CFP Predictions (End of September)

A month into the college football season now, so we should have enough info to make predictions.

My current prediction is there will be a few 10-2 teams getting left out. Maybe some teams make it less crowded finishing 9-3.

Based on remaining schedules, let’s look at who could still be in the conversation come December:
(Adding odds to make CFP as of 10/1/25)

Big Ten
#1 Ohio State (-2000)
#2 Oregon (-1800)
#7 Penn State (-180)
#8 Indiana, +135 (should be 10-2, win over Illinois, see how they look @Oregon and @Penn St)
#20 Michigan, +290 (could be 10-2)
#22 Illinois (should be 10-2 with 2 blowout losses)
Nebraska (could be 10-2, @ Maryland will be big)
USC, +600 (still a chance, but could be over by November)

SEC
#4 Ole Miss (-165)
#5 OU (+145)
#6 A&M (-115)
#9 Texas (-160)
#10 Bama (-200)
#12 UGA (-170)
#13 LSU (+170)
#15 Tennessee (+250)
#16 Vandy (+450)

All of these teams realistically have a shot (Sorry Mizzou), will have a better picture after October.

ACC
#3 Miami (-360)
#17 GA Tech, +220 (should be 10-2 & in ACC CG)
#18 FSU, +600 (could be 3-2 after this weekend, but should still end up 10-2)
#24 UVA (underdogs this weekend @Louisville, but toughest remaining games are @ Cal and @ Duke)
California (long shot after their 34-0 loss to SD St)

Big 12
#11 Texas Tech (+130)
#14 Iowa St (+350)
#23 BYU, +700 (could be 10-2)
Utah, +550 (could be 10-2)

ND & others
#21 ND, +140 (should be 10-2)
AAC Champ (USF +450, Memphis +400, Tulane +500, UNT +550)
UNLV (has a chance if they beat Boise, but I think AAC Champ gets the G5 spot)