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re: What will the melt be like when Trump wins?

Posted on 3/14/24 at 10:12 am to
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39667 posts
Posted on 3/14/24 at 10:12 am to
Just a warning: Candidates with very high negatives (like Trump) poll better before everyone starts focusing on the race. Later, his numbers will probably drop a lot and we will have another close race. I can almost assure you Trump will lose the popular vote by millions. The electoral vote? We’ll find out about that on election night. If that night ends with the election in the balance Trump will lose.

Every time Ted Kennedy used to run his numbers were great, until the race drew into focus. Then the swing voters were reminded what they didn’t like about Kennedy and his lead vanished. I think the same will happen to Trump unless Biden face plants on camera or something.

tl;dr: I doubt Trump wins.
Posted by YouKnowImRight
Member since Oct 2023
646 posts
Posted on 3/14/24 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Just a warning: Candidates with very high negatives (like Trump) poll better before everyone starts focusing on the race. Later, his numbers will probably drop a lot and we will have another close race. I can almost assure you Trump will lose the popular vote by millions. The electoral vote? We’ll find out about that on election night. If that night ends with the election in the balance Trump will lose.


That doesn't worry me as much as Biden stepping down or dropping dead and the Dems putting a blank slate at the top of the ticket. Whether it's Big Mike, Newsome, or, if they were really smart, some nobody who just seems like a normal moderate with no track record to weigh them down.
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