Ironically, white people appear to be where Trump is weakest

I do believe Trump has made gains in certain demographic groups, specifically (20-50 year old men of all demographics), and may be gaining favorability with married women.

But some areas of concern are

Boomer whites. This group seems to have slipped in support recently, and it may be related to their pro-Ukraine, pro-establishment makeup. It is stil probably 60-40, but should he 75-25. Boomer whites by and large still believe in institutions and like the idea of America opposing Russia for some weird reason, this is a big deal to many in this generation. Inflation also helps their stock portfolio, and doesn't hurt them as bad as Millenials and Gen Xers living off paychecks and raising families.

Social conservatives and Christians. There is a real contingency that is demoralized about the abortion and LGBT issues. I realize the trickiest ans need to be pragmatic. But there is a real segment that simply will not support anything that signals being in support of abortion or so called "reproductive rights"

Single white women. This is already a hard group. But this is definitely Kamala's base, and the divide has probably grown. This group is obsessed with killing babies and celebrity vibes and feels.

The issue being that three groups above are very reliable voters. Where as, young men, especially young black and Hispanic men, are not reliable voters. So it's not necessarily a one for one trade.

The election issues, especially in Michigan, PA, and AZ are real. Michigan possibly being the worst with a state fully in control by Democrats. If it's close, they simply have the machine in place to rig and manipulate themselves to a narrow victory. The real margin needs to be 2+ or 3+ to overcome. That is a hard pull in these narrow states.