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GEVO has the momo

Posted on 10/9/24 at 6:12 pm
Posted by 75503Tiger
Member since Sep 2015
4821 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 6:12 pm
A cleaner burning jet fuel company with, supposedly, a proven product.

Recent acquisition to strengthen capabilty

A pending approval of a DOE loan to build the plant

Gain of 171% in the past month

What could possibly go wrong?
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
416 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:54 am to
I've held for a couple of years now, been patient knowing it's a long term play. It's been rolling lately with the acquisition of CultavateAI and Red Trail Energy's assests.

Still skeptical, but it's starting to look like this is a legit business. Still waiting on the news of a DoE loan and when it comes this will probably jump even more than it already has.

What could go wrong in my opinion (and not getting political, just thinking of scenarios that could make a particular stock and company, in this case Gevo crash and burn), would be Trump getting elected and canceling the inflation reduction act and any money not paid out. I think Gevo is relying on this DoE loan to really kick start this whole process if they can secure the loan.

Who knows, maybe Trump won't mess with SAF and RNG that Gevo plans to produce....I have faith in this company in becoming profitable sometime in next 4 years.

That being said, I'm not an FA so do your own research
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 12:55 am
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
416 posts
Posted on 10/16/24 at 4:02 pm to
Step 1

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO), a leading developer of net-zero hydrocarbon fuels and chemicals, is pleased to announce it received a conditional commitment for a loan guarantee with disbursements totaling $1.46 billion (excluding capitalized interest during construction) from the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE”) Loan Programs Office (“LPO”) for its Net-Zero 1 project (“NZ1”) in South Dakota. With capitalized interest during construction, the DOE loan facility has a borrowing capacity of $1.63 billion.


LINK

Posted by kung fu kenny
Birmingham
Member since Sep 2017
2098 posts
Posted on 10/16/24 at 11:27 pm to
Wish I had been following your thread a couple of days ago. Jeeeeeeez. After hours it mooned. Wonder what will happen tomorrow.
Posted by D_cup
Member since Aug 2023
74 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 9:07 am to
TVGN taking off
Posted by kung fu kenny
Birmingham
Member since Sep 2017
2098 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 10:17 am to
Still going up after this week’s spike?
Posted by D_cup
Member since Aug 2023
74 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 11:02 am to
TVGN? Still going up
Posted by kung fu kenny
Birmingham
Member since Sep 2017
2098 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 11:42 am to
Taking your word for it, internet stranger. Let’s ride.
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
416 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 2:33 pm to
I stand corrected about if Trump being elected and cancels any remaining funds of the inflation reduction act GEVO would be screwed. Per the attached link, the CEO of gevo, Gruber, says the the loan would survive am administration change.

With the loan announced, that is now off the board.

The key is the carbon pipeline from another company that was going to be built to transfer carbon to ND to bury or some shite. Landowners and county commissions seem pretty opposed to this being built.

This will be key on if this whole project progresses or if they potentially have to move from SD to ND. This whole loan is tied to them being at Lake Preston, SD.

Still a Longshot, but I'm in it till it moons

LINK

Gruber told South Dakota Searchlight at the time he believes the Summit project will be completed, but that the company “would have to consider” moving its operations to North Dakota “if there is no hope” for a carbon pipeline in South Dakota.

During an investor call Thursday morning, Gruber was asked about another potential political issue, in this case on the federal level. One of the investors asked if the company’s loan would remain viable in the event Republican Donald Trump is elected president in November. Trump has signaled plans to undo many of President Biden’s climate change policies.

“The conditional commitment survives administrations,” Gruber said, referring to the loan guarantee.

The loan guarantee is tied to the South Dakota site, Gruber told South Dakota Searchlight in an email. The funds would not be used for the facility in North Dakota.

This post was edited on 10/17/24 at 2:42 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 3:37 pm to
The loan may not be at risk, but if this projects gets production tax credits: 45Z ($1/gallon of SAF or more dependent on Carbon Intensity of product) or 45Q ($85/MT of CO2 sequestered), and Trump cancels, then it'd cancel that. That would hurt economics of project.

They can't get both tax credits on the project, they can only choose one or the other 45Z or 45Q.
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
416 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 3:50 pm to
LINK

From this in September it say they sold off some carbon credits, but the author doesn't specifically say what kind of credits?

They do mention the 45Z credits down the line. Not sure exactly what this means, if they aren't relying on the credits you mentioned as of now, would it be too detrimental to gevo?
Posted by Boomer Rick
Member since Apr 2021
338 posts
Posted on 10/17/24 at 6:17 pm to
It’s a pump and dump. The company has been talking about building a net zero facility forever, their financing options always change and it will likely never be built.

I’ll say this, management is excellent at enriching themselves.
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
416 posts
Posted on 10/18/24 at 3:23 pm to
Very well could be. But wouldn't you think the DoE would have done enough due diligence to justify giving them a 1.4 billion dollar loan?
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
7208 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 10:00 am to
quote:

Very well could be. But wouldn't you think the DoE would have done enough due diligence to justify giving them a 1.4 billion dollar loan?


Disbursement is conditional based on Gevo "satisfying certain technical, legal, environmental, commercial, and financial conditions" so the due diligence process is ongoing.
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