- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
NEW: Current average of major polls for R nomination and current betting odds
Posted on 6/1/23 at 6:47 am
Posted on 6/1/23 at 6:47 am
538 GOP Primary Polling Average
Trump — 54.3% (+33.4)
DeSantis — 20.9%
Pence — 5.4%
Haley — 4.6%
Ramaswamy — 3.6%
T. Scott — 2%
@Polymarket
odds: who will win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Donald Trump — 69%
Ron DeSantis — 25%
R nomination - betting odds
Trump — 54.3% (+33.4)
DeSantis — 20.9%
Pence — 5.4%
Haley — 4.6%
Ramaswamy — 3.6%
T. Scott — 2%
@Polymarket
odds: who will win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Donald Trump — 69%
Ron DeSantis — 25%
R nomination - betting odds
This post was edited on 6/1/23 at 6:49 am
16
Posted on 6/1/23 at 6:50 am to jbdawgs03
No one consistently polling at or above 50% has ever lost the primary.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 6:51 am to jbdawgs03
Ron would have to do something extraordinary on the debate stage to catch up and I bet trump doesn't even show up with that kind of lead.
What was the big change from the primaries to now? Maybe I'm wrong but I thought Desantis had like a 10 point lead over trump then.
Only real notable things have been Alvin Braggs charges.
What was the big change from the primaries to now? Maybe I'm wrong but I thought Desantis had like a 10 point lead over trump then.
Only real notable things have been Alvin Braggs charges.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 6:56 am to Solo Cam
January saw Desantis with a three to five point lead in some of the major polls. From that point on Trump has surged. You’re right though about Bragg being the only real major event to occur during that time period. I guess you could count the CNN town hall as another boost for Trump as well though
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:08 am to jbdawgs03
Lol
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:14 am to jbdawgs03
quote:Good point, I thought trump had taken a the lead by then but that for sure helped him
I guess you could count the CNN town hall as another boost for Trump as well though
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:22 am to Solo Cam
quote:All he has to do is sit back and let Trump destroy himself
Ron would have to do something extraordinary on the debate stage to catch up and I bet trump doesn't even show up with that kind of lead.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:31 am to jbdawgs03
For reference Trump’s odds were at 1% in June of 2015.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:32 am to jbdawgs03
Is another installment in the series: Daily Dose of Hubris?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:33 am to loogaroo
quote:
No one consistently polling at or above 50% has ever lost the primary.
A year away from the primaries? You guys turn off more and more Trump voters every day.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:34 am to jbdawgs03
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:45 am to jbdawgs03
I’ve become firmly convinced that over the years people who get paid to conduct polls are simply too worthless at any other job to do it.
Is DeSantis a better candidate than Trump? It’s pretty hard to argue that he isn’t.
Trump did a much better job as President than anyone since Reagan. Sadly that’s simply because every President since then has been shite and easy to look better by comparison.
Is DeSantis a better candidate than Trump? It’s pretty hard to argue that he isn’t.
Trump did a much better job as President than anyone since Reagan. Sadly that’s simply because every President since then has been shite and easy to look better by comparison.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:52 am to PorkSammich
And Trump didn’t have the Murdoch / Ryan apparatus pushing him in 2015
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:54 am to 94LSU
quote:
You guys turn off more Trump voters every day
Anonymous message board posters impact who you might vote for? Useful idiot.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:56 am to POTUS2024
You’ll be okay. I think…
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:58 am to Solo Cam
quote:
Ron would have to do something extraordinary on the debate stage to catch up and I bet trump doesn't even show up with that kind of lead.
So we have 2 octagenarians now, in Trump and Biden, who won't debate?
Tell me again how 2024 is going to be "different"?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 7:59 am to BugAC
Well they’ve done some of the same things while in office…why not share campaign strategies?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 8:01 am to loogaroo
quote:
No one consistently polling at or above 50% has ever lost the primary.
Sounds like a stat you just made up
Posted on 6/1/23 at 8:12 am to loogaroo
quote:
No one consistently polling at or above 50% has ever lost the primary.
That's true of incumbents in Statewide elections. Presidential elections are completely different. Trump has 100% Name ID and a lot of people know very little about DeSantis. So many variables involved that make rules like that irrelevant.
Trump may win but it isn't because he is polling well right now.
Page 1 of 2
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News