BOP listing 12 degrees?

I knew what listing meant. I was curious of the significance in terms of well integrity. If the BOP goes on to its side what does that mean for flow rate and the relief wells?

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The first sign that the releif well won't work.

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I am worried about that. No one is saying much about it right now. If the well caves, and relief wells don't work, is there anyway to stop the oil? I feel like a roach on my back...

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BOP listing 12 degrees?

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Can someone who is not forcing a political agenda or someone without foil on their head please explain the significance of this?

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Oh shite

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The well pressure is causing the well to cave in. No way to stop this thing now.

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sigh....

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The communication among the sectors of the well are not holding. It means that the hole is getting bigger and eventually will cave in. The releif well prob will not work because the "hole" will become a cavern. No way to pump enough mud down a small diameter hole to bottom plug the well. In short, listing is a bad, bad thing. The first sign that the releif well won't work.

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You're going on the List as well.

No expert here but this is my understanding.

The relief wells will intersect a little above the reservoir.

The well bore probably has a leak somewhere.

It is probably not near the bottom or the top kill would have worked.

The well holds up the BOP since the gulf floor is very muddy and will not hold up much of anything.

So the first part of the seafloor, from the seafloor down to about a few hundred feets (1000???)holds the well casing which then supports the BOP.

If the oil is pressuring out at the rupture it is possible that it could erode the earth around the bore hole.

If the upper part of the borehole has the geology eroded away the BOP will pull it over and the well will likely be shear beneath the gulf floor.

The well will then spew oil until the bottom kill can stop it.

Ummm... I do want to know.

So either it has been this way since the rig sunk, or it is the end of all life as we know it Hopefully the truth lies somewhere in the middle and these relief wells are successful.

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The well can still be killed with the relief well even if the surface conductor caves in.

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This is what I believe to be true as well unless I am not fully visualizing this properly.

You have the well bore down to the oil resivoir which is at a >>P than that of the surroundings which is why the oil is gushing out. Because of the violent nature of the expelled oil along with the entrained abrasive elements (ie sand etc) it is causing the well bore to erode away not cave in as one poster said. It would be impossible for the well bore to cave inward near the surface due to the large pressure differential.

Because all other methods have ceased to work, including the top kill method one can speculate the reason is because there is actually a leak somewhere between the casing of the BOP and that of the oil resevoir. What the relief well(s) intend to accomplish is to decrease the pressure differential between the oil resevoir and that of the leaky well bore.

Intuitively this makes sense that it would work it is just how long it will take to drill the relief well(s). Please feel free to critique what I have written as I have no first hand knowledge of what is truly taking place. Is this correct??