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Average intra-year decline in S&P 500 since 1980 is 14.2% - don’t panic

Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:24 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:24 pm


Maybe it gets worse before it gets better, but this kind of pullback has happened in something like 41 out of the last 44 years. Don’t fool yourself into thinking this time is any different.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
51554 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:26 pm to
I was told it was black Monday though
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61302 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:34 pm to
Thank you
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53115 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

I was told it was black Monday though

We are going to run out of cool names if we start assigning them to 3% down days
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11867 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:04 pm to
It’s just hedge funds unwinding trades because of the Yen and the active participants trading around it. I don’t think passive investors are panicking.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79325 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

We are going to run out of cool names if we start assigning them to 3% down days


We'll just go to the Greek alphabet.

But we have to skip Beta since it's already a metric.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94811 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 10:05 am to
quote:


I was told it was black Monday though


Calm reassurances don't drive clicks, my dude.

Now, I am of the opinion this is a legit correction that has the potential to roll into something quite significant. But, let's not pretend that the Dow wasn't over 41k less than a month ago or that everyone is not still up, overall, for 2024.

The overbought condition has to be resolved back to equilibrium. Any down catalyst (earnings, jobs report, etc.) is likely to have amplified effects until collectively, the sentiment is that the equilibrium has been reached. The market is, at the end of the day, a collective/aggregate assessment of the emotional state of equity holders.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20578 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 10:39 am to
Makes me even more pissed I couldn't get into either of my accounts yesterday to buy.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 9:23 pm to
Bump
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40326 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 9:57 pm to
I checked the date of OP and the people on the PB posting now that the market doesn't matter if you aren't retiring anytime soon were bleeding all over the place back in august of last year
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