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Underperformance of international funds

Posted on 6/7/24 at 12:50 pm
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2374 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 12:50 pm
The commonly given advice when I started investing was to include 20-30% international in a portfolio to be properly diversified. About 3 years ago, I finally pulled the plug on it because it was such a laggard to the US market. Looking at it now, that certainly hasn’t changed.

Anyone else given up on it?
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12863 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 1:19 pm to
20 to 30% is way too high. I’d go with 10 to 15% max. And really, you effectively have lots of international exposure just investing in the broad S&P.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11867 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

I started investing was to include 20-30% international in a portfolio to be properly diversified


Do you own exposure to the S&P 500?
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58517 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 1:46 pm to
The rest of the world can’t print money like we can
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35461 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

20 to 30% is way too high. I’d go with 10 to 15% max. And really, you effectively have lots of international exposure just investing in the broad S&P.

I would say 25-30% is the default for most future date or robo advisor driven retirement funds. I agree with you and OP that it's crazy though. How many times does the S&P have to lap the international markets before people change their baseline. Hell, I'd say the same about small caps at this point.

We're in the era of the haves and the have nots. The traditional allocation advise is outdated. If small caps, international and value got hot and outperformed mega caps for a year I would use that as an opportunity to completely reset my baseline.
This post was edited on 6/7/24 at 2:03 pm
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11867 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 2:43 pm to
The S&P 500 is an international fund
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35461 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

The S&P 500 is an international fund

That's dominated by large cap US companies.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11867 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

That's dominated by large cap US companies.



And 1/3 of their revenues are international
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
878 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 5:44 pm to
I wouldn’t do more than 5% international
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2374 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 12:02 am to
quote:

I would say 25-30% is the default for most future date or robo advisor driven retirement funds.


Vanguard’s 2050 target retirement is almost 37% international now. They used to advise 25% about 20 years ago.

This post was edited on 6/8/24 at 12:05 am
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
20451 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 5:39 am to
Eventually, there will be a reversion to the mean.

The point of diversification is to have various asset classes performing at different times.

It’s been a good run for US large caps.
They may run further.

Having small caps, international, real estate funds may give some diversification.
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