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re: What are your reasons for believing climate change is "a hoax"

Posted on 3/7/18 at 12:57 pm to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299619 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

We were all supposed to be creating floating cities by this point in time if early 2000 models were to be believed.



I believe in climate change but don't worry simply because the doomsday predictions are little more than fear mongering.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 12:58 pm to
Exxon is at least now doing some cool stuff regarding carbon capture. Using molten carbonate fuel cells to concentrate the CO2 from a power plant for easier storage and generating additional electricity from the process.

Of course, it's a high temperature process, so there's still the run of energy required to operate it. Still, a nice outside the box approach from Exxon.

I still hold out hope we'll get CO2 electrolysis down to low enough temps and high enough efficiency to use that CO2 and turn it into syngas and possibly liquid fuels. Gets around the energy storage problem of renewables and in theory could be utilized in the existing infrastructure to move and use liquid chemical fuels.

To me, global warming is a science problem that science will go about fixing.
Posted by Jay Quest
Once removed from Massachusetts
Member since Nov 2009
10721 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Maybe we shouldn't be looking to China and India for a blueprint on how to handle our own environmental issues?

No, we shouldn't. But the point is, the best we can hope to do, as a nation, is to perhaps make a minimal impact on the environment while other nations are ignoring the issue.

We shouldn't be so willing and quick to penalize ourselves.

Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 12:59 pm to
quote:


Climate change denial research is not "conservative" and your implication that it is is an insult to conservatives
Hi Cathy

quote:


The fact that you believe this is more of a problem

Interestingly, you've done nada, zilch, zero to rebut this.

But hey. To repeat.

Here's a simple question for the OP.

If I studied climate science and got my PhD from a top school in the nation......then, 5 years later, said, "I hypothesize that predictions about Global Warming are incorrect based on XYZ.........I want to study to see if XYZ is right".

What are the odds of me receiving funding from ANY source other than an obviously agenda driven source to check on my hypothesis?

When you answer that honestly, you know the problem.
This post was edited on 3/7/18 at 1:01 pm
Posted by LSUnation78
Northshore
Member since Aug 2012
14226 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:04 pm to
Thats my point, climate change has been occuring on this planet long before humans even first learned to make fire.


To try and pin climate change to the singular variable of c02 is absolutely redic.



I agree there is actual climate change... not the global warming fear mongering to push thru self enriching policies
Posted by MrCarton
Paradise Valley, MT
Member since Dec 2009
20231 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:04 pm to
quote:


What I'm trying to say is, while most scientists get into the field because of an underlying curiosity about the world we live in.


Sure, makes sense.

quote:

That being said, money (not politics) really ends up drives a lot of the research today. Now, I don't know a lot of (any) "rich" scientists. 


I think what we are trying to say is that that the federal grants are the primary funding source, meaning that the feds drive the train on research requirements. I don't mean that scientists are all millionaires because they get sweetheart grants from the fed.

quote:

Most want enough money to keep their labs and their research going. Lots of universities where this research is being done evaluate folks on how much $$ they bring in and the number of papers they produce. So, in order to stay employed, it behooves folks to continue to get grants and write papers


I think this is pretty widely understood. Do we agree then that research grants are the lifeblood of the scientific community, and that fed money is the majority of that lifeblood, and that scientists are required to pursue it to survive? If that is true, then it would explain why there are pronounced trends in research topics and methodologies. Incentives matter, a lot. The State produces perverse incentives.

quote:

So most scientists end up supporting the left, not because of a political agenda to prove the right wrong, but because the left supports public funding of research significantly more than the right. 


the left supports government funded research more than the right. That distinction is very important, because there is a very powerful difference between research conducted with government money and research conducted as a part of normal market activity.

quote:

It is my limited experience working on a few small grants ages ago, that most (state/federal) agencies that provide funding really don't care WHAT the results say, they just want the contract fulfilled and the deliverables produced. That way the administrators and bureaucrats can check the boxes and get their budget appropriations for the next year and keep the cycle going. 


Well, they do care, even in your example. They have an incentive to obtain research on topics that are politically and professionally beneficial to themselves, just as a scientist has an incentive to do the same. That's the dangerous aspect of state funded research, and why we are generally wary of any conclusions reached through such a perverse system.

BTW, found an interesting article that states that "base science" research money is primarily derived from the market instead of the fed for the first time since WWII. years ago, Powerman swore to me that that was impossible because "no market has an incentive to spend money on that".

Science Magazine.
This post was edited on 3/7/18 at 1:05 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

If I studied climate science and got my PhD from a top school in the nation......then, 5 years later, said, "I hypothesize that predictions about Global Warming are incorrect based on XYZ.........I want to study to see if XYZ is right".

What are the odds of me receiving funding from ANY source other than an obviously agenda driven source to check on my hypothesis?

Chances are probably better than you would think.
Posted by MrCarton
Paradise Valley, MT
Member since Dec 2009
20231 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:06 pm to
Basic research funding now primarily generated by markets

thought you might like this, considering your opinion on the matter.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

BTW, found an interesting article that states that "base science" research money is primarily derived from the market instead of the fed for the first time since WWII. years ago, Powerman swore to me that that was impossible because "no market has an incentive to spend money on that".

When did I say that?
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:


Chances are probably better than you would think


Nope.

Alas, you wisely made no attempt to rebut because you know you can't.

I think we've pretty much seen in this thread that the sum total of your argument is "more experts agree with me".

You clearly have no knowledge or for that matter, even ideas of your own to contribute to the subject.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

I think we've pretty much seen in this thread that the sum total of your argument is "more experts agree with me".

I'm asking why people would believe something that is in contradiction with the experts on the matter

I phrased it as believing in a conspiracy

So far it looks as if I'm right
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

ShortyRob

Choose literally any scientific topic

Here are your options

You can believe

A. What the overwhelming majority of experts claim

of you can believe

B. Option A is at odds with my political affiliation and I've been told by like minded people it's a conspiracy so I reject is as such

What seems more rational to you?
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:15 pm to
quote:


I'm asking why people would believe something that is in contradiction with the experts on the matter

Then disregarding them all as motivated by politics and declaring victory because more people agree with you.

That's pretty much the sum total of your contribution.

quote:

So far it looks as if I'm right

You don't actually possess the skills to know if you're right. Other than your ability to count. You COULD be right. But, you, Pman, have no way of actually assessing that.

Your opinion is exactly equal to the opinion of a HS drop out who agrees with the same people.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76480 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:15 pm to
Sh!tty two options.


In a past life I think you were pure hell to poor Mr Galileo .
This post was edited on 3/7/18 at 1:18 pm
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
34512 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Who is Jagdish Shukla?



And guess what. I don't know him.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Here are your options

You can believe

A. What the overwhelming majority of experts claim

of you can believe

B. Option A is at odds with my political affiliation and I've been told by like minded people it's a conspiracy so I reject is as such



Actually, those aren't my only options unless I intend to apply absolutely ZERO of my own mental abilities to the problem. As you so clearly admit to having to do.

It's actually kinda sad that you can't comprehend this problem. Hell...........using your approach would have yielded exactly ZERO new scientific knowledge in the last 1000 years.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:18 pm to
quote:


Then disregarding them all as motivated by politics and declaring victory because more people agree with you.


Pretty much no one here agrees with me that's for sure

quote:

You COULD be right.

What we haven't seen are many rational reasons for people to believe in the conspiracy

It's just like any other conspiracy theory. It's stupid.

Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
34512 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:18 pm to
MrCarton, thanks for the well thought out, rational reply.

I just wanted to add a few quick things.

quote:

I think what we are trying to say is that that the federal grants are the primary funding source, meaning that the feds drive the train on research requirements. I don't mean that scientists are all millionaires because they get sweetheart grants from the fed.


I my limited experience while there are usually limitations on how research $$ are spent, there usually aren't requirements on how the research is conducted. Usually there is a caveat that states the research will be done in a reproducible manner, consistent with the scientific method.


quote:

I think this is pretty widely understood. Do we agree then that research grants are the lifeblood of the scientific community, and that fed money is the majority of that lifeblood, and that scientists are required to pursue it to survive? If that is true, then it would explain why there are pronounced trends in research topics and methodologies. Incentives matter, a lot. The State produces perverse incentives.


Overall, I think I can agree with all of it, with the exception to the very last sentence. From what I've seen, I don't know if the Agencies are driving scientists to fitting results to come to a preconceived answer. What MAY be happening, is that folks are studying the hot topic of the day because that's where the $$ is. I honestly can't say for certain because I don't know.
This post was edited on 3/7/18 at 1:25 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173665 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Actually, those aren't my only options

Sure

But of the 2 which seems more rational? And why is it so difficult to answer?
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 3/7/18 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Sh!tty two options.


I sincerely hope he doesn't think that his false dichotomies are intellectual arguments.

But hey. What can ya do? His ONLY real option is "belief" because he has rather openly admitted in this thread that he brings nothing to the table on the subject himself.

Hey. Let's ask Pman about the best way to remove a particular type of brain tumor. Then, he can tell us what most doctors think and dismiss everyone else........including other doctors as being dumber than him.
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