re: Who do you think has a better shot at winning? Trump of Desantis?

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A lot of those "republicans" in the suburbs are never coming back to voting GOP.

The GOP strategy should be to register as many low propensity white working class voters as possible and get them to the polls and there are 42 million of those people that are not registered to vote.

If Trump had the sense to know that the suburbs were in full revolt over him, he would've directed his campaign to try and register at least 10% of those WWC and get them to the polls. If that happened, Trump wins the rust belt by margins with breathing room.

What the Trump campaign failed to understand is that their gains with latinos and other minorities did not matter as there was not enough of them in the rust belt and Georgia to offset their losses with in the suburbs and thus they had to double down on the WWC.

White working class people are Trump's base and the campaign did not acknowledge that.

But no, they spent 35 million on a BLEXIT that was never ever going to happen and indeed did not happen and saw Trump do several points worse with white men compared to 2016.

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My counter is that these people have split the ticket on at least 1 race, and in most cases, multiple races, in 2016 and 2020. They'd vote for a candidate like DeSantis but will continue to split the ticket if Trump is the nominee.