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Will someone tell SVP and ESPN this bad beat shite he goes on and on about is not good TV

Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:27 pm
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
6754 posts
Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:27 pm
Gamblers across the spectrum has worst beats that he can show. We get it shite happens you lose- on the flip people have had shite happen annd they win!!!! and people will still lineup and bet again.

We don’t need his 15-20 minutes of rambling about Tech and Kennsaw state.

I
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
6672 posts
Posted on 10/13/25 at 11:46 pm to
Its entertaining dude. Find something else to complain about. Would you rather them show game highlights for the fifteenth time?
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
6754 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 12:11 am to
quote:

Its entertaining dude


No it’s not entertaining. Everytime someone loses money it a bad beat.

But he’s not really betting any? so him going on and on about a bad beat seems like bullshite- we know that it is.I Don’t need some sportscaster to tell us what a bad beat is.
This post was edited on 10/14/25 at 12:15 am
Posted by D011ahbi11
Member since Jun 2007
13673 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 12:18 am to
quote:

Everytime someone loses money it a bad beat.


No.
Just shut up and change the channel
You’re out of your element
Posted by Zzyzx
Member since Nov 2018
2373 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 12:20 am to
Bad Beats is literally, no exaggeration, the only thing i tune into ESPN for except for live sports.

It’s great TV
Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 1:25 am to
if bettors paid attention, they might learn something about sucker lines like liberty -9.5 and o/u 47.5 tomorrow. liberty and under is so obvious, until you consider the probability of the game being ~30-14 late in the 4Q with new mexico state going up against liberty's 2's playing prevent
Posted by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot
in the transfer portal
Member since Dec 2009
2385 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 2:23 am to
So, what's your pick then?
Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 2:35 am to
assuming nm state wasn't off a bye/liberty on short week...liberty -9.5, under 47.5, close under before 3Q kickoff if liberty gets ball/after 1st possession if NM ST gets it, close liberty -9.5 before nm state 1st possession under 10 minutes left in 4q, start looking for a new book because you're about to get limited
This post was edited on 10/14/25 at 2:58 am
Posted by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot
in the transfer portal
Member since Dec 2009
2385 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 2:46 am to
quote:

assuming nm state wasn't on a bye/liberty on short week...liberty -9.5, under 47.5, close under before 3Q kickoff if liberty gets ball/after 1st possession if NM ST gets it, close liberty -9.5 before nm state 1st possession under 10 minutes left in 4q, start looking for a new book because you're about to get limited


It's OK if you don't want to state what your picks are!

A couple of weeks ago you claimed a
quote:

65% win rate on 35 bets

if you count them as 35 individual bets, then you won 15 of them = <43% (42.86%)
if you count the "AND" wagers, it gets even worse for you because you lost 4 out of 5 of those !

PITT -4.5
OREGON STATE +1.5 O53.5
LOUISVILLE -6.5 U62.5
MARYLAND +7.5 U53.5
JAMES MADISON -17.5 U54.5
MIAMI(OH) +1.5
PENN STATE U50.5
TEXAS STATE -8.5 U65.5
OLD DOMINION -14 U54.5
TEXAS TECH -8.5
UNLV -3.5 U53.5
DUKE -1.5 O56.5
MEMPHIS -20.5 AND U57
UTSA -6.5
FLORIDA STATE +7.5 O53.5
ILLINOIS -9.5 O55.5
MISS STATE +16 AND U58.5
TEXAS -5.5 AND U42.5
SAN DIEGO STATE -4.5 AND U41.5
NEW MEXICO +3.5 AND U58.5

Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 3:03 am to
edit: I feel awfully strange making picks this week for some reason, so I’m going to retract all of those and take a dart board approach for fun. Because no one would ever bet these games, but let’s just see how random chance does for this weekend

Stanford +19.5 and U vs Florida State
Minnesota vs Nebraska
Penn State ML and O fresh on firing a coach vs Iowa
Arizona State ML vs Texas Tech
UAB +21 vs Memphis
Washington State ML vs Virginia
Florida Atlantic +21 vs South Florida
Syracuse ML vs Pitt
Oklahoma State +21.5 Vs Cincinatti
Arkansas ML vs Texas A&M
Louisville ML vs Miami
UNLV ML vs Boise state
Hawaii ML vs Colorado State
Eastern Michigan ML vs Miami(OH)
UMASS+16.5 vs Buffalo
Northern Illinois ML and O vs Ohio
Wisconsin ML vs Ohio State
Tulsa +ML vs East Carolina

Obviously I would never actually bet these games, but let’s just see how these do this weekend. Call it a hunch
This post was edited on 10/14/25 at 9:31 pm
Posted by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot
in the transfer portal
Member since Dec 2009
2385 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 3:51 am to
My apologies...after further review, it appears that you went 16 of 25 on individual bets.
If they are not parlays then, why bother to include (and capitalize) the word "AND"?

GTFO with that bullshite! You lost 4 out 5 of your two-pick PARLAYS.

As for "closing early," I can only assume that you referring to some sort of "Cash Out" feature. You don't get to claim wins or avoid losses just because you decided to accept a reduced pay-out or reduced loss of your original wager.
Nice try though!

17 out of 30 = 56.66%
You're barely ahead of the vig!

Better luck to you on these:
quote:

SOUTH ALABAMA -6 O58.5
FIU +10.5 O56.5
LOUISVILLE +13.5 U53.5
ARIZONA STATE(assuming Leavitt plays) +12.5 O48.5
NEBRASKA -5.5 U48.5
TULSA +17.0 U55.5
WASHINGTON +9.5 U47.5
ARIZONA +2.5 U47.5
UCF -7 U48.5
UTAH -3 O47.5
UNLV +11.5 O62.5
USC +9.5 O61.5
FAU +22.5 O73.5
MARSHALL +5.5 O64.5
SOUTHERN MISS -2.5 O54.5
AUBURN -2.5 U44.5
IOWA -1.5 U39.5
TENNER +7.5 O58.5


Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 3:58 am to
I would literally never bet a parlay...ever. Cashing out is an effective strategy, particularly using this hedging method taking O/U on the same game which has the highest probability of pairing with either spread. I've literally spent the last 6 weeks building and perfecting this strategy, it would have gone 27-14 this past weekend
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
35659 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 8:32 am to
quote:

SECCaptain


Retard
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
Member since May 2012
58666 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 8:34 am to
quote:

Bad Beats is literally, no exaggeration, the only thing i tune into ESPN for except for live sports
my first thought as well
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
40364 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Everytime someone loses money it a bad beat.


So you don't understand the point of the segment. Got it.
Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:49 am to
edit: those numbers are now the complete opposite of other sources, now that's what i call risk management

just using common logic on most spreads tells where the money's going, there's a definite slant on the vast majority of spreads and you don't need a chart to figure out where the public will be heavy. there's also so many fricking trends that become apparent when you really know how/what to look for in studying the teams/matchups vs the public perception of them. no wonder the industry and sports in general are falling apart. what a shite show. 129-84 in 7 weeks? ya, gg. the game is simple, it's not about the vig. it's about getting the public in deep on the wrong side
This post was edited on 10/15/25 at 3:08 pm
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
40364 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Bad Beats is literally, no exaggeration, the only thing i tune into ESPN for except for live sports

my first thought as well


PTI from time to time just for nostalgia sake and bad beats are the only things outside of live sports I watch on ESPN.
Posted by LC4Tigers
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2007
881 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:32 am to
You can’t view your winning percentage the same as everyone else that lets all games play out. A better way would be to look at percentage of games won that you let play out and/or percentage of units won versus units won had you let it play out.

Your 65% is not the same as others because you’re giving up money. Someone at 55% could have a better unit payout comparison. I do think the strategy is interesting if you’re only looking to make a few dollars.
Posted by BillysIsland
Member since Aug 2025
893 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:32 am to
Yeah no one cares about your bad beat. It was charming when betting was illegal but now every Twitter account has a 12 leg parlay that hit 11/12

It's entering the same space as fantasy football beats and dreams. No one gives a frick.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
65976 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:34 am to
Yeah, I actually enjoy hearing the crazy ways people get their heart ripped out on bets. It's more entertaining for me than fantasy discussion.
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