- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
2030 Apportionment Forecast: Republicans expected to get 9 EVs and Dems to lose 8
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:45 pm
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:45 pm
7
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:49 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
California is already somehow 43-9 D to R. They will find some way to make it 43-6.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:49 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
What is this same type of date for the House? I’d like to see where that will be in the future as well.
Especially with the crackdown on illegal immigration and deportation/self deportation how that plays with the census data.
Especially with the crackdown on illegal immigration and deportation/self deportation how that plays with the census data.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:51 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
So is a fair way of looking at this something like: if this map had been in place in 2024, Trump would have needed 1 or 2 less swing states to win?
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:52 pm to Laugh More
quote:
What is this same type of date for the House? I’d like to see where that will be in the future as well.
Totally depends on how each state redraws their congressional districts in 2030
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:53 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
The South is rising again
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:54 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
The census counters will undercount red states like they did in 2020 and the GOPe will do nothing about it, again.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 1:59 pm to BamaCoaster
quote:
The South is rising again
Posted on 3/18/25 at 2:25 pm to Big Scrub TX
Based on 2024, here is the difference. Remember, Trump won all 7 swing states and 312 EVs.
Harris States:
CA -3
NY -2
OR -1
MN -1
IL -1
RI -1
Dems lose 9 votes
Trump States:
TX +4
FL +4
ID +1
UT +1
AZ +1
WI -1
PA -1
Reps gain 9 votes.
So, using the 7 swing states of GA, AZ, NC, PA, MI, WI and NV, the Republican in 2028 could lose MI, WI and PA and NV and win the presidency.
Harris States:
CA -3
NY -2
OR -1
MN -1
IL -1
RI -1
Dems lose 9 votes
Trump States:
TX +4
FL +4
ID +1
UT +1
AZ +1
WI -1
PA -1
Reps gain 9 votes.
So, using the 7 swing states of GA, AZ, NC, PA, MI, WI and NV, the Republican in 2028 could lose MI, WI and PA and NV and win the presidency.
This post was edited on 3/18/25 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 3/18/25 at 2:34 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
The US Census Bureau will screw up the count and not "discover" the accounting errors until after reapportionment (Whoopsie!) just like they did in 2020. CA and NY are presently overrepresented, while FL and TX are shorted some congressional seats (a few other states were impacted, also). Funny how these errors always benefit Democrats.
Posted on 3/18/25 at 3:46 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
If they only counted citizens it would be far worse for the democrats.
(And they should only count citizens)
(And they should only count citizens)
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News