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re: LSU opens as a -14.0 favorite vs Florida

Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:08 am to
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68678 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:08 am to
Definitely very generous if JD is out.

However,
quote:

Mertz completing over 73% of his passes


Florida throws screens like it's going out of business, thats why his completion percentage is so high. PFF charts him at nearly 1 in every 3 passes are behind the LOS, these are 90%+ throws for anyone. Their offense has proven ineffective many times this season, see - 11 against Utah, 22 against Charlotte, 14 against Kentucky, 20 against UGA...they've sputtered quite a bit this season offensively.
Posted by CBP3110
Member since Aug 2012
6599 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:17 am to
Jesus we can’t tackle worth shite can’t wait to see all the miss tackles on screens
Posted by GoldenBoy
Winning!
Member since Nov 2004
42018 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:27 am to
Yeah, I was about to say Mertz’s completion percentage is very deceptive.

It’s going to be an interesting matchup of a Florida passing attack that isn’t explosive against a defense that allows a ton of explosive plays.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Augusta, GA
Member since Mar 2014
9212 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:38 am to
I understand what you are doing in downplaying Florida's offense but our defense does not deserve the benefit of the doubt in being able to stop anybody. But I do like that this game is at home and like our offensive weapons even if Nuss has to start due to Daniels being out with an injury.
Posted by BayouCowboy
Member since Dec 2012
14563 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 9:39 am to
quote:

Florida throws screens like it's going out of business, thats why his completion percentage is so high. PFF charts him at nearly 1 in every 3 passes are behind the LOS, these are 90%+ throws for anyone. Their offense has proven ineffective many times this season, see - 11 against Utah, 22 against Charlotte, 14 against Kentucky, 20 against UGA...they've sputtered quite a bit this season offensively.

I know Mertz is a dink and dunk QB, but we don't tackle well and play CBs 10+ yards off the LOS. This would be a good game to get Weeks back on the field. Penn is slow and Speights is still not showing why he was a top portal LB. I can't see either chasing down screens.
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