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Started By
Message
Playoff scenarios
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:33 am
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:33 am
Teams that are in contention for playoff spots:
Michigan
Georgia
Washington
FSU
Bama
Oregon
Texas
Ohio St
1. For Michigan, Washington, FSU and Georgia it's as simple as win and they are in.
2. Oregon - probably win and they are in. You could have some debate on this if Texas and/or Bama also win, but I think Oregon would get the nod in this situation.
3. Bama - probably win and they are in. Although if it comes down to Texas and Bama for the final spot, that would be interesting. Think Bama gets in though.
4. Texas - I think it takes one of Michigan, FSU to lose. A Georgia win also helps them, assuming Bama would get in before them.
5. OSU - will need a lot to happen this final weekend. FSU and Texas would probably need to lose as well as Georgia winning.
Michigan
Georgia
Washington
FSU
Bama
Oregon
Texas
Ohio St
1. For Michigan, Washington, FSU and Georgia it's as simple as win and they are in.
2. Oregon - probably win and they are in. You could have some debate on this if Texas and/or Bama also win, but I think Oregon would get the nod in this situation.
3. Bama - probably win and they are in. Although if it comes down to Texas and Bama for the final spot, that would be interesting. Think Bama gets in though.
4. Texas - I think it takes one of Michigan, FSU to lose. A Georgia win also helps them, assuming Bama would get in before them.
5. OSU - will need a lot to happen this final weekend. FSU and Texas would probably need to lose as well as Georgia winning.
This post was edited on 11/27/23 at 9:44 am
12
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:35 am to Hold That Tiger 10
If I was an Oregon fan, I'd be pulling hard for a UGA win just to be safe.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:35 am to Hold That Tiger 10
Oregon is win and in. I agree with everything else you said, I'd just be more firm on this point.
If Bama wins that's a huge headache. Bama is clearly better than Tejas but the committee are human, Tejas beat them, and they'd be a fresh and exciting new entry.
If Bama wins that's a huge headache. Bama is clearly better than Tejas but the committee are human, Tejas beat them, and they'd be a fresh and exciting new entry.
This post was edited on 11/27/23 at 9:37 am
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:38 am to SirWinston
quote:it looks like it, but in the end when they're looking at the full picture they'll be looking very hard at that schedule of theirs.
Oregon is win and in.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:40 am to SirWinston
quote:
Oregon is win and in. I agree with everything else you said, I'd just be more firm on this point
I tend to agree. However, the other 4 win and there really isn't even a debate to be had. If Oregon wins it at least opens up some conversation, but yeah I think they are in.
With the way this year has played out, having 5 playoff contending conferences, I think you can assume we get 4 conference champions in. Only way this doesn't happen is if Texas and FSU both lose.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:45 am to Hold That Tiger 10
We should know more Tue. to see where everyone is ranked. Committee doesn't want to drop Oregon.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 9:48 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:If bama and texas win and bama gets in over UT the committee needs to be disbanded on the spot. I dont give a crap about the 12 team stuff next year. There would be zero excuse for that. Head to head has to mean something
3. Bama - probably win and they are in. Although if it comes down to Texas and Bama for the final spot, that would be interesting. Think Bama gets in though.
This post was edited on 11/27/23 at 9:50 am
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:00 am to Hold That Tiger 10
Michigan - win and in
Georgia - win and in
Washington - win and in
FSU - win and in
Bama - win and FSU & Texas loss
Oregon - win and in
Texas - win and FSU loss or Georgia loss
Ohio St - FSU, Texas and Michigan loss
I think we are likely at the point where the committee would consider Iowa beating Michigan as a fluke loss so I don’t think it would ding them much unless things got wacky
Georgia - win and in
Washington - win and in
FSU - win and in
Bama - win and FSU & Texas loss
Oregon - win and in
Texas - win and FSU loss or Georgia loss
Ohio St - FSU, Texas and Michigan loss
I think we are likely at the point where the committee would consider Iowa beating Michigan as a fluke loss so I don’t think it would ding them much unless things got wacky
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:04 am to SirWinston
quote:Is it the close wins vs south Florida, arky, auburn and A&M that show that or the 10 point loss to Texas that makes it clear?
Bama is clearly better
This post was edited on 11/27/23 at 10:05 am
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:04 am to SirWinston
I'll bring this over...
Bama, Texas, Florida State, TCUN, and Oregon all win.
Who does Oregon replace?
Bama, Texas, Florida State, TCUN, and Oregon all win.
Who does Oregon replace?
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:08 am to Bags of Milk
What's the likelihood Louisville beats FSU missing Travis?
Haven't watched either this year.
If Bama beats UGA it may (should) require FSU losing for the SEC to get in since Tejas owns the head to head with Bama.
Haven't watched either this year.
If Bama beats UGA it may (should) require FSU losing for the SEC to get in since Tejas owns the head to head with Bama.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:09 am to DisplacedBuckeye
quote:
Bama, Texas, Florida State, TCUN, and Oregon all win.
Who does Oregon replace?
Bama obviously.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:11 am to BuckyCheese
A playoff without either of two 12-1 SEC teams?
I'll believe it when I see it.
I'll believe it when I see it.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:13 am to DisplacedBuckeye
quote:
A playoff without either of two 12-1 SEC teams?
I'll believe it when I see it.
Doubt they'd have the stones to do it but that's what should happen.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:14 am to BuckyCheese
Agreed.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:21 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
1. For Michigan, Washington, FSU and Georgia it's as simple as win and they are in.
I don't think it's a 100% guarantee that Florida State is in with a win. If they win impressively, then yes probably. But, if it is a close game, I don't think it's automatic.
Oregon is in with a win, they avenge their only loss on the season.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:27 am to Pedro
quote:
If bama and texas win and bama gets in over UT the committee needs to be disbanded on the spot. I dont give a crap about the 12 team stuff next year. There would be zero excuse for that. Head to head has to mean something
I don't 100% agree, but I understand your argument. Head to head has to mean something, but I don't think it has to mean everything.
The committees job is to get the 4 best teams in. Bama loss to Texas when they were struggling to find their offense. You can certainly claim that they found it. Bama would be coming off of a win against Georgia in this scenario, that's a big key here as well.
Do you honestly think if Bama and Texas played right now, Bama wouldn't be decent favorite to win the game? If you think they would, the committee should put them in over Texas.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:30 am to Epic Cajun
quote:
I don't think it's a 100% guarantee that Florida State is in with a win. If they win impressively, then yes probably. But, if it is a close game, I don't think it's automatic.
Who is the debate with?
Undefeated ACC champ versus:
2 loss Oregon, or 1 loss Washington. (Assumed winner of pac 12 is in already, so we are talking the conference runner up here)
2 loss Bama, or 1 loss runner up UGA.
The only one you could really make a case for is 1 loss Big 12 champ Texas I guess.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:36 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Who is the debate with?
Texas
Georgia
Michigan
Oregon or Washington
Florida St or Texas
I think if Texas is very impressive and Florida State isn't, they could move Texas above them. I think the injury is going to matter, because this Florida State team isn't the same team that went undefeated through the regular season.
Posted on 11/27/23 at 10:41 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:okay saban
Do you honestly think if Bama and Texas played right now, Bama wouldn't be decent favorite to win the game?
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