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Sports betting, 5/17

Posted on 5/17/23 at 11:23 am
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53997 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 11:23 am
DK risk free MLB Wednesday:
+1479
Twins/Dodgers - NRFI
Royals - NRFI
Nats/Marlins - NRFI
Yankees/Jays - NRFI
Cardinals - NRFI
Braves/Rangers - NRFI

Someone mentioned in yesterday’s thread that gambling is a miserable hobby. I guess it can be, if you take it too seriously. I won a fair amount the first year, then the books started stretching the odds, and things got tough. I stopped betting based on my own guts/ research and started following a bunch of guys on Twitter. It didn’t go well. I’ve gone back to the way I started, always keep my unit size small, and don’t take it that seriously. I’m back to winning, but it’s a rigged game. When I’m not enjoying it anymore, I’ll stop.

Risk free NBA parlay:
+2200
Tatum O27.5 points
Butler O24.5 points
Tatum O4.5 assists
Lowry O4.5 assists
Brown U6.5 rebounds
Brogdon 2+ threes
White O10.5 PR
This post was edited on 5/17/23 at 3:57 pm
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65504 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 11:45 am to
damn A's got a win yesterday. bringing the players edge to anything less than -271 on the opponent since i started tracking

arizona at -160 is a must play
Posted by adamau
Member since Oct 2020
3534 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

damn A's got a win yesterday. bringing the players edge to anything less than -271 on the opponent since i started tracking


Man, they can score some runs and have a couple of great RBI guys in the middle of that lineup that can win you some money.

Their problem is every single guy they send to the mound is a literal Molotov Cocktail. GAS CAN CITY!!! Bodes well for playing teams against, team totals against and overs when the weather and lineups are setup well. I check out the As and Royals everyday.
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33006 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 12:12 pm to
Heat spread
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65504 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 12:17 pm to
since i know the msb loves spreadsheets, i have been tracking the impact of betting against the A's every day to see if it is worth while. so far the answer is yes.



every year there is some tweet at the end of the season i see about if you bet every day on team x to lose you will be up $x at the end of the year. well this year the a's are exceptionally bad so i have been betting every day (not $100 but you get the idea)
Posted by ks_nola
Bozeman
Member since Sep 2015
502 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 12:54 pm to
have you tracked the run line against the A's (10 wins)?
they have a -159 runs allowed vs scored differential.

next closet teams are CWS at -66 (15 wins) and kc -63 (13 wins).
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65504 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 1:03 pm to
if the math is correct the a's have been within 1.5 or won 17 times with 27 occasions of getting blown out

assuming** -110 odds and $100 a game would be up $754.55 for the full season
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25812 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 1:03 pm to
Betting the run line against the A's is 26-15 (not including KC). You're probably coming out ahead betting the Run Line instead of the ML.

Betting the run line against the Royals is 25-16 (not including A's)



Betting the ML against both of them in a parlay has gone 22-18, and that will always be + money.



Posted by stephenc
Member since Jul 2018
84 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 3:24 pm to
I took an in-play under 8' on the Twins game.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28503 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 4:49 pm to
MacKenzie Gore Over 5.5 Ks (-135)
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28503 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 7:12 pm to
Easy Cash
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53997 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

DK risk free MLB Wednesday:
+1479
Twins/Dodgers - NRFI
Royals - NRFI
Nats/Marlins - NRFI
Yankees/Jays - NRFI
Cardinals - NRFI
Braves/Rangers - NRFI


frick you and the pus you rolled in with, Corbin Burnes.
Posted by adamau
Member since Oct 2020
3534 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 10:13 pm to
So close on a +800

Hit Bam O29.5 PRA
Struss 12 pts
Himmy 28 pts

Missed Himmy 6+ Rebs... Only snagged 5

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