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Message
If football goes the way of boxing due to rule changes, what sport gets big?
Posted on 12/12/12 at 8:58 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 8:58 am
Let me cross out what won't get big:
*anything violent like MMA, boxing, kickboxing, etc.
*NASCAR--not a sport
*HOCKEY---too regional
*LACROSSE
Here are the 3 that could legitimately replace football 20-25 years from now: (in no particular order)
1. Basketball----Here are the pros: huge college presence, is played nationwide, is international, is an olympic sport.
However, the cons are that the Pro league is terribly run, you need freakish tall people to play (thus 5'9-6'3 white kids and their $ can't play in most cases). Interest is just not there by a lot of people. Also, the fact that US born caucasians never make the all star game really hurts interest.
2. BASEBALL----Pros: Used to be the largest sport, is still very huge in the US, major cities like NY, LA, and Boston are huge into baseball, has many players from many different races, is one of the top sports for latinos who are the largest growing population in the country. Decent college presence.
Cons: The college presence and HS presence is regional, $ is needed to really hone skills in many cases, sport is slow to many, not big international presence.
3. SOCCER----Pros: most popular sport in world, fastest growing sport in US, popular with latinos like baseball, many different body types can play.
Cons: Very poor HS and College presence nationwide. Same weather restrictions as baseball, sport is slow to many just like baseball.
I think baseball and soccer have similar cons. However, the popularity of soccer and simpleness of playing it in backyards would probably make it the biggest sport in the US in 25 years.
I still think baseball will be going strong as a solid #2 though.
*anything violent like MMA, boxing, kickboxing, etc.
*NASCAR--not a sport
*HOCKEY---too regional
*LACROSSE
Here are the 3 that could legitimately replace football 20-25 years from now: (in no particular order)
1. Basketball----Here are the pros: huge college presence, is played nationwide, is international, is an olympic sport.
However, the cons are that the Pro league is terribly run, you need freakish tall people to play (thus 5'9-6'3 white kids and their $ can't play in most cases). Interest is just not there by a lot of people. Also, the fact that US born caucasians never make the all star game really hurts interest.
2. BASEBALL----Pros: Used to be the largest sport, is still very huge in the US, major cities like NY, LA, and Boston are huge into baseball, has many players from many different races, is one of the top sports for latinos who are the largest growing population in the country. Decent college presence.
Cons: The college presence and HS presence is regional, $ is needed to really hone skills in many cases, sport is slow to many, not big international presence.
3. SOCCER----Pros: most popular sport in world, fastest growing sport in US, popular with latinos like baseball, many different body types can play.
Cons: Very poor HS and College presence nationwide. Same weather restrictions as baseball, sport is slow to many just like baseball.
I think baseball and soccer have similar cons. However, the popularity of soccer and simpleness of playing it in backyards would probably make it the biggest sport in the US in 25 years.
I still think baseball will be going strong as a solid #2 though.
16
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:00 am to Moustache
Rugby
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:01 am to Moustache
quote:
sport is slow to many just like baseball.
This is a very big con, it should have been listed first...and baseball is arena football compared to soccer in terms of slowness
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:01 am to Sophandros
quote:
Rugby
MEH. What separates it from the football injuries that our society is getting so wound up about?
However, I can definitely see it getting HUGE with the American populace.
The only thing, is I don't see it being big enough on a HS and college level in just 20-25 years though.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:03 am to Moustache
quote:
BASEBALL
Cons:
162-game regular season.
ETA: If football is replaced as the most popular sport in America (and that's a big if), I think it'll be soccer.
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 9:05 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:03 am to Moustache
Basketball. It's already huge and can you imagine the level of competition down to even the DIII level?
BTW, what happens to all the big fat guys?
BTW, what happens to all the big fat guys?
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:04 am to Moustache
I think it will be basketball and soccer because of the cost. Baseball is too expensive now.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:05 am to Moustache
quote:
Let me cross out what won't get big: *anything violent like MMA, boxing, kickboxing, etc.
Too late. MMA is already huge in this country....only going to get bigger
Soccer will pass baseball within our lifetime. Baseball will only go down, while soccer will only go up
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:08 am to Moustache
Rule changes killed boxing? I thought it was pay per view and fighters ducking fights/fighting once a year that killed boxing.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:09 am to UFownstSECsince1950
Soccer has been the sport of the future for 30 years. Maybe it will pass baseball, but I kind of doubt it.
What people underrate about soccer is that it has a distressingly high injury rate as well. It's not head injuries, so that's good, but if a soccer tournament is coming to your town, avoid the local emergency rooms that weekend. Hell, I played hockey and lacrosse, and the sport in which I suffered a horrific knee injury was soccer.
What people underrate about soccer is that it has a distressingly high injury rate as well. It's not head injuries, so that's good, but if a soccer tournament is coming to your town, avoid the local emergency rooms that weekend. Hell, I played hockey and lacrosse, and the sport in which I suffered a horrific knee injury was soccer.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:09 am to Moustache
quote:
MEH. What separates it from the football injuries that our society is getting so wound up about?
The Laws of the Game are designed to:
1) Promote safety
2) Maintain the flow of the game
quote:
However, I can definitely see it getting HUGE with the American populace.
Youth rugby is one of the fastest growing sports out there, and with the sevens version of the game being in the 2016 Olympics, it can blow up.
quote:
The only thing, is I don't see it being big enough on a HS and college level in just 20-25 years though.
See above.
Once it starts taking off more with inner city schools, watch out...
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:10 am to Patrick_Bateman
quote:
If football is replaced as the most popular sport in America (and that's a big if), I think it'll be soccer.
I don't think it's a very big if.
With all the lawsuits and head injuries coming out couples with the rule changes that are pissing fans off, I think it's inevitable that football will eventually go the way of boxing.
either that or it will be very different as we see it today. Like flag, 7 on 7, or even going back without headgear.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:10 am to VABuckeye
quote:
BTW, what happens to all the big fat guys?
They become rugby front row players.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:11 am to LSUsmartass
quote:
This is a very big con, it should have been listed first...and baseball is arena football compared to soccer in terms of slowness
This is the only thing that doesn't make me give soccer the clear nod.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:11 am to LSUsmartass
quote:
This is a very big con, it should have been listed first...and baseball is arena football compared to soccer in terms of slowness
This is the only thing that doesn't make me give soccer the clear nod.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:11 am to Moustache
quote:
either that or it will be very different as we see it today. Like flag, 7 on 7, or even going back without headgear.
I don't think that it would be very different.
I think that we'll see some rules and equipment changes that make it less dangerous over the next few years.
A great first step would be to mandate wrapping up in tackles.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:12 am to UFownstSECsince1950
quote:
MMA is already huge in this country....only going to get bigger
I doubt MMA gets any bigger than it already is.
quote:
Baseball will only go down, while soccer will only go up
part of me agrees with you, but the other part of me thinks that the football fans who are looking for a new sport will go to baseball before soccer.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:13 am to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Rule changes killed boxing? I thought it was pay per view and fighters ducking fights/fighting once a year that killed boxing.
I never said rule changes killed boxing. I'm just saying that football in popularity will go to a spot similar to boxing. i.e. nobody would give a shite.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:15 am to Baloo
quote:
What people underrate about soccer is that it has a distressingly high injury rate as well. It's not head injuries, so that's good, but if a soccer tournament is coming to your town, avoid the local emergency rooms that weekend. Hell, I played hockey and lacrosse, and the sport in which I suffered a horrific knee injury was soccer.
VERY big con that I left off.
quote:
Soccer has been the sport of the future for 30 years. Maybe it will pass baseball, but I kind of doubt it.
Very true. I think if Selig gets out of the way , that baseball is poised for a HUGE comeback. I don't care about equipment costs, that didn't stop football from being popular.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:16 am to Moustache
quote:
I doubt MMA gets any bigger than it already is.
Well you're wrong. UFC is in the very first year of a brand new, nationally broadcasted cable television deal with Fox.
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