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Started By
Message
LSUmatt, if you're still online: Computer projections i came up with.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:45 pm
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:45 pm
1. LSU 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 + 25 = 100.00
2. Oklahoma State 24 + 24 + 23 + 24 + 24 + 23 = 95.00
3. Alabama 23 + 23 + 24 + 22 + 23 + 24 = 93.00
4. Kansas State 21 + 18 + 21 + 23 + 22 + 21 = 85.00
5. Stanford 22 + 22 + 20 + 21 + 19 + 16 = 82.00
Looking more and more like OSU will not be a unanimious #2 in the comp polls. Looks like it will be the same as the week Bama played GSU, and a 95/93 split between the 2. That said, that changes the points needed in the Harris to jump. If you, or anyone else would like to figure the points needed, feel free. i have a team function to attend in a few, so if anyone would fill this in, it would be greatly appreciated.
Right now, i got these numbers.
100+100+100(assuming the Harris)=.1000
95+92.68%(coaches)+x=________
93+94.85%(coaches)+y=________
2. Oklahoma State 24 + 24 + 23 + 24 + 24 + 23 = 95.00
3. Alabama 23 + 23 + 24 + 22 + 23 + 24 = 93.00
4. Kansas State 21 + 18 + 21 + 23 + 22 + 21 = 85.00
5. Stanford 22 + 22 + 20 + 21 + 19 + 16 = 82.00
Looking more and more like OSU will not be a unanimious #2 in the comp polls. Looks like it will be the same as the week Bama played GSU, and a 95/93 split between the 2. That said, that changes the points needed in the Harris to jump. If you, or anyone else would like to figure the points needed, feel free. i have a team function to attend in a few, so if anyone would fill this in, it would be greatly appreciated.
Right now, i got these numbers.
100+100+100(assuming the Harris)=.1000
95+92.68%(coaches)+x=________
93+94.85%(coaches)+y=________
14
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:47 pm to 7thWardTiger
frick the BCS, shite makes my head hurt
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:47 pm to 7thWardTiger
Can you explain it simpler for the rest of us? 
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:48 pm to 7thWardTiger
The suspense is killing you!
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:49 pm to 7thWardTiger
I can make up numbers too....
Where are your projections coming from.
That is the key info.
Where are your projections coming from.
That is the key info.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:49 pm to 7thWardTiger
Oh how I wish I could follow this crap ...............
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:50 pm to 7thWardTiger
so you're going with the 25 % needed by osu in the Harris
and the consensus #2 in the puters for osu?
correct?
and the consensus #2 in the puters for osu?
correct?
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to 7thWardTiger
agree....perfect makes sense
whatever has OSU number 2 is making sense to me
whatever has OSU number 2 is making sense to me
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to 7thWardTiger
quote:
7thWardTiger
i think you just scooped LSUMatt.
if this holds up, you will be the new "BCS Guy". it's a tough seat. "Just Me" will come at you both guns loaded.
if so, i'll have your back.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to MoreOrLes
No, OSU is not the unanimous #2. They are off by 1 comp. A true #2 is 96, #3 is 92. OSU has 95 and Bama 93.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to 13AMS
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to 7thWardTiger
OSU needs to be 5 points ahead of Bama in the Harris if Bama is #2 in Wolfe.
OSU needs to be within 52 points of Bama if Bama is #3 in WOlfe.
That simple
OSU needs to be within 52 points of Bama if Bama is #3 in WOlfe.
That simple
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:51 pm to 7thWardTiger
If Bama gets Sagarin and Wolfe,Jerry Palm is saying OSU needs to be ahead in the Harris by FIVE votes - I think that is right and unfortunately for OSU, a bit out of their reach.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:52 pm to 7thWardTiger
1+1=3
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:52 pm to lsumatt
quote:
I think that is right
Tis. I calc'd earlier this morning.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:55 pm to 7thWardTiger
I did the calculation last night if they got .95 in the computers they'd need 38% of both polls. Should be easy to calculate now that we know the coaches
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:56 pm to lsumatt
quote:Its going to be a nailbiter for both parties, for sure. How Bama kept ahead in Sagarin amazes me. I can see how in Wolfe though(i believe that's the comp that bases its points percentage on the previous years final poll(so Bama got the maximum points for beating #1Auburn, and not a value equal to beating #24 auburn, if that makes sense)
If Bama gets Sagarin and Wolfe,Jerry Palm is saying OSU needs to be ahead in the Harris by FIVE votes - I think that is right and unfortunately for OSU, a bit out of their reach.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:56 pm to lsumatt
quote:
If Bama gets Sagarin and Wolfe,Jerry Palm is saying OSU needs to be ahead in the Harris by FIVE votes - I think that is right and unfortunately for OSU, a bit out of their reach.
Hope you and Jerry are right.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:56 pm to 7thWardTiger
How did you reproduce the Wolfe Poll?
Pure guess based on a source?
Pure guess based on a source?
Posted on 12/4/11 at 3:57 pm to The Easter Bunny
quote:if that holds true, its over. Bama to NOLA unless the Harris is a miracle
I did the calculation last night if they got .95 in the computers they'd need 38% of both polls. Should be easy to calculate now that we know the coaches
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