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WOW. Massive prediction in the NYTimes...
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:52 pm
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:52 pm
7
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:55 pm to Sophandros
That's some weak reasoning. The Saints schedule wasn't any better than the Vikings. Homefield advantage is what this game will come down to. I'd be worried if we were going up there.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:55 pm to Sophandros
Wow they really like the Saints chances to win even more than the Colts.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:56 pm to TigerinATL
quote:
That's some weak reasoning
It's not really reasoning. It's an explanation of how the Vikings amassed their raw #s and how the system downrates those #s with opponent adjustments...
Posted on 1/21/10 at 12:59 pm to Sophandros
then they need to do the same adjustments with the saints, they had a weaker schedule, i'm sure both teams numbers look less impressive if you take out the lions, bucs, rams, etc.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:02 pm to josh336
you know for a fact our schedule was weaker? seems like they probably crunched more #s and did more leg work than you.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:06 pm to Sophandros
79%?
Holy shite.
Holy shite.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:08 pm to BilJ
quote:
you know for a fact our schedule was weaker? seems like they probably crunched more #s and did more leg work than you.
Yes, there was a thread yesterday posting winning percentage of opponents and the Saints were dead last and Vikings were 2nd to dead last.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:09 pm to Sophandros
quote:
It's not really reasoning. It's an explanation
Ever heard of the word "pedantic"?
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:10 pm to josh336
they aren't looking at W/L for schedule strength. Rather, they are looking at the accumulation of yards against a good pass defense (for example) or stuffing the running attack of a poor run defense...
You could just go ahead and read his methodology...
You could just go ahead and read his methodology...
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:11 pm to Sophandros
quote:
You could just go ahead and read his methodology...
You're the one that told us to skip to the end
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:12 pm to Sophandros
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:12 pm to Sophandros
quote:
they aren't looking at W/L for schedule strength. Rather, they are looking at the accumulation of yards against a good pass defense (for example) or stuffing the running attack of a poor run defense... You could just go ahead and read his methodology...
Didn't realize that, you said to skip down to the end, but if true, great
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:13 pm to Sophandros
quote:
You could just go ahead and read his methodology
It's not really a methodology. It's more of a generalized outlook.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:13 pm to TigerinATL
quote:
You're the one that told us to skip to the end
The last line of the article is:
quote:
Brian explained how his predictions work in this post.
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:14 pm to Sophandros
They had us at 81% last week when experts thought we wouldnt be able to slow down Warner
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:17 pm to Sophandros
This guys response to the Jets chances is awesome.
I keep picturing Gandalf (the NYC sportswriters) leaning down to Pippin (Jets fans) and saying, "There was never much hope--or only a fool's hope" while Frodo (Sanchez) and Sam (Rex Ryan)* struggle toward Mordor (Miami) and the Witch-King (Manning) and Pig Orc (Dallas Clark) descend on Minas Tirith (the AFC Championship game).
It gets confused after that. I think I've made Darelle Revis Eowyn. Would they just play the darn game already!
* Fat, tricksy hobbit!
I keep picturing Gandalf (the NYC sportswriters) leaning down to Pippin (Jets fans) and saying, "There was never much hope--or only a fool's hope" while Frodo (Sanchez) and Sam (Rex Ryan)* struggle toward Mordor (Miami) and the Witch-King (Manning) and Pig Orc (Dallas Clark) descend on Minas Tirith (the AFC Championship game).
It gets confused after that. I think I've made Darelle Revis Eowyn. Would they just play the darn game already!
* Fat, tricksy hobbit!
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:27 pm to Sophandros
So this is like "gettingold"s power rankings except it includes both defensive and offensive statistics and not special teams
Posted on 1/21/10 at 1:32 pm to josh336
That is a terrible argument. It'll come down to positional match-ups and The Department of Domeland Security.
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