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Started By
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Good guys underdogs at home tonight?
Posted on 1/10/23 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 1/10/23 at 2:59 pm
Can someone please explain why LSU is +2 against a 8-7 Gator team tonight in the PMAC?
7
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:06 pm to joeybuckets_
Florida - 57 KenPom, 68 NET, EM 38
LSU - 79 KenPom, 89 NET, EM 57
LSU has a better record, but all the other metrics point towards Florida being slightly better than LSU. Add in the HC advantage, and you get a close betting line.
LSU - 79 KenPom, 89 NET, EM 57
LSU has a better record, but all the other metrics point towards Florida being slightly better than LSU. Add in the HC advantage, and you get a close betting line.
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:08 pm to rds dc
quote:
Add in the HC advantage, and you get a close betting line.
So in your opinion Florida has a better head coach?
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:09 pm to Tiger Ugly
quote:
So in your opinion Florida has a better head coach?
homecourt people are so quick to try to debate
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 3:11 pm
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:10 pm to joeybuckets_
Lol did you watch the last game??
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:10 pm to Tiger Ugly
quote:
quote:
Add in the HC advantage, and you get a close betting line.
So in your opinion Florida has a better head coach?
I don't know, but I do know that LSU has the homecourt advantage tonight.
But, if Will Wade was Florida's coach...
This post was edited on 1/10/23 at 3:12 pm
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:13 pm to joeybuckets_
Florida's predictive rating is roughly 4 points higher than LSU's. Factor in ~3 points in LSU's favor for home court advantage and you get an opening line of LSU (+1). Some places have Florida's rating a bit higher.
The sports book don't really give a shite about the raw record. It's all math in setting the lines. Despite being 12-3, LSU's predictive (power) rating is not very good. On the other hand, Florida's predictive ranking is better...despite having only an 8-7 record.
LSU is +112 on the ML as a home dog. In college basketball I'm taking live home underdogs any chance I get.
The sports book don't really give a shite about the raw record. It's all math in setting the lines. Despite being 12-3, LSU's predictive (power) rating is not very good. On the other hand, Florida's predictive ranking is better...despite having only an 8-7 record.
LSU is +112 on the ML as a home dog. In college basketball I'm taking live home underdogs any chance I get.
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:17 pm to Honkus
quote:quote:
So in your opinion Florida has a better head coach?
homecourt
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:19 pm to joeybuckets_
After being throttled by A&M is it really that farfetched?
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:21 pm to joeybuckets_
This team sucks. You probably were also wondering why they were a 10 point dog to A&M. They’re bad. Maybe will win 5 SEC games by luck.
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:51 pm to joeybuckets_
LSU has a bottom half offense vs Florida having a top half defense hard to be a favorite when you can't score. Hopefully we can get some buckets, thinking the first to 60 might win this one.
Posted on 1/10/23 at 3:53 pm to joeybuckets_
I'd like to see how the coaching staff responds to the performance Saturday...
Hope to see a better effort tonight...
Hope to see a better effort tonight...
Posted on 1/10/23 at 4:16 pm to Tiger Ugly
quote:Have to admit that is what I thought he meant.
So in your opinion Florida has a better head coach?
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