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ADP Private Payrolls 233,000 jobs in October, blows past expectations
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:36 am
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:36 am
quote:
Private-job creation burst to its highest level in more than a year during October, despite a devastating storm season in the Southeast and major labor disruptions, ADP reported Wednesday.
The payrolls processing firm said companies hired 233,000 new workers in the month, better than the upwardly revised 159,000 in September and far ahead of the Dow Jones estimate for 113,000. ADP said it was the best month for job creation since July 2023.
Even amid hurricane recovery, job growth was strong in October,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said. “As we round out the year, hiring in the U.S. is proving to be robust and broadly resilient.”
The numbers counter expectations for a slowdown in October on the heels of two brutal hurricanes — Helene and Milton — that ravaged the Southeast, with Florida and North Carolina getting slammed in particular.
On top of that, labor disruptions with port workers and Boeing were expecting to hit payrolls as well, with some economists suggesting that October would be an outlier report that Federal Reserve officials would largely dismiss when meeting next week.
However, the ADP report indicates that the labor market has held up. In addition to hiring rising, wages grew 4.6% from a year ago.
Moreover, gains were widespread. Leading sectors included education and health services (53,000), trade, transportation and utilities (51,000), construction and leisure and hospitality, which added 37,000 apiece, and professional and business services, which contributed 31,000.
ADP LINK
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 8:54 am
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:10 am to slackster
How many were part time?
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:21 am to stout
quote:
How many were part time?
Or funded directly/indirectly with federal money
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:45 am to slackster
Man that .5 cut really stimulated the jobs market 
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:48 am to stout
quote:
How many were part time?
ADP doesn’t separate them. That information comes from the household survey and is quite volatile.
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:53 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Or funded directly/indirectly with federal money
It’s private companies but they can obviously be influenced by federal spending.
ADP LINK
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:57 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Man that .5 cut really stimulated the jobs market
This is going to send the 10 year yield higher and mortgage rates will remain above 7%
Posted on 12/4/24 at 12:04 pm to slackster
This report was revised down to 184k

Posted on 12/17/25 at 10:28 am to stout
quote:
This is going to send the 10 year yield higher and mortgage rates will remain above 7%
Mortgage rates are the low 6’s and have been for a while. Nowhere close to your above 7% prediction.
Posted on 12/17/25 at 11:34 am to Paul Allen
quote:
Mortgage rates are the low 6’s and have been for a while. Nowhere close to your above 7% prediction.
Average mortgage rates climbed to above 7% in January 2025, 3 months after stout made his post. Idk why you bumped this 1y old thread lol.
Posted on 12/17/25 at 3:41 pm to Paul Allen
Its currently low sixes which beats our long term average of over 7. Just not as good as pre covid levels when they were probably a bit too low.
In 1981 mortgage rates were at 18%. My Crybaby Millennial brethren has never seen something that high.
quote:
The current mortgage rates, hovering around 6.26% for a 30-year fixed loan as of December 2025
In 1981 mortgage rates were at 18%. My Crybaby Millennial brethren has never seen something that high.
This post was edited on 12/17/25 at 3:44 pm
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