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The Ultimate Guide to How The United States Will Advance
Posted on 6/18/10 at 11:47 am
Posted on 6/18/10 at 11:47 am
Let me know if my math is wrong or if I left out a scenario.
This post was edited on 6/18/10 at 3:54 pm
11
Posted on 6/18/10 at 11:50 am to macatak911
nice list... care to figure out all of the GD scenarios? 
Posted on 6/18/10 at 11:55 am to macatak911
you have quite a few mistakes on there where you didn't apply points for ties
Posted on 6/18/10 at 11:55 am to macatak911
Posted on 6/18/10 at 12:08 pm to macatak911
The moral of this story appears to be that if USA win vs. Algeria, the likelihood of not advancing is very small (namely, England wins today--probable--and then plays Slovenia to a tie--possible, but improbable if England hasn't clinched already). Seem right?
Posted on 6/18/10 at 1:00 pm to macatak911
someone was bored in excel at work today
Posted on 6/18/10 at 1:06 pm to macatak911
Let's simplify this, eh?
We will not advance if we lose to Algeria. A draw vs. Algeria will have us at 3 points, which will PROBABLY not be enough to advance. As an athlete, you focus on winning you next match, so let's just say that if the US doesn't win, we don't advance.
So, we beat Algeria, that gives us 5 points. The only match that truly matters is England/Slovenia. Why? Because Slovenia has 4 points right now. If Algeria beats England and loses to us, they only have three points. If England loses to Algeria, then they can only total 4 points with a win vs. Slovenia.
So basically, we win vs. Algeria, then we want to win by 2 or more OR we want England to beat Slovenia.
So beat Algeria by 2, and we're pretty much assured of getting into the knockout stages.
We will not advance if we lose to Algeria. A draw vs. Algeria will have us at 3 points, which will PROBABLY not be enough to advance. As an athlete, you focus on winning you next match, so let's just say that if the US doesn't win, we don't advance.
So, we beat Algeria, that gives us 5 points. The only match that truly matters is England/Slovenia. Why? Because Slovenia has 4 points right now. If Algeria beats England and loses to us, they only have three points. If England loses to Algeria, then they can only total 4 points with a win vs. Slovenia.
So basically, we win vs. Algeria, then we want to win by 2 or more OR we want England to beat Slovenia.
So beat Algeria by 2, and we're pretty much assured of getting into the knockout stages.
Posted on 6/18/10 at 1:17 pm to macatak911
My scenario:
1. Brits tie Algeria today.
2. US crushes Algeria by 3.
3. Brits beat Slovenia by 1.
USA #1 with 5
Brits #2 with 5
1. Brits tie Algeria today.
2. US crushes Algeria by 3.
3. Brits beat Slovenia by 1.
USA #1 with 5
Brits #2 with 5
Posted on 6/18/10 at 3:24 pm to macatak911
Need to fix your final column, Alg will always have 1 point
Posted on 6/18/10 at 3:25 pm to macatak911
So basically win and we are through. If we tie then root for Slovenia.
Either way root for Slovenia.
Either way root for Slovenia.
Posted on 6/18/10 at 3:37 pm to macatak911
Hey slacker could you update it now...haha j/k!
Posted on 6/18/10 at 3:41 pm to macatak911
So, we can tie all of our group games and still advance? This Cup only happens every 4 years, you think they would require a win. I mean it is possible there will only be one win in our group. Holy cow.
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