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INTs - Our Achilles Heel This Week

Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:31 am
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
3020 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:31 am
This is mostly obvious, but this is essentially going to determine the game.

LSU is 21st in throwing INTs, Alabama is 10th in intercepting passes.

On the flip side, Alabama is middle of the pack throwing INTs at #62 nationally, while LSU rarely gets interceptions sitting at #105.

This is likely in large part because of the drastic difference in being able to run the ball, setting up manageable 3rd and short's rather than difficult 3rd and long's requiring easy reads for Milroe and tough decisions for Nuss. Alabama is 47th in rushing yards per game, while LSU is 111th.
This post was edited on 11/6/24 at 11:32 am
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
50859 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:36 am to
he has to take care of the ball
Posted by TIGERSby10
Central Lafourche
Member since Nov 2005
7400 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:39 am to
The weather might be the biggest factor. If we are in a monsoon, running the ball is your friend. We all know what that spells for LSU.
Posted by lsudave1
Baton Metairie
Member since Jan 2005
9925 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:47 am to
quote:

If we are in a monsoon


The only monsoons on Saturday shall be the piss balloons raining on the Alabama team and faithful and their monsoon of tears as they watch their season end!
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47445 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 11:59 am to
Weather will not be a issue.
Posted by AC SLATER
Member since March 2017
Member since Nov 2024
29 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 3:19 pm to
If nobody is open he needs to either run (which he prob won't) or throw it away quickly. Don't be a hero every play.
Posted by TigerMonkey7
Member since Jul 2021
3233 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:28 am to
If Nuss has an INT free game we win.
Posted by Locoguan0
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2017
6237 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:45 am to
The low INT rank is based on two games... Nuss just has to get his head out of his arse. Coaching has to improve.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6145 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

LSU is 21st in throwing INTs,


quote:

On the flip side, Alabama is middle of the pack throwing INTs at #62


quote:

easy reads for Milroe and tough decisions for Nuss.


what if I told you that Milroe throws more interceptions per attempt than Nuss. Stats can be misleading.
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
3020 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

what if I told you that Milroe throws more interceptions per attempt than Nuss. Stats can be misleading.
That would be besides the point. The point being that Alabama doesn't have to throw the ball 40-50 times per game because they have a running game keeping them ahead of the sticks, and that allows Milroe to either hand the ball off more or at least puts much less pressure on him to make difficult throws. Nussmeier has constantly had significant pressure to make difficult throws, and while you're correct that he makes fewer mistakes per attempt, the sheer volume of our passing game has made his INTs inflated. This isn't intended to be a "Nussmeier vs Milroe" based post, as you're implying.

If we can even the playing field with our running game, then the INTs per attempt stat you've brought up here would really come into play.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Augusta, GA
Member since Mar 2014
9923 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 3:20 pm to
We should operate under the guise of "nothing cheap, nothing deep." Milroe is not someone who is going to pick you apart in the intermediate to short passing game. He gets easy completions and takes shots down field.

If we can take away the easy throws and deep throws he is going to take it off and run or force the ball over the middle (which he struggles with). Would like to see how we plan on stopping his running attack and scrambles while also forcing him to throw the ball into tight windows/intermediate throws.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2004
7561 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 3:22 pm to
Or, as Curly Hallman would say, our "Achilles' tendon."
Posted by LSUJCC
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Aug 2014
212 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

what if I told you that Milroe throws more interceptions per attempt than Nuss. Stats can be misleading.


Correct, but they are pretty close in interceptions per attempt… Nuss throws an interception every 37 pass attempts (9 out of 333) and Milroe throws an interception every 34 pass attempts (6 out of 203).

They are also almost identical in TD to INT ratio… Nuss is 2.22 to 1 (20-9) and Milroe is 2.17 to 1 (13-6).
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6145 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

That would be besides the point.


of course it would. You made a point to point out where lsu was ranked for throwing interceptions compared to Bama, but you left out we throw it more than 50% more than they do...which obviously increases the risk of interceptions.
Posted by lsu4life77
Member since Jun 2010
1513 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:54 pm to
Score 5TDs and give up 2 INTs, I am ok with that. See it all the time in the NFL
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