AI and the job market 5 years from now

There won’t be jobs for drivers - service jobs are toast as well

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I’m with you. Pandora’s box is getting opened. We are not ready for the fallout.

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People arent ready for it. The first response was a downvote with no reply. This is how people will respond at first, be mad about it, deny reality and press forward.

Anyone foolish enough to keep the boomer mentality will feel major hurt.

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AI is not nearly as far along as some of you think

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Id argue the opposite. Even if this were true, AI is something that will improve at an exponential rate. We need rules and guidelines.

I’m in one of the fields you said will be replaced by AI shortly. So far I’ve went against lawyers who’ve used AI that’s created fake case citations and misapplied the law. That opens the lawyer and his or her client to sanctions by the court. And even worse, it could be the difference between losing and winning in court.

Maybe you’ll be right in 10 years. And if you are, the government will have to pass a lot of protections. Society isn’t built for people to sit around bored. See summer 2020.

It's not that far along just yet.... but the bigger problem is close to what you are touching on.

You and every OT'er have pushed your children to go get a degree. You expect them to just walk in and get a job right out the gate, not realizing that your children are now competing against the whole world. When their degree that you pushed them to get, fails them, you say "oh, just go be a plumber or electrician", not realizing that those positions also take some schooling and work to get.

All the while, your children are forever priced out of homeownership and there are few opportunities available to them.

This is the problem we have today.

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AI is not nearly as far along as some of you think

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I believe you are underestimating it.

MSN.com - Robinhood CEO - most new code written by AI

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That's according to Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev, who said on the 20VC podcast that the company's human-written code was hard to distinguish from AI-generated code. Among the company's engineers, "close to 100%" are using AI code editors, he said.

When asked what percentage of Robinhood's new code is AI-generated, Tenev said that it was around 50%. That's a higher percentage than what Microsoft and Google have previously said, with CEOs Satya Nadella and Sundar Pichai estimating around 30%.

Tenev acknowledged that the 50% metric was imprecise, thanks to the upgrowth of "agentic" code editors.

"We've moved from GitHub Copilot, which is an autocomplete system, to Cursor, and now things like Windsurf, where nearly all of the code is written by AI," Tenev said. "It's hard to even determine what the human-generated code is."

Taking a guess, Tenev estimated the "minority" of new code at Robinhood was written by humans.

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Short - It has already changed my life

Longer --
All of the major platforms have advanced so much in the past 24 months, they are better at software development [at least in popular computer languages] than the most seasoned human equivalents. As Musk states, you don't have to the smarter than 'ALL', to be more productive than the current workforce. Most of us 'Talent' are somewhat less.

Two years ago, most code generated was basic. It often was riddled with inaccuracies, platform dependencies, errors and limitations.

Two months ago, I became grateful, knowing I will be retiring within a decade. They are ALL now better than I am, with over 40 years experience. I entered this field, half for the science & engineering, half for the art of design -- all for the creation.

Programming will continue and thrive. There will be more solutions generated. Right now it is likened to an the invention of the air-hammer in construction, making the developer several times as productive.

But in just a few years, we will no longer perform any of the development. We will become overseers of the solutions generated, instructed to not touch the generated code by hand. When that stage is successful, C suite executives will start shrinking those roles. No one will really know what is running, when or where.

It is an interesting time. Soon it will move to other disciplines as well. Our workforce will be changed, regardless of whether you are in electrical, mechanical, civil, etc.

Hunt need to make it another 12-17 years.

But my position is safe from AI. But the young guys just starting not so much

I’m not shocked that AI can code

All I know is my Tesla drive flawlessly now for me - in 3 months I’ve had to take over once. And that will only get better and better over the next 5 years.

I watched some of what grok can do and it insane how much better it got in 6 months.