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Betting markets breaking heavily towards Trump!

Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:46 am
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7355 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:46 am
Polymarket (62/38) TRUMP
Predictit (55/51) TRUMP
Kalshi (57/43) TRUMP

These are 4-5 point improvements from around 11 PM last night. Dixville Notch must be playing into this.
Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24738 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:48 am to
They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
20804 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:49 am to
Predictit might be the most somber indicator for her even though it's the tightest as they stubbornly held the lead there for a long time.
Posted by Nonetheless
MAGA
Member since Jan 2012
34371 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:49 am to
That’s true, and then the steal happened
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7355 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:53 am to
quote:

Predictit might be the most somber indicator for her even though it's the tightest as they stubbornly held the lead there for a long time.


For sure. The board there is a cesspool. Last night, Harris was up one and that kept going back and forth to a tie so this morning’s latest is big.
Posted by fjlee90
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2016
8519 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:54 am to
That’s reflective of money coming in on him, not a higher likelihood of victory.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
14262 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:56 am to
There is no reason anyone should have been betting on Trump at anywhere near even odds in 2020. He was over 7 points down in the polls
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7355 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:14 am to
10:15 AM ET Update

Polymarket (63/37) TRUMP
Predictit (58/49) TRUMP
Kalshi (58/42) TRUMP
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
26153 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to
These can change in a heartbeat. But I’d rather Trump be the favorite than vice versa
Posted by Shortstop16
Rockwall, TX
Member since Feb 2016
324 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:17 am to
quote:

They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything
.
It means 2020 was stolen
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42236 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:18 am to
I would not at all pay attention to this.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20734 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:20 am to
quote:

They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything

They had Biden as the heavy favorite until the polls started closing and Trump started winning.

They only shifted back when the steal started overnight.
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