of them have been dumping money into Dardenne's campaign rather than an actual Democrat.
Posted on 2/18/14 at 2:09 pm to Decatur
quote:I agree. The problem for Dardenne is that it looks very likely that he'll be squeezed out from both the right and the left. I hate it because he's my choice.
I get the feeling that if it ends up being Vitter and Dardenne in a runoff, Dardenne wins.
quote:I'm pretty sure that's a typo.
Wait, did they really ask the question this way?
quote:There won't be a Republican primary. Everyone against each other with the top two vote getters, regardless of party, being in a runoff.
Do you know if the question re Vitter v. Dardenne was only posed to the Republican primary voters in the sample or did everyone get asked that question?
Posted on 2/18/14 at 2:27 pm to Decatur
quote:
Do you know if the question re Vitter v. Dardenne was only posed to the Republican primary voters in the sample or did everyone get asked that question?
Overall: Vitter 41, Dardenne 29
Republicans Only: Vitter 63, Dardenne 21
Democrats Only: Dardenne 37, Vitter 24
Independent/Other Only: Vitter 34, Dardenne 27
(eta: found on page 17 of the 36-page poll results)
This post was edited on 2/18/14 at 2:42 pm
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