To Avoid Rematch: VT is the Key

Under the assumptions (a) we win out, (b) Oklahoma beats Iowa State this weekend, (c) Oklahoma State wins Bedlam; then VT becomes the key. VT has ZERO chance of making the Title Game because of their computer rankings, but they do have the chance to take votes away from OSU trying to catch Bama.

Example:
Anti-rematch voter has: 1) LSU 2) OSU 3) Bama 4) VT
-This would be like 1 vote for OSU over Bama
SEC homer voter has: 1) LSU 2) Bama 3) VT 4) OSU
-This would be like 2 votes for Bama over OSU

What I’m saying is that pro-Bama voters may have ballots that essentially are worth more than anti-rematch voters because no one will put Bama below 3, but it is possible for VT to wedge in between Bama and OSU on the pro-Bama ballots.

I will GUARANTEE that if the above three assumptions take place AND VT loses to either UVA or Clemson that OSU will make the BCSNC over Bama because:
- They will be a unanimous #2 in the computers (almost already are)
- They will have played on the final weekend of the season while Bama sat at home
- They will be a conference champion (not required, but is significant to many voters)
- They will have not played LSU (many voters are anti-rematch)

Voters have shown they are willing change their order on the last weekend (’06 and ’07) and there are more regions of this country that are anti-SEC than pro-SEC.

Cliffs Notes: The key to avoiding rematch is VT losing. If it becomes a one-on-one comparison between Bama and OSU, the Pokes will prevail. If it remains a jumbled mess, the Tide will get the nod.