Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions

This time they have if figured out, just like socialism!

"Dire Famine Forecast by '75".

Well, hell, I just finished watching Link TV's coverage of Brexit. Experts say that if Boris Johnson gets a Brexit without a deal the people in the UK will starve to death because they can't import food.
Nothing changes.

1974: ‘Another Ice Age?’



1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life’



But no such ‘great peril to life’ has been observed as the so-called ‘ozone hole’ remains:

Paul Ehrlich was amazing in his predictions on disaster because he always used big round numbers as scientific proof.
IE, a famine in Africa would not kill 23,619 people. It will kill 100,000 people. A nuclear exchange between the US and the USSR will kill 100 million people. 37 million deaths would be a lot but he doesn't like numbers that are not '1' followed by '0's.

That Dr. Ehrlich sounds like a real pessimist.

Fortunately, he was never right about anything.

1989: Rising seas to ‘obliterate’ nations by 2000



1989: New York City’s West Side Highway underwater by 2019



1995 to Present: Climate Model Failure




2000: ‘Children won’t know what snow is.’

2008: Al Gore warns of ice-free Arctic by 2013




But… it’s still there:

2009: Prince Charles says only 8 years to save the planet




2009: UK prime minister says 50 days to ‘save the planet from catastrophe’



2009: Arctic ice-free by 2014

2013: Arctic ice-free by 2015




The paper: LINK (open access)

Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming

Abstract

Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.


2013: Arctic ice-free by 2016





2014: Only 500 days before ‘climate chaos’





But…

I'm too dumb to understand who to believe in the climate change discussion, but I still believe the Malthusian camp is going to be right on population/resources and that it's not like 1,000 years away -- more like less than 50. We live on a sphere, have limited resources, and this is going to be a problem at some point. But, you infinite growth guys keep doing your thing.