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Dems just flipped a Texas State Senate Seat in a county that Trump won by +17

Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:16 pm
Posted by Green Chili Tiger
Lurking the Tin Foil Hat Board
Member since Jul 2009
50637 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:16 pm
Posted by Richleau
Member since Dec 2018
4304 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:17 pm to
Indian influx. H1B Abbot is reaping what he has sown.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:22 pm to


No, a random state Senate seat in Texas is not indicative of anything.
Posted by AquaAg84
Member since May 2013
3658 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:24 pm to
The 'journalist' Scott incorrectly uses the word 'biggest' when it should be 'most populated'. Freaking idiot.
Posted by Jugbow
Member since Nov 2025
3592 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:25 pm to
Guess it wasn’t really the biggest red county in the country huh
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

The 'journalist' Scott incorrectly uses the word 'biggest' when it should be 'most populated'. Freaking idiot.


Less than 100,000 people voted in this special election. If anything this is a sign of Texas Republicans not getting the vote out for this special state election. Nothing more.
Posted by Zap Rowsdower
MissLou, La
Member since Sep 2010
15923 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:26 pm to
This is the special election meant to fill the vacant seat ahead of session starting, no?

There’s still a primary to be had in March and a general in November to actually fill the seat for a full term.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

This is the special election meant to fill the vacant seat ahead of session starting, no?

There’s still a primary to be had in March and a general in November to actually fill the seat for a full term.


Yes. This is nothing and means nothing.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
95953 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:28 pm to
POLITICAL EARTHQUAKE!!!
Posted by TheBeezer
Texas
Member since Apr 2013
2073 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:30 pm to
Nobody came out to vote because its 18 degrees here today after a week of being iced in. Weather was the biggest factor.
Posted by CastleBravo
Rapid City, SD
Member since Sep 2013
1397 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:31 pm to
Man, democrats can win the US senate seat in Texas!

Better spend billions to try to make it happen.

Worked for Beto so well.
Posted by Green Chili Tiger
Lurking the Tin Foil Hat Board
Member since Jul 2009
50637 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:37 pm to
You guys are right. A 32 point Dem overperformance in a district a Dem hasn't won in half a century is definitely no big deal. It's probably just the weather.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:39 pm to
quote:

Nobody came out to vote because its 18 degrees here today after a week of being iced in. Weather was the biggest factor.


And it doesn't matter. This Dem will lose the seat before even serving a full year.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:39 pm to
quote:

You guys are right.


Correct. This meaningless election isn't a big deal. It means nothing.
Posted by Zap Rowsdower
MissLou, La
Member since Sep 2010
15923 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:42 pm to
quote:

You guys are right. A 32 point Dem overperformance in a district a Dem hasn't won in half a century is definitely no big deal. It's probably just the weather.


Tell you what, if it happens in November I’ll give you three days to draw a crowd then kiss your arse.
Posted by FourThinInches
Member since Apr 2012
1356 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:44 pm to
quote:

Less than 100,000 people voted in this special election. If anything this is a sign of Texas Republicans not getting the vote out for this special state election. Nothing more.

I live here, I voted last Friday in early voting as a major snow and ice storm was blowing in the day and shite down the city for duration of early voting.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
64055 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

I live here, I voted last Friday in early voting as a major snow and ice storm was blowing in the day and shite down the city for duration of early voting.


Have to admit, I definitely wouldn't be getting out to vote in this weather for an election where the winner won't even be representing me for anything of substance unless he/she wins the actual election in November.
This post was edited on 1/31/26 at 11:48 pm
Posted by Zap Rowsdower
MissLou, La
Member since Sep 2010
15923 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:48 pm to
quote:

I live here, I voted last Friday in early voting as a major snow and ice storm was blowing in the day and shite down the city for duration of early voting.













But seriously we need more folks like you.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20792 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:54 pm to
Wait until mid-terms …
The dysfunction is coming at historic levels.
Posted by RelicBatches86
Florida
Member since Nov 2024
1201 posts
Posted on 1/31/26 at 11:58 pm to
because its almost impossible for Dems to win the Senate. the over-performances wont matter.


LINK

But Democrats are bound to be disappointed at the 2026 midterm results, finding that the wave elections of old resemble little more than faint white caps off a quiet inlet.

The last time more than 13 seats flipped in a midterm election was 2018, when the Democrats leveraged overwhelming frustration with the first Trump administration to pick up 41 House seats in the nation’s largest midterm turnout in over 100 years. Republicans then clawed back 12 seats in 2020.

More telling, though, were the 2022 midterms. They were widely expected to be a red wave fueled by a historically unpopular Democratic president whose party enjoyed two consecutive years of unilateral control in Washington. But Republicans only barely won the majority, flipping just nine seats. And in 2024, Democrats picked up two seats, leaving Republicans with the smallest House majority in history. Amid all these races, the largest gain in the Senate by either party was only four seats.

In short, wave midterms simply aren’t happening anymore. Why? Increased political polarization and aggressive gerrymandering have left far fewer congressional districts in play. Studies estimate that just 10 percent of today’s congressional districts are competitive, down from 40 percent in the 1990s. In 2022, just 6 percent of voters supported a congressional candidate in a different party than their presidential pick of 2020.

But it’s not just history and data draining the possibility of a blue wave in 2026.
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