Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message

FCX - Freeport-Mcmoran (down 16% today)

Posted on 9/24/25 at 7:01 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 7:01 pm
I took a small position in Jan 2027 $50 call options toward the end of the day on the terrible news from their Indonesian mine.

quote:

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX.N), on Wednesday declared force majeure at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia and said it is expecting consolidated sales to be lower for copper and gold in the third quarter, sending its shares down 10.4%.
Earlier this month, the company had temporarily halted mining at Grasberg after a large flow of wet material blocked access to parts of its underground mine, restricting evacuation routes for seven workers.

LINK

It could be a profitable trade rather quickly.
Anyone else?
If not, possibly more downside tomorrow.
This post was edited on 9/24/25 at 7:04 pm
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
78849 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 7:07 pm to
I got them at $7 during the pandemic.
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12264 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 7:37 pm to
i want to see the morning action then might join you. i used to hold long term until last month
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 9/24/25 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

i want to see the morning action then might join you. i used to hold long term until
I’ll give it until tomorrow afternoon to average down.
Paid 3.40
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148001 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 9:52 am to
Picked some up at $35.90


Thanks for the thray!
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30894 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Picked some up at $35.90


Thanks for the thray!

shite. I'm out.
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148001 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

shite. I'm out.
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1430 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 2:37 pm to
Looks like the mine will be closed for quite awhile.
quote:

enzinga
1:44 PM ET Sep-25-2025
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX.NaE) is facing a sharp financial hit following a deadly mud rush at its Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia on September 8, which claimed two lives and left five workers missing.

The incident is expected to trigger substantial near-term production deferrals and weigh on the company’s stock performance.

In response, Scotiabank analysts led by Orest Wowkodaw downgraded Freeport-McMoRan (FCX.NaE) to Sector Perform from Sector Outperform, lowering the 12-month price forecast to $45 from $55.

Also Read: Freeport-McMoRan Confronts Hard Questions After Fatal Mud Rush In Indonesia

The revised valuation reflects a blend of 9.0 times projected 2026-27 EV/EBITDA and 2.0 times the updated 8% NAVPS estimate.

The Grasberg Block Cave, which accounts for about half of Grasberg’s reserves and roughly 70% of its copper and gold output through 2029, suffered extensive damage to equipment, rail and ore-handling systems, analysts said.

The bank stated that production at the affected mine is now expected to be negligible in the fourth quarter of 2025, with output in 2026 forecasted to be approximately 35% below prior guidance.

According to the brokerage, operations at the two unaffected mines in the complex, Big Gossan and Deep MLZ, are expected to resume by mid-fourth quarter 2025, while a phased restart of the Grasberg Block Cave is anticipated in the first half of 2026, with normal rates expected to be possible only in 2027.

Scotiabank cut its earnings forecasts for Freeport following the incident. Adjusted EPS is now projected at $1.29 in 2025 (down from $1.68 previously) and $1.16 in 2026 (down from $1.65), before recovering to $1.49 in 2027.

However, the bank noted, revenues are projected to be $24.98 billion in 2025, $26.02 billion in 2026, and $29.01 billion in 2027, representing an increase.

The brokerage cut its 2025-26 EBITDA estimates by an average of 27% to $8.4 billion and $9.0 billion, and lowered its net asset value estimate by 10% to $19.15 a share. It now sees sharply weaker free cash flow over 2025-27, with buybacks unlikely to ramp up until after 2026.

Price Action: FCX shares were trading lower by 5.51% to $35.60 at last check Thursday.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 7:52 pm to
Thanks. Closed at a loss on this.
Gotta know when to quit sometimes.
Posted by The Scofflaw
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2014
1903 posts
Posted on 9/25/25 at 8:08 pm to
Took a -$1k haircut on it. Luckily still in other miners.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram