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re: RFK announcing that he will run as an Independent

Posted on 9/29/23 at 3:21 pm to
Posted by Leto II
Arrakis
Member since Dec 2018
21508 posts
Posted on 9/29/23 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

this will split the Dem vote.


Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite.
Posted by thejuiceisloose
UNO Fan
Member since Nov 2018
4275 posts
Posted on 9/29/23 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite.


I think they believe just because they said it that means it's true

LINK
A National Review Writer thinks it will hurt Trump more than Biden

quote:

For all Democrats’ hand-wringing about third-party spoilers, this one will chew more into the GOP’s vote share than that of the Democratic side — particularly if Donald Trump emerges as the Republican Party’s presidential nominee for a third consecutive election cycle.


It’s been a while since Kennedy was the subject of much polling. The early enthusiasm around his campaign has dissipated, and his appeal to Democratic voters has all but disappeared. Just as an example of the low to which Kennedy’s brand has sunk, a CNN/University of New Hampshire poll of Granite State found that only 9 percent of Democratic primary voters still viewed him favorably.

Similarly, views of Kennedy among the GOP may have evolved since the summer. But back in July, a series of national polls of Republican voters found that RFK Jr. would have been welcomed in the GOP. Among registered and likely GOP voters, Kennedy’s favorability rating ranged from 46 to 54 percent — much higher than the share of potential Republican voters who viewed him unfavorably. Moreover, Kennedy’s image among GOP-leaning adults — that is, potential Republican voters who are nonetheless disengaged from the political process — Kennedy’s favorability ratings were even higher.

If Kennedy pulls the trigger on an independent bid in time to secure ballot access (and he has time to do that yet), it presents the GOP with a conundrum. If Trump is the nominee, he will be compelled to spend most of his time and the GOP’s resources on his legal defense against allegations of criminal misconduct. But when he’s actually out on the trail, he’ll have to devote at least a portion of the time he would otherwise dedicate to campaigning against the incumbent Democratic president to keeping Kennedy’s share of the Republican vote down. A non-Trump Republican presidential nominee would likely encounter a similar headache, but Trump’s brand of politics aligns more closely with Kennedy’s than with anyone else’s in the GOP field.

If it materializes, Kennedy’s bid seems less a threat to Biden than another obstacle in Trump’s path back to the White House


This post was edited on 9/29/23 at 3:37 pm
Posted by rebelrouser
Columbia, SC
Member since Feb 2013
10707 posts
Posted on 9/29/23 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

this will split the Dem vote.


Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite.


Sure it will. The dems who voted for Trump in '16 and then switched to Biden in '20 because Trump is an idiot will vote for RFK.
Posted by tommy2tone1999
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2008
6804 posts
Posted on 9/29/23 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite.



Because it will happen. Many traditional Dems are tired of the far left shift of their party, but would not ever vote Rep.
Posted by bamadontcare
Member since Jun 2013
2826 posts
Posted on 9/29/23 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite


The irony is palpable
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
26994 posts
Posted on 9/30/23 at 5:36 am to
quote:

this will split the Dem vote.


Not even a bit. Not sure why you guys keep dishing this shite.


Unless you're a child, you remember that Ross Perot got 19% of the popular vote nationwide in 1992.

If Kennedy gets 15% of the popular vote, it could easily cost the Democrats the election.
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