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Florida's Trump advantage seems to be getting closer and closer to 15%

Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45853 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm
Started off at over 20% today. Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory. 15% and he has a chance but 20% is where we want it to be.

Don't hate me for this but we do need to temper our expectations.

Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places, and that usually favors democrats.
Posted by BlueFalcon
Aberdeen Scotland
Member since Dec 2011
3016 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm to
Wait until the panhandle gets off work
Posted by tigerbait1.6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2013
4201 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm to
wait for the panhandle. they will blow it out of the water, they always do
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
9569 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm to
He’s at 18% currently
Posted by Tesla
the Laurentian Abyss
Member since Dec 2011
8914 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm to
1,800,000 spread right now going into the panhandle. GTFO.
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9890 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm to
Well he just picked up another vote from me in southwest florida. Then I'm getting one of my best friends to go vote in the next hour.
Posted by Dandy Chiggins
Member since Jan 2021
685 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
Summarizing above:
Hes at 18 without the Panhandle.
Relax
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
29247 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
What is with you people? He's going to be over 20% by end of day
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
71040 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victor


WTF
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
21783 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places,

I've seen this said for every presidential election since I could vote in '04.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15481 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
Dude you are a legit retard. He is at 18%. Go take your medicine
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
49311 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory.


No, 20% would signify a major landslide nationally, per DataRepublican.

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Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45961 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
He's at 18% right now and from 6PM - 7PM Eastern we'll only have the panhandle reporting
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
29247 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
Yeah that's fake
Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24254 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
I’m seeing 17.85%? Also the panhandle votes when they get off work mostly and that is good for a couple of percentage points at least
Posted by Tigers4Lyfe
Member since Nov 2010
5603 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
Are you dumb?
Posted by Golgi Apparatus
Member since Sep 2009
3012 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Started off at over 20% today. Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory. 15% and he has a chance but 20% is where we want it to be.


It’s stabilizing around 17.9. I’d wager it’s going to be anywhere between 17 and 19.
Posted by Radio One
On the banks of the Wabash
Member since Sep 2023
4841 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

stuntman

Attaboy.

Let’s do this.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13583 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:35 pm to
It is tracking to end at 16.5 - 17 without making the assumption that the late shift will move it back towards the GOP.

The theory was that 20% signals a Trump blowout, 15% is close, 10% Kamala.

17-18 is on the Trump end of close.
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
18229 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:35 pm to
Did OP say election day usually favors the Dema? What a fig
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