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re: 12 hours until December unemployment and jobs reports - guesses?

Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:03 am to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
37514 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:03 am to
I see this is great news. The employment picture is getting better and better each unemployment rate just dropped way below 7 and the trend is our friend.

Certainly no one can justify an emergency bill to extend unemployment in this economic boom can they?

Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162858 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:07 am to
quote:

So it is entirely clear that this economy is reducing it's unemployment rate by simply counting less participants.


Answer this: which has fallen by a greater % in those 2 charts

1. The unemployment rate

2. The labor participation rate

Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
53804 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Answer this: which has fallen by a greater % in those 2 charts


They've fallen at almost identical rates.
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
63580 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:20 am to
quote:

They've fallen at almost identical rates.


hmmmm....
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162858 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:21 am to
Seriously just take a look at the graph. At peak unemployment we were at 10% and now down to roughly 7%

That's a 30% drop

At the same time the labor force participation rate was a hair ovr 65%, but for the sake of argument let's say 65.5%

Now it's at ~62.7%

So the UE rate drops 30% and the labor participation rate drops about 4.3%

I'm supposed to be outraged how exactly?

Posted by HonoraryCoonass
Member since Jan 2005
18528 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:25 am to
quote:

So the UE rate drops 30% and the labor participation rate drops about 4.3%


Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
11626 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:26 am to
From what I can tell:

Labor participation rate
June 2009 65.7
Jan 2014 62.8

-2.9%

Unemployment rate
June 2009 9.5
Jan 2014 6.7

-2.8%
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
11626 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Seriously just take a look at the graph. At peak unemployment we were at 10% and now down to roughly 7%

That's a 30% drop


Ignore my post then. I didn't realize you were an idiot.
Posted by BeaverPRO
Tampa
Member since Aug 2009
16253 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:29 am to
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
53804 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:30 am to
quote:

At peak unemployment we were at 10% and now down to roughly 7%

That's a 30% drop


You aren't very good at math, are you?
Posted by SettleDown
Everywhere
Member since Nov 2013
1333 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:35 am to
Holy fail powerman. I mean freaking wow
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
53804 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:36 am to
quote:

Holy fail powerman. I mean freaking wow


Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
53804 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:37 am to
Just changed my sig quote
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
104120 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:38 am to
quote:

Seriously just take a look at the graph. At peak unemployment we were at 10% and now down to roughly 7%

That's a 30% drop

At the same time the labor force participation rate was a hair ovr 65%, but for the sake of argument let's say 65.5%

Now it's at ~62.7%

So the UE rate drops 30% and the labor participation rate drops about 4.3%

I'm supposed to be outraged how exactly?



When, 'Look at me everyone and how contrarian I can be!' goes wrong.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18518 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:43 am to
Wow, Powerman.

That may be the biggest fail in the history of the PoliBoard. I'm changing my sig as well.

This post was edited on 1/10/14 at 9:44 am
Posted by bigblake
Member since Jun 2011
2519 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:43 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/24/14 at 12:56 am
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162858 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:49 am to
It's a 30% reduction in the unemployment rate is it not?
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
11626 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:50 am to
quote:

It's a 30% reduction in the unemployment rate is it not?


just


stop
Posted by SettleDown
Everywhere
Member since Nov 2013
1333 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:51 am to
I refuse to help you on this one. This is totally worth the price of admission to see how long it takes u to figure out your fail. If anyone else helps, I will seek them out and kill them. Lol
Posted by BeaverPRO
Tampa
Member since Aug 2009
16253 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 9:52 am to
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