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Jon Ralston: Republicans still lead by 43,000 in Nevada

Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:47 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:47 pm
A few days ago Ralston was saying the Democrats would need to get the Republican lead down to 20k to even have a chance on election day. Now he is saying very little mail has showed up the last few days keeping the Republican lead at 43k.



This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 5:58 pm
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
12574 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:49 pm to
This is Big!
Posted by HEtiger
Member since May 2008
1627 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:51 pm to
Dems have to work major overtime the next two days (and that OT will be taxed)
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
8126 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

Dems will make a comeback with mail ballots, but will it be enough to overcome a substantial deficit?


Of course it will, once they have their number they will make sure they have just enough.
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
50181 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:56 pm to
You should clarify that this is for Nevada (I think).
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

Dems have to work major overtime the next two days 


Logic would tell us if the mail has not been great for them during early voting. Why would all of a sudden it increase a day before the election. Ralston has been wishcasting a mail increase for the past week and it has not happened
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:58 pm to
Gotcha
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
8126 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

Logic would tell us if the mail has not been great for them during early voting. Why would all of a sudden it increase a day before the election.


You’re forgetting about the 3 am drops
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

You’re forgetting about the 3 am drops


Its been 3am the last few days. Why would they wait until election day? They already see they are behind, if they had this operation why would they have not start sending in the ballots now? What would be the purpose making one big mail dump. To brag about cheating?
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7821 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Its been 3am the last few days. Why would they wait until election day? They already see they are behind, if they had this operation why would they have not start sending in the ballots now? What would be the purpose making one big mail dump. To brag about cheating?


Very good point.
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
8126 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Its been 3am the last few days. Why would they wait until election day? They already see they are behind


So they can have their exact number of how much they need.
Posted by AirbusDawg
Milton, Ga
Member since Jan 2018
2901 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:18 pm to
Are they already counting votes?
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

So they can have their exact number of how much they need.


They don't need an exact number to cheat. They know they are behind 43,000 votes. They should have been sending in those 43,000 over the last few days if they had this operation. You mean to tell me they are going to wait until election day to find out they are down 100k votes and then start sending them in? That is not Logical
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6369 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:22 pm to
Hey John. Would you help look up details for LA County and other Dem strong holds in Cali?

Here is the thread on what I have found LINK
Posted by ColoradoTiger1987
Tampa
Member since Jan 2019
1645 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

You mean to tell me they are going to wait until election day to find out they are down 100k votes and then start sending them in? That is not Logical


I wouldn’t put them past anything at this point. Look at the huge ballot drops they had back in 2020 that had well know statisticians saying it was mathematically impossible, yet that was ignored.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100268 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

They don't need an exact number to cheat. They know they are behind 43,000 votes. They should have been sending in those 43,000 over the last few days if they had this operation. You mean to tell me they are going to wait until election day to find out they are down 100k votes and then start sending them in? That is not Logical


Because they can’t send in a duplicate when the real one is still out there in case the real one the voter is holding does end up getting mailed. Then they get caught cheating

They have to wait until after ED to see who actually didn’t vote then drop the duplicates. That’s why it’s a big deal that the courts ruled they have to count ballots arriving after Election Day
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