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Message
During WC Final how often does the statistically favored team win?
Posted on 7/12/14 at 12:27 pm
Posted on 7/12/14 at 12:27 pm
I am preparing a project for a certification and I can do it on any subject, so I chose the Cup. I know that during the first 2 rounds of knockout play this year the favored team won every time, but that's actually a statistical anomaly, but I was unable to find a correlating statistic for the history of the cup. Anyone have an idea?
Thanks in advance.
This post was edited on 7/12/14 at 5:51 pm
5
Posted on 7/12/14 at 1:17 pm to Alandial
Looks like you got a nice little independent variable/dependent variable set up right there.
So I would look up the favored teams, and then see who won.
In short, do your own damn homework, boy.
ETA: Uruguay was favored in 1930.
So I would look up the favored teams, and then see who won.
In short, do your own damn homework, boy.
ETA: Uruguay was favored in 1930.
This post was edited on 7/12/14 at 1:19 pm
Posted on 7/12/14 at 1:28 pm to KosmoCramer
Not favored for the whole thing. Favored match by match. I already have stats on the overall favorite winning it all. I've read nearly 200 pages of stats but that particular one escapes me. I even tried betting websites.
Posted on 7/12/14 at 1:44 pm to Alandial
Looking up past odds is impossible. I hate it. You're going to need to find a bookie, who might have that stuff stored in a database or something.
Posted on 7/12/14 at 1:51 pm to SwaggerCopter
would be an interesting little logistic regression if you find anymore data let me know.
I'd be curious to run an analysis on it as well.
(professional statistician)
I'd be curious to run an analysis on it as well.
(professional statistician)
Posted on 7/12/14 at 2:03 pm to gaetti15
quote:
would be an interesting little logistic regression if you find anymore data let me know.
I found an interesting set of charts which basically took every world cup, assigned each team an ELO rating. And then looked at the overall winners. Not entirely accurate because they gave an arbitrary "home field" advantage. But pretty interesting. Charts
Posted on 7/12/14 at 2:41 pm to SwaggerCopter
quote:
Looking up past odds is impossible.
Is this true? You would think there would be a site dedicated to this kinda thing.
Posted on 7/12/14 at 3:58 pm to Alandial
quote:
I am preparing a project for a certification
The Fark Board is the best place to ask for help on projects. Be sure to post a picture of yourself for inclusion in the project.
Posted on 7/12/14 at 4:47 pm to Alandial
The British have a huge digital newspaper archive, but it cost money to access (though not to search), though I didn't look into institutional access
If you have time, I would just find someone at Ladbrokes to e-mail, or something
If you have time, I would just find someone at Ladbrokes to e-mail, or something
This post was edited on 7/12/14 at 4:50 pm
Posted on 7/12/14 at 5:06 pm to Alandial
Alan, please don't cut off your thread title.
Posted on 7/12/14 at 5:51 pm to Chicken
Sorry
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