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Saints a 16.5 point dog vs. Bills.

Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:26 pm
Posted by JRobe
Member since Jun 2023
60 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:26 pm
I was surprised when the Saints were a 6.5 underdog against the Cardinals at home no less. 16.5 is a lot of points. Might be worth a flutter.
Posted by Sunnyvale
Member since Feb 2024
2006 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:42 pm to
You dont get odds like that often.

Bills barley won against a Miami team last week.
So it might be worth the bet.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87275 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:51 pm to
ugh. yeah i would be more comfortable with a -13. i might have to buy down points OR do a 2 team ML parlay. HAve to find another good team

line should move anyway as wagers hit.

just checked. ML is 1600 would need a 3 team ML parlay to get to -137 odds. i could put bills, texans and lions for that. not crazy about 3 teams parlays tho. ugh.

looks like i will have to buy down points for the spread.
Posted by JRobe
Member since Jun 2023
60 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:52 pm to
Don't expect this betting line to last all week. Probably down to 10 or 12 by game time which is still high.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87275 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

Probably down to 10 or 12 by game time which is still high.


that is high for an NFL game since most games are close and we have so much parity

but........................

bills are really good and the saints suck arse.

bills should win by two TDs and cover. or so i would think. but this is the NFL and anything can happen on any given sunday.
Posted by Legion of Doom
Old Metry
Member since Jan 2018
5544 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 9:32 pm to
That’s crazy high for a professional game. Not saying it’s unwarranted, just really high.
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
7021 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 9:36 pm to
Rarely see a point spread that large in NFL matches. Actually, double digits spreads are rare.
Posted by Dotarian
Midwest
Member since Oct 2012
1682 posts
Posted on 9/22/25 at 10:50 pm to
quote:

16.5 is a lot of points. Might be worth a flutter.
The Bills are much better than the Seahawks, and they beat us by over 30 points. Plus it's in the Bill's stadium.

I think it's likely we lose by at least three touchdowns.
Posted by WheyCheddar
Member since Aug 2024
796 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 4:11 am to
Not enough.
Bills 57
Bags 6
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
7021 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 6:17 am to
I would still take the Bills minus the points.
Posted by tsmit44
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
70 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 9:51 am to
Yeah, 16.5 is massive. Saints are inconsistent but covering that spread seems doable, especially if Bills aren’t firing on all cylinders. I’d be cautious with the size of the bet, but definitely a tempting underdog play.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1797 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Don't expect this betting line to last all week. Probably down to 10 or 12 by game time which is still high.


Lol no. It may move down a tad but definitely won't cross 14
Posted by LSUZombie
A Cemetery Near You
Member since Apr 2008
29511 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 10:01 am to
We just saw Atlanta lose 30-0 t0 Carolina, who has looked worse than us.

This feels like a Vegas trap.
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
16072 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 10:21 am to
Still not touching it.
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18509 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 12:31 pm to
is that all? seems like it should be more
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
70413 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Might be worth a flutter.


IN buffalo after being on the complete other side of the country 7 days earlier?

They could win by 30 if they want to put the hammer down. The action would be if they use it as a mini bye week and rest everyone at half.
This post was edited on 9/23/25 at 12:52 pm
Posted by rpg37
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Sep 2008
53411 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 1:34 pm to
Largest of my lifetime. Last time we were a larger dog, we won outright vs. SF.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
20538 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

that is high for an NFL game since most games are close and we have so much parity

Feels like the league is having some major separation and some of that parity is going away.

20 of 48 games have been decided by 9 points or more
8 games have decided by 19 points or more (3 scores)

The Saints losing by 31 isn't even the worst loss of the season so far.
Cincy lost 48-10. And I realize it was with their backup QB, but it's also the same QB many people on this board wanted the team to trade for.
Bears also lost by 31 to Det in W2
Falcons lost by 30 in a shutout to freaking Carolina.
Posted by Ruston Trombone
Member since Jun 2025
530 posts
Posted on 9/23/25 at 5:53 pm to
Seems like they’re begging you to take the Saints
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