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What is the reason for tightening in the betting markets?
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:08 pm
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:08 pm
Haven't been paying as much attention today but see that Predictit is getting close to a 50/50 coin flip and Polymarket has come up for 65/35 Trump to 61/39 Trump. Some clown on Predictit's board is saying the election is "over" because EV data (except NV) shows women are enthusiastic and "more Republicans will cross the aisle to vote for Kamala" than the other way around.
This flies in the face of all of the data I've seen so what are we missing? Just noise as we get closer to the big day Tuesday and folks are getting nervous?
This flies in the face of all of the data I've seen so what are we missing? Just noise as we get closer to the big day Tuesday and folks are getting nervous?
12
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:10 pm to TakingStock
Because that's how betting tends to go when it becomes 2:1 odds, people will bet the lower in hopes of getting a bigger payout for lower risk
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:10 pm to TakingStock
every liberal message board seems to think Kamala is winning. Every conservative board feels the opposite. Polls I see reflect the same. That gives me the idea that no one knows shite and is just throwing shite against the wall for clicks
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:11 pm to TakingStock
Mail in voting allows the democrats to illegally ballot harvest on an industrial scale.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:12 pm to Stidham8
That's just not true. Mail in/early voting for Dems is way down from 2020.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:12 pm to TakingStock
Trump still seems to be losing ground daily.
But the Ho still don't have a shot
But the Ho still don't have a shot
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:12 pm to lsufball19
Simple answer - the polls for the swing states are close. The underestimated Trump in 2016 and 2020. They overestimated republicans in 2022. EV data looks good, but is new and the predictive ability of it is pretty uncertain/untested at this point.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:13 pm to TakingStock
hard to quantify cheating
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:13 pm to TakingStock
Kamala betting some of Bill Gates' $50M on herself.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:15 pm to bbvdd
quote:
hard to quantify cheating
^^^^^
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:17 pm to ArHog
I am sure Trump has successfully bedded far more women than Kamala has men. I am fine with disliking her politics but what makes her a Ho when Trump can just straight grab them by the pussies? Is there a different moral expectation for each candidate?
Neither of them have much depth on the family values bench.
Neither of them have much depth on the family values bench.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:19 pm to jennBN
Trump Tower didn't get built by Trump sleeping with women.
Kamala got where she was professionally by putting out.
You asked.
Kamala got where she was professionally by putting out.
You asked.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:22 pm to jennBN
quote:
Is there a different moral expectation for each candidate?
I’d prefer a qualified candidate that happens to be a Ho vs a candidate that Ho’d their way to the top
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:23 pm to timdonaghyswhistle
Ahh. Got it. So giving it away because you like to frick is morally superior than liking to frick and using it to your advantage.
She has so many shortcomings that make her less desirable as a leader than the candidate you support. Maybe being able to articulate that in someway other than by shaming her for sex would be a better approach. The hyperbole in politics is so boring and over fricking done. Low hanging fruit. Just like both candidates tits.
She has so many shortcomings that make her less desirable as a leader than the candidate you support. Maybe being able to articulate that in someway other than by shaming her for sex would be a better approach. The hyperbole in politics is so boring and over fricking done. Low hanging fruit. Just like both candidates tits.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:24 pm to jennBN
I never said either was morally superior. You can believe whatever you like sweetie.
You want an answer to the age old question of why women who sleep around are looked down on and men who sleep around are usually revered by their peers. I've gone 51 years without that answer and it sure as hell isn't going to factor into who I vote for.
You want an answer to the age old question of why women who sleep around are looked down on and men who sleep around are usually revered by their peers. I've gone 51 years without that answer and it sure as hell isn't going to factor into who I vote for.
This post was edited on 10/31/24 at 2:26 pm
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:24 pm to jennBN
quote:
She has so many shortcomings that make her less desirable as a leader than the candidate you support. Maybe being able to articulate that in someway other than by shaming her for sex would be a better approach.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:30 pm to timdonaghyswhistle
Nah, I actually dont expect an answer. That double standard is never going away...but I bet a lot of men would be far more upset if the women tightened up those standards. You call her a ho but would you have fricked her back in the day without knowing her politics?
Maybe.
Maybe.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:33 pm to TakingStock
Never post but I’ll give you an answer
Not that I’d be paying attention to the betting markets. They just literally follow the polls
You have 2 candidates that most Americans don’t care for. It has and always was going to be a close race. That doesn’t mean it won’t break either way towards either candidate but it’s close.
Not that I’d be paying attention to the betting markets. They just literally follow the polls
You have 2 candidates that most Americans don’t care for. It has and always was going to be a close race. That doesn’t mean it won’t break either way towards either candidate but it’s close.
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:35 pm to Rhames
Trump will likely win and the markets have favored him. Right now hedging your bet will insure no loss of funds so that no matter what you dont lose. We do this all the time on sports futures.
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