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Nick Baumgardner's scouting strengths and weaknesses of 2026 NFL Draft’s top 3 QBs

Posted on 2/16/26 at 1:59 pm
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
65843 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 1:59 pm
I wasn't sure where to put this, so I'll put it here since it's draft related.

The article may be behind a paywall, so if you can't read all of it his top 3 QBs, in order, are Fernando Mendoza, Ty Simpson, and Garrett Nussmeier.

quote:


QB3: Garrett Nussmeier, LSU
Size: 6-1, 205 | Age: 24

Strengths
A smallish quarterback with above-average arm talent and confidence to burn, Nussmeier plays with explosive hips and can create the type of off-balance torque we see from great shortstops.

From a stylistic standpoint, an NFL comp for Nussmeier might be a smaller Baker Mayfield. A very confident passer who showed great command of what the LSU offense was trying to do, Nussmeier also flashed toughness, trying to play through injuries and behind a poor offensive line last season.

Another son of a coach (Nussmeier’s father, Doug, is a longtime college and NFL assistant who’s currently the offensive coordinator for the New Orleans Saints), Nussmeier sat behind Jayden Daniels for two seasons. He then threw for more than 4,000 yards in 2024 and could have declared for the 2025 draft, but opted to return to LSU for a fifth season.

A seasoned, intelligent player, Nussmeier is another strong processor who won’t be overwhelmed by an NFL scheme.

Weaknesses
Nussmeier’s confidence is a very sharp, double-edged sword. Some of his biggest mistakes, even as a fifth-year quarterback, were on YOLO decisions that just weren’t necessary. Many of these, in which he trusted his arm too much, led to turnovers.

It’s a good thing that Nussmeier isn’t afraid to deliver the ball over the middle into tight windows, but there were too many times in college when his risk-reward ratio was just off. He has to work to be an efficient, under-control player from wire to wire, not unlike former South Carolina and current New Orleans Saints QB Spencer Rattler.

Nussmeier is also an undersized player — he measured in at the Senior Bowl at 6 feet 1, 202 pounds with 8 6/8-inch hands. (For comparison’s sake, Nussmeier’s hands were smaller than 5-9, 198-pound Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia). Nussmeier has taken a lot of hits, although he played through an injury-riddled 2025 campaign at LSU.

Bottom line:
Nussmeier’s size might be enough to disqualify him as a starter, but his football IQ, moxie and arm talent put him in the high-floor backup category. He’s a player who can steer the ship in a pinch, perhaps more. He is a top-100 prospect and likely will come off the board on Day 2
.
the athletic
This post was edited on 2/16/26 at 2:00 pm
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
75256 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 2:02 pm to
From the first game he played to his last he looked to get worse whatever the reasons.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27249 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 2:04 pm to
for all the shite about nuss, him being small never crossed my mind
Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
16363 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 2:38 pm to
So glad we don't need to draft a QB this year.

Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62533 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

From a stylistic standpoint, an NFL comp for Nussmeier might be a smaller Baker Mayfield


I'm not sure Nussmeier is smaller than Baker.

I think that's probably the best comparison although Baker is more mobile, IMO.
Posted by BadatBourre
Member since Jan 2019
1256 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

I'm not sure Nussmeier is smaller than Baker.


Both are 6'1"
Posted by whodatfan
Member since Mar 2008
22015 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 4:21 pm to
Nice way to camouflage a homer post. lol
Posted by Chrome
Chromeville
Member since Nov 2007
12991 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

glad we don't need to draft a QB this year.



There is not a single QB in this draft or last year's draft I would take over Shough.
Posted by Yippie_Ky_yae
Member since Jun 2019
4668 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 10:01 pm to
Posted by bstaceyau19
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2022
1143 posts
Posted on 2/16/26 at 10:25 pm to
They were talking about this on Movin the Chains today on Sirius XM NFL Radio. Pat Kerwin said that Mendoza was the only 1st Round caliber QB in the draft. He said that in his eyes, Nuss is next due to his experience and football IQ but he's probably a 3rd round level talent. Everyone else: 5th Round or lower. He singled out Ty Simpson from Alabama: "Just 311 college passes. No way in hell I draft that guy anytime before the 5th or 6th round."
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